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Athletic Club vs Atlético Madrid prediction 05.09.2026 | La Liga

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

Kick off:

Date:

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

3.21

X

3.56

2

2.37

  • Competition: La Liga
  • Date: 05/09/2026
  • KO: 15:15 UK / 16:15 CEST
  • Venue: San Mamés

San Mamés provides the stage for Saturday afternoon’s meeting between Athletic Club and unbeaten Atlético Madrid.

The Basques secured their first points under Edin Terzić with an impressive victory at Celta Vigo, while Atlético maintained their strong start to the new campaign by beating Sevilla.

Diego Simeone’s side will be confident of picking up a positive result, but can expect a stiff test in the Basque Country.

Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Atletico Madrid

    3 : 2

    Athletic Bilbao

    La Liga

  2. Athletic Bilbao

    1 : 0

    Atletico Madrid

    La Liga

  3. Athletic Bilbao

    0 : 1

    Atletico Madrid

    La Liga

  4. Atletico Madrid

    3 : 1

    Athletic Bilbao

    La Liga

  5. Athletic Bilbao

    3 : 0

    Atletico Madrid

    Copa Del Rey

  6. Atletico Madrid

    0 : 1

    Athletic Bilbao

    Copa Del Rey

Athletic Club and Atlético Madrid have met on 16 occasions in competitive fixtures since the start of 2020. Both clubs claimed seven victories, while two matches finished level.

Atlético hold the better recent record, winning six of the previous ten encounters.

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Club team overview

Athletic Club return to San Mamés after claiming their first victory of the Edin Terzić era with a 2:0 success at Celta Vigo.

Álex Berenguer and Robert Navarro scored in an impressive first-half performance as the Basque side claimed a deserved win at Stadio Abanca Balaídos.

That victory provided a much-needed response after losses against Sevilla and Barcelona in their opening two fixtures.

Bilbao also suffered defeat in their final two pre-season friendly fixtures, with their four-game losing run finally ending in Compostela.

A lack of goals remains an issue for the home side. Bilbao scored only six goals in their last seven competitive fixtures. Five of those seven games finished with fewer than three match goals.

Head coach Terzić has four confirmed absentees this weekend. The hosts are unable to call on Peio Canales, Beñat Prados, Dani Vivian and Unai Egiluz through injury.

Terzić made seven changes at Balaídos, with Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta and Beñat Gerenabarrena forming an effective midfield partnership. Nico Williams started on the bench at Celta but could return to the first XI this weekend.

Last matches of Athletic Bilbao

  1. Celta Vigo

    0 : 2

    Athletic Bilbao

    La Liga

  2. FC Barcelona

    2 : 0

    Athletic Bilbao

    La Liga

  3. Athletic Bilbao

    1 : 3

    Sevilla

    La Liga

  4. Atalanta

    1 : 0

    Athletic Bilbao

    Club Friendlies 3

  5. Marseille

    3 : 1

    Athletic Bilbao

    Club Friendlies 3

Athletic Bilbao lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Unai Simon

Defenders

  • 12

    Jesus Areso

  • 4

    Aitor Paredes

  • 14

    Aymeric Laporte

  • 17

    Yuri Berchiche

Midfielders

  • 16

    I. Ruiz

  • 24

    Benat Gerenabarrena

  • 23

    Robert Navarro

  • 8

    Oihan Sancet

  • 7

    Alex Berenguer

Forwards

  • 9

    Inaki Williams

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid team overview

Atlético Madrid travel to Bilbao after producing their most convincing display of the new campaign with a 3:1 victory at Sevilla.

Álex Baena scored twice, while Ademola Lookman also found the net in a dominant first-half performance at the Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán.

The result moved Simeone’s side onto seven points following a 2:0 win against Málaga and a 2:2 draw with Villarreal in the first two weeks of the new season. 

Past encounters against Bilbao have been tight, particularly at this venue. Atletico lost three of their last four trips to San Mamés including a 1:0 defeat last season. 

Head coach Simeone has just one confirmed absentee. Alexander Sørloth remains unavailable with a muscular injury, but Julian Álvarez has returned to group training following an illness. 

The Argentine could be included in the squad for the first time this term after remaining at Atlético beyond the transfer deadline. 

Lookman is expected to continue in attack if Álvarez is not considered ready to start.

Last matches of Atletico Madrid

  1. Sevilla

    1 : 3

    Atletico Madrid

    La Liga

  2. Atletico Madrid

    2 : 2

    Villarreal

    La Liga

  3. Atletico Madrid

    2 : 0

    Malaga

    La Liga

  4. Marseille

    1 : 2

    Atletico Madrid

    Club Friendlies 1

  5. Manchester City

    3 : 1

    Atletico Madrid

    Club Friendlies 1

Atletico Madrid lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 13

    Jan Oblak

Defenders

  • 14

    Marcos Llorente

  • 18

    Marc Pubill

  • 17

    David Hancko

  • 22

    Alejandro Grimaldo

Midfielders

  • 20

    Giuliano Simeone

  • 8

    Pablo Barrios

  • 23

    Morten Hjulmand

  • 11

    Ademola Lookman

  • 7

    Kang-In Lee

Forwards

  • 10

    Alejandro Baena

Prediction

Athletic Club and Atlético Madrid meet at San Mamés on Saturday in a contest likely to be decided by fine margins.

Past encounters between these sides at this venue have been tight, and I expect more of the same this weekend.

I have my stake on under 2.5 goals scored in Saturday’s La Liga contest.

Three Reasons Why We Expect Under 2.5 Goals

  1. Atlético Madrid failed to score in 3 of their last 4 away matches against Athletic Club
  2. Athletic Club have seen under 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 7 matches 
  3. Athletic Club have seen under 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 11 competitive matches

Main prediction Athletic Bilbao - Atletico Madrid

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

Originally from Scotland, Ryan is an experienced betting expert and content producer based out of Barcelona, Spain.

Best Odds:

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1.97

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Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid standings in La Liga

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 FC Barcelona 3 3 0 0 12 - 2 +10 9
2 Real Madrid 3 3 0 0 10 - 2 +8 9
3 Atlético de Madrid 3 2 1 0 7 - 3 +4 7
4 Deportivo Alavés 3 2 1 0 5 - 1 +4 7
5 Osasuna 3 2 1 0 3 - 1 +2 7
6 Sevilla 3 2 0 1 6 - 5 +1 6
7 Real Betis 3 2 0 1 4 - 5 -1 6
8 Deportivo A Coruña 3 1 2 0 5 - 3 +2 5
9 Levante 3 1 1 1 5 - 5 0 4
10 Racing Santander 3 1 1 1 5 - 5 0 4
11 Real Sociedad 4 1 1 2 3 - 6 -3 4
12 Espanyol 3 1 0 2 5 - 4 +1 3
13 Athletic Club 3 1 0 2 3 - 5 -2 3
14 Getafe 3 1 0 2 1 - 4 -3 3
15 Villarreal 3 0 2 1 4 - 5 -1 2
16 Celta de Vigo 4 0 2 2 1 - 4 -3 2
17 Valencia 3 0 1 2 1 - 4 -3 1
18 Rayo Vallecano 3 0 1 2 4 - 8 -4 1
19 Elche 3 0 1 2 3 - 9 -6 1
20 Málaga 3 0 1 2 1 - 7 -6 1

Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid – FAQ

? Athletic Club Player to Watch

Álex Berenguer – The versatile attacker scored at Celta and also netted the winner in Athletic’s most recent home victory against Atlético

? Atlético Madrid Player to Watch

Álex Baena – The Spanish international has scored three goals this season.

? Where to Watch

This La Liga match can be viewed live on Disney+ Premium.