Home Bookmakers Tips Bonuses

Mainz 05 vs Fiorentina prediction 06.11.2025 | UEFA Conference League

Kick off:

Date:

1

2.24

X

3.28

2

3.28

  • Competition: UEFA Conference League
  • Date: 6th October 2025
  • Kick-off: 17:45 UK / 18:45 CET
  • Venue: Mewa Arena, Mainz

European nights return to the Mewa Arena this week as Mainz 05 welcome Fiorentina for Matchday 3 of the UEFA Conference League. It’s been a tale of contrasts for both sides this season: struggling at home, shining abroad. Fiorentina top the group standings, while Mainz sit five places behind them, separated only by goal difference. Read our preview to find betting tips, predictions and team news!

H2H stats

This fixture marks the first-ever competitive meeting between Mainz 05 and Fiorentina. Expect intensity, as both sides know a third straight win could be decisive in securing early qualification for the knockout stages.

Mainz 05 team overview

It’s been a turbulent domestic season for Mainz so far. Bo Henriksen’s side have collected just one win from nine Bundesliga fixtures, suffering six defeats and two draws. Their early-season form included a shaky start in the Conference League playoffs, where they lost the first leg to Rosenborg before recovering to qualify.

However, in Europe proper, Mainz have been far more disciplined. They opened their group campaign with a 1:0 win at Omonoia, followed by another 1:0 home victory against Zrinjski. Despite playing much of that second match with a numerical advantage, Mainz still struggled to put the game to bed, a sign that there’s room for improvement.

Henriksen will be without Niklas Tauer and Phillipp Mwene, who are ineligible for Conference League action. Anthony Caci and Maxim Dal are also sidelined through injury.

Last matches of

  1. FSV Mainz

    1 : 1

    Werder Bremen

    Bundesliga

  2. FSV Mainz

    0 : 2

    Stuttgart

    DFB Pokal

  3. Stuttgart

    2 : 1

    FSV Mainz

    Bundesliga

  4. FSV Mainz

    1 : 0

    Zrinjski

    Europa Conference League

  5. FSV Mainz

    3 : 4

    Bayer Leverkusen

    Bundesliga

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 27

    Robin Zentner

Defenders

  • 25

    Andreas Hanche-Olsen

  • 15

    Lennard Maloney

  • 31

    Dominik Kohr

Midfielders

  • 2

    Phillipp Mwene

  • 6

    Kaishū Sano

  • 10

    Nadiem Amiri

  • 30

    Silvan Widmer

Forwards

  • 8

    Paul Nebel

  • 17

    Benedict Hollerbach

  • 7

    Lee Jae-sung

Fiorentina team overview

Fiorentina’s domestic campaign has been equally disappointing. The Violets are yet to register a league win this term and have conceded a league-high 16 goals.

Four defeats in their last five league outings, including losses to Lecce and Roma have left their confidence shaken and they sit at the bottom of the Serie A standings.

That said, Fiorentina have looked like a completely different side in Europe. They’ve won both Conference League group games by an aggregate score of 5:0 and the recent appointment of Daniele Galloppa as interim manager could inject a much-needed spark into the squad.

The visitors will travel to Germany without Robin Gosens, who picked up a hamstring injury against Inter Milan, and Tariq Lamptey, who remains out with a cruciate ligament issue.

Last matches of

  1. Fiorentina

    0 : 1

    Lecce

    Serie A

  2. Inter Milan

    3 : 0

    Fiorentina

    Serie A

  3. Fiorentina

    2 : 2

    Bologna

    Serie A

  4. Rapid Wien

    0 : 3

    Fiorentina

    Europa Conference League

  5. AC Milan

    2 : 1

    Fiorentina

    Serie A

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 43

    David de Gea

Defenders

  • 5

    Marin Pongračić

  • 15

    Pietro Comuzzo

  • 6

    Luca Ranieri

Midfielders

  • 2

    Dodô

  • 27

    Cher Ndour

  • 14

    Hans Nicolussi Caviglia

  • 44

    Nicolò Fagioli

  • 29

    Niccolo Fortini

Forwards

  • 20

    Moise Kean

  • 9

    Edin Džeko

Prediction

Both sides have been struggling domestically but thriving in Europe, setting up an intriguing battle in Mainz. With Fiorentina’s attacking flair up against a well-organized Mainz defense, Thursday’s encounter could go a long way in shaping the group’s final standings. I am going for a 2-1 home win.

Three reasons we expect over 2.5 goals in this game

  1. Mainz have kept a clean sheet in just two of their 15 games this season.
  2. Fiorentina have kept a clean sheet in just one of their last six matches.
  3. Three of the last five European games of Mainz produced three or more goals.

Main prediction -

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

60% winrate

wins

5 wins in a row

Strategic Betting Analyst: Expert in Developing and Implementing Data-Driven, Profitable Sports Betting Strategies.

Best Odds:

22bet

2.12

Bet here

vs standings in Europa Conference League

League Stage P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Fiorentina 2 2 0 0 5 - 0 +5 6
2 AEK Larnaca 2 2 0 0 5 - 0 +5 6
3 Celje 2 2 0 0 5 - 1 +4 6
4 Lausanne Sport 2 2 0 0 4 - 0 +4 6
5 Samsunspor 2 2 0 0 4 - 0 +4 6
6 FSV Mainz 05 2 2 0 0 2 - 0 +2 6
7 Rayo Vallecano 2 1 1 0 4 - 2 +2 4
8 Raków Częstochowa 2 1 1 0 3 - 1 +2 4
9 Strasbourg 2 1 1 0 3 - 2 +1 4
10 Jagiellonia Białystok 2 1 1 0 2 - 1 +1 4
11 Noah 2 1 1 0 2 - 1 +1 4
12 AEK Athens 2 1 0 1 7 - 3 +4 3
13 Zrinjski 2 1 0 1 5 - 1 +4 3
14 Sparta Praha 1 1 0 0 4 - 1 +3 3
15 Lech Poznań 2 1 0 1 5 - 3 +2 3
16 Crystal Palace 2 1 0 1 2 - 1 +1 3
17 Shakhtar Donetsk 2 1 0 1 4 - 4 0 3
18 Legia Warszawa 2 1 0 1 2 - 2 0 3
19 Skendija 79 2 1 0 1 1 - 2 -1 3
20 AZ 2 1 0 1 1 - 4 -3 3
21 Lincoln Red Imps 2 1 0 1 2 - 6 -4 3
22 Drita 2 0 2 0 2 - 2 0 2
23 Häcken 2 0 2 0 2 - 2 0 2
24 KuPS 2 0 2 0 1 - 1 0 2
25 Omonia Nicosia 2 0 1 1 1 - 2 -1 1
26 Shelbourne 2 0 1 1 0 - 1 -1 1
27 Sigma Olomouc 2 0 1 1 1 - 3 -2 1
28 Universitatea Craiova 2 0 1 1 1 - 3 -2 1
29 Breidablik 2 0 1 1 0 - 3 -3 1
30 Rijeka 1 0 0 1 0 - 1 -1 0
31 Slovan Bratislava 2 0 0 2 1 - 3 -2 0
32 Hamrun Spartans 2 0 0 2 0 - 2 -2 0
33 Shamrock Rovers 2 0 0 2 1 - 6 -5 0
34 Dynamo Kyiv 2 0 0 2 0 - 5 -5 0
35 SK Rapid 2 0 0 2 1 - 7 -6 0
36 Aberdeen 2 0 0 2 2 - 9 -7 0

Mainz 05 vs Fiorentina – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can watch Thursday’s Conference League encounter between Mainz and Fiorentina on Sofascore.

? What’s the average number of corner kicks Mainz 05 win per game when playing at home this season?

5.56

? What’s the average number of yellow cards Fiorentina receive in their away matches this season?

2.12