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Inter vs Napoli prediction 05.09.2026 | Serie A

Inter Milan

Inter Milan

Kick off:

Date:

Napoli

Napoli

1

1.70

X

3.96

2

5.67

  • Competition: Serie A
  • Date: Saturday, 5th September, 2026
  • Kickoff: 17:00 UK / 18:00 CEST
  • Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan)

On Saturday evening, the last two Italian Champions, Inter and Napoli, will face off in the third round of Serie A. Nerazzurri come into the duel after winning their first two games against Monza and Cagliari. At the same time, Gli Azzurri opened the season with a win over Genoa and then lost to Como 2:1. 

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Serie A tie.

Inter Milan vs Napoli Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Inter Milan

    2 : 2

    Napoli

    Serie A

  2. Napoli

    3 : 1

    Inter Milan

    Serie A

  3. Napoli

    1 : 1

    Inter Milan

    Serie A

  4. Inter Milan

    1 : 1

    Napoli

    Serie A

  5. Inter Milan

    1 : 1

    Napoli

    Serie A

  6. Napoli

    0 : 1

    Inter Milan

    Super Cup

Last season, even though Inter had a better season overall and won the title, Napoli were more successful in h2h duels. We saw a 2:2 draw at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in Milan, while Napoli won 3:1 at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona in Naples. Looking further back, over the past ten h2h games, both teams won twice, while the remaining six games ended in draws. 

When it comes to the number of goals, four of the past ten h2h games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in seven of those.

Inter Milan

Inter team overview

Inter had an excellent season, winning the double under Cristian Chivu. However, the impression is that they had to do a much better job in the Champions League, given the fact that Bodo/Glimt eliminated them in the 1/16 Finals. Over the summer, we believe Nerazzurri improved the squad and are looking even more capable of playing on multiple fronts. 

This season, Nerazzurri won 4:1 against Monza and 1:0 against Cagliari. However, they created numerous chances against Cagliari, finishing with 3.67 xG. So, even though that win doesn't look impressive at first glance, Inter are playing really good football and are deservedly considered a pretty big favorite against Napoli. 

Summer signing Djed Spence missed the first two games due to a minor injury. Even though the injury isn't too serious, Inter doesn't want to rush him, and the Englishman will most likely miss the upcoming game vs Napoli. 

Last matches of Inter Milan

  1. Cagliari

    0 : 1

    Inter Milan

    Serie A

  2. Inter Milan

    4 : 1

    AC Monza

    Serie A

  3. Inter Milan

    1 : 0

    Real Betis

    Club Friendlies 1

  4. Juventus

    1 : 2

    Inter Milan

    Club Friendlies 1

  5. AC Milan

    1 : 1

    Inter Milan

    Club Friendlies 1

Inter Milan lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Josep Martínez

Defenders

  • 28

    Benjamin Pavard

  • 25

    Manuel Akanji

  • 95

    Alessandro Bastoni

Midfielders

  • 11

    Luis Henrique

  • 23

    Nicolò Barella

  • 8

    Petar Sučić

  • 20

    Hakan Çalhanoğlu

  • 32

    Federico Dimarco

Forwards

  • 10

    Lautaro Martínez

  • 94

    Pio Esposito

Napoli

Napoli team overview

Napoli finished second last season, but weren't too close to Inter, as they finished 11 points behind. But their performance in the Champions League was truly worrisome, as they failed to secure the knockout phase. During the summer window, Gli Azzurri improved the squad a bit, but we believe that replacing Antonio Conte with Massimiliano Allegri is a pretty considerable downgrade. 

This season, Napoli started off well, beating Genoa 2:0 on the road. However, they failed their first big test after Como won 2:1 against them in Naples. After the loss, coach Massimiliano Allegri spoke to the media, saying they need to improve defensively and play with more aggression. He added that they dominated the second half but lacked efficiency. 

For the upcoming game, Alessandro Buongiorno and Luca Marianucci should remain sidelined with injuries, while Scott McTominay will most likely be out due to heart problems. 

Last matches of Napoli

  1. Napoli

    1 : 2

    Como

    Serie A

  2. Genoa

    0 : 2

    Napoli

    Serie A

  3. Napoli

    6 : 2

    Aris

    Club Friendlies 3

  4. Napoli

    1 : 1

    Celta Vigo

    Club Friendlies 3

  5. Napoli

    2 : 1

    Osasuna

    Club Friendlies 3

Napoli lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Alex Meret

Defenders

  • 22

    Giovanni Di Lorenzo

  • 16

    Rafa Marín

  • 13

    Amir Rrahmani

  • 17

    Mathías Olivera

Midfielders

  • 11

    Kevin De Bruyne

  • 68

    Stanislav Lobotka

  • 99

    Frank Anguissa

Forwards

  • 21

    Matteo Politano

  • 19

    Rasmus Højlund

  • 70

    Noa Lang

Prediction

Inter opened the season well, winning both games. If we add friendlies, they have won four in a row against very good teams and are undefeated in all seven games (preseason and current season combined). To be fair, they did not have too challenging a schedule, winning 5:1 on aggregate against Monza and Cagliari. But the overall performances were highly encouraging. 

On the other hand, Napoli won once and lost once. We weren't really impressed by their performances, and now that Scott McTominay is out, we do not expect a better one. Gli Azzurri will probably need some time to get used to a new coach, and we do not think a road game against the reigning champs early in the season is the place where they will collect points. 

Considering all the above, we believe that Inter is the better team at the moment and should eventually win Serie A.

3 Reasons why Inter should win

  1. Inter won the first two games this season
  2. Inter are undefeated over the last 19 games (last season, preseason, and this season combined)
  3. Napoli lost the previous game to Como 2:1

Main prediction Inter Milan - Napoli

Inter Milan to win

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

4 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.70

Bet here

Inter Milan vs Napoli standings in Serie A

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Roma 2 2 0 0 8 - 0 +8 6
2 Inter 2 2 0 0 5 - 1 +4 6
3 AC Milan 2 2 0 0 4 - 1 +3 6
4 Juventus 2 2 0 0 3 - 0 +3 6
5 Atalanta 2 2 0 0 3 - 1 +2 6
6 Lazio 2 2 0 0 2 - 0 +2 6
7 Udinese 2 1 1 0 4 - 3 +1 4
8 Como 2 1 1 0 3 - 2 +1 4
9 Frosinone 2 1 0 1 3 - 1 +2 3
10 Napoli 2 1 0 1 3 - 2 +1 3
11 Sassuolo 2 1 0 1 3 - 3 0 3
12 Cagliari 2 1 0 1 1 - 1 0 3
13 Lecce 2 1 0 1 2 - 4 -2 3
14 Torino 2 0 0 2 2 - 4 -2 0
15 Bologna 2 0 0 2 0 - 2 -2 0
16 Parma 2 0 0 2 0 - 3 -3 0
17 Genoa 2 0 0 2 0 - 3 -3 0
18 Monza 2 0 0 2 3 - 7 -4 0
19 Venezia 2 0 0 2 0 - 4 -4 0
20 Fiorentina 2 0 0 2 0 - 7 -7 0

Inter vs Napoli – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Inter this season?

The average xG for Inter in Serie A this season is 2.14.

? How much is the average xG for Napoli this season?

The average xG for Napoli in Serie A this season is 1.48.