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Lille vs Le Havre prediction 10.10.2026 | Ligue 1

Lille

Lille

Kick off:

Date:

Le Havre

Le Havre

1

1.48

X

4.88

2

7.49

  • Competition: Ligue 1
  • Date: Saturday, 10th October, 2026
  • Kickoff: 16:15 UK / 17:15 CEST
  • Venue: Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Villeneuve d'Ascq)

After the international break, two Ligue 1 sides, Lille and Le Havre, that started the season very differently will face off against each other. Lille are sitting in 4th place and have collected ten points already in the first five rounds, while Le Havre are at the bottom of the league with just two points. 

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Ligue 1 tie.

Lille vs Le Havre Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Lille

    1 : 1

    Le Havre

    Ligue 1

  2. Le Havre

    0 : 1

    Lille

    Ligue 1

  3. Lille

    1 : 2

    Le Havre

    Ligue 1

  4. Le Havre

    0 : 3

    Lille

    Ligue 1

  5. Lille

    3 : 0

    Le Havre

    Ligue 1

  6. Le Havre

    0 : 2

    Lille

    Ligue 1

Last season, these teams met twice. Lille won 1:0 on the road, while the game at Stade Pierre-Mauroy finished as a 1:1 draw. Looking further back, over the past ten h2h games, Lille secured seven wins, while Le Havre won once. 

When it comes to the number of goals, six out of the past ten h2h games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in five of those.

Lille

Lille team overview

Last season Lille had an excellent season, finishing 3rd and securing the Champions League main phase. However, after coach Bruno Genesio left and young Davide Ancelotti arrived, many football pundits had their doubts about that move. However, it seems it was the right move considering they won 10 points in five rounds. They ruined the overall picture of the season with a 2:1 loss in the last game to Nice, but it was an overall good start regardless. 

Ethan Mbappé was called up to the France U21 NT but suffered an injury after only 12 minutes against Estonia U21 and had to leave the camp. At the moment, the young winger is listed as questionable. Meanwhile, Hamza Igamane and Tanguy Nianzou should remain sidelined with their injuries. 

Last matches of Lille

  1. Lille

    2 : 1

    Zulte Waregem

    Club Friendlies 3

  2. OGC Nice

    2 : 1

    Lille

    Ligue 1

  3. Lille

    2 : 0

    Troyes

    Ligue 1

  4. Lille

    2 : 3

    Real Betis

    Champions League

  5. Toulouse

    0 : 1

    Lille

    Ligue 1

Lille lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Berke Özer

Defenders

  • 22

    Tiago Santos

  • 3

    Nathan Ngoy

  • 4

    Alexsandro

  • 15

    Romain Perraud

Midfielders

  • 6

    Nabil Bentaleb

  • 21

    Benjamin André

  • 10

    Hákon Arnar Haraldsson

Forwards

  • 7

    Dilane Bakwa

  • 18

    Ayase Ueda

  • 19

    Başar Önal

Le Havre

Le Havre team overview

Le Havre barely secured survival last season, finishing only three points away from the danger zone. This season, the goal is once again the same - to somehow survive. However, that won't be an easy task, given the fact that they are at the bottom of the league with only two points from five rounds. Still, maybe a big 6:1 win over Boulogne in a friendly match during the international break could change the negative momentum, and they could win their first game of Ligue 1.

Good news for Le Havre is that none of the players called up for the national teams returned with injuries. However, Timothée Pembélé, Lionel Mpasi, Félix Mambimbi, and Abdoulaye Toure should remain sidelined. Meanwhile, Elias Jelert is questionable with a minor thigh injury. 

Last matches of Le Havre

  1. Le Havre

    6 : 1

    Boulogne

    Club Friendlies 3

  2. Toulouse

    3 : 2

    Le Havre

    Ligue 1

  3. Le Havre

    0 : 0

    Angers

    Ligue 1

  4. Le Havre

    1 : 2

    Brest

    Ligue 1

  5. Lyon

    1 : 1

    Le Havre

    Ligue 1

Le Havre lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 93

    Gauthier Gallon

Defenders

  • 5

    Ahmed Touba

  • 15

    Ayumu Seko

  • 23

    Vincent Sasso

Midfielders

  • 20

    Djibril Ouziad

  • 7

    Amir Richardson

  • 26

    Simon Ebonog

  • 27

    Enzo Koffi

Forwards

  • 38

    Rayan Fofana

  • 9

    Josh Maja

  • 25

    Mbwana Samatta

Prediction

Lille won three out of six games across competitions this season. They looked strong in most games, proving they can play with anyone. A 2:2 draw with PSG pretty much showed just how good they are given the fact they were super close to winning all three points. 

On the other hand, Le Havre were atrocious, winning two points in five rounds with only four goals scored. Their overall stats are pretty bad, but the offense looks particularly poor, given that they created the 3rd-fewest "big chances" in Ligue 1. 

In the previous ten h2h games, Lille won eight times, while covering the -1.5 AH spread on four occasions. Considering all the above, Lille should secure a comfortable home win in this Ligue 1 tie.

3 Reasons why Lille should win and cover the -1 AH spread

  1. Lille won three out of five Ligue 1 games
  2. Lille won eight out of ten h2h games
  3. Le Havre won two points in five Ligue 1 games

Main prediction Lille - Le Havre

AH1 (-1)

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

4 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

Megapari

1.65

Bet here

Lille vs Le Havre standings in Ligue 1

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Monaco 5 4 1 0 8 - 3 +5 13
2 Olympique Lyonnais 5 3 2 0 10 - 2 +8 11
3 Paris 5 3 2 0 8 - 3 +5 11
4 LOSC Lille 5 3 1 1 8 - 4 +4 10
5 Rennes 5 3 1 1 8 - 9 -1 10
6 Paris Saint Germain 5 2 2 1 8 - 7 +1 8
7 Angers SCO 5 2 1 2 6 - 5 +1 7
8 Strasbourg 5 2 1 2 10 - 10 0 7
9 Le Mans 5 1 3 1 9 - 9 0 6
10 Auxerre 5 2 0 3 7 - 12 -5 6
11 Brest 5 1 2 2 7 - 8 -1 5
12 Lorient 5 1 2 2 5 - 6 -1 5
13 Toulouse 5 1 2 2 7 - 9 -2 5
14 Nice 5 1 2 2 3 - 6 -3 5
15 Lens 5 1 1 3 9 - 9 0 4
16 Troyes 5 1 1 3 4 - 11 -7 4
17 Olympique Marseille 5 1 0 4 7 - 8 -1 3
18 Le Havre 5 0 2 3 4 - 7 -3 2

Lille vs Le Havre – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Lille this season?

The average xG for Lille in Ligue 1 this season is 1.42.

? How much is the average xG for Le Havre this season?

The average xG for Le Havre in Ligue 1 this season is 1.4.