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Lens vs Nice prediction 22.05.2026 | Coupe de France

RC Lens

RC Lens

Kick off:

Date:

OGC Nice

OGC Nice

1

1.53

X

4.68

2

6.70

  • Competition: Coupe de France, Final
  • Date: 22nd May, 2026
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CEST
  • Venue: Stade de France

The 2025/26 Coupe de France final on Friday night will be the 109th in competition’s history as Lens and Nice will battle for one of the most prestigious domestic trophies in European football. It is a particularly significant occasion for both clubs, with Lens aiming to secure their first-ever Coupe de France triumph, while Nice seek their first title in the competition since 1997.

RC Lens vs OGC Nice Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. OGC Nice

    1 : 1

    RC Lens

    Ligue 1

  2. RC Lens

    2 : 0

    OGC Nice

    Ligue 1

  3. OGC Nice

    2 : 0

    RC Lens

    Ligue 1

  4. RC Lens

    0 : 0

    OGC Nice

    Ligue 1

  5. RC Lens

    1 : 3

    OGC Nice

    Ligue 1

  6. OGC Nice

    2 : 0

    RC Lens

    Ligue 1

Recent meetings between the sides have generally been competitive and relatively balanced. The latest Ligue 1 encounter between Lens and Nice ended in a 1-1 draw earlier this month, while several previous clashes have also been decided by fine margins. Interestingly, their last four competitive Ligue 1 fixtures have all seen a total of under 2.5 goals.

RC Lens

Lens team overview

Lens enter the final in magnificent form despite recently losing 2-0 against PSG in a potential title-deciding league fixture. They bounced back with an emphatic 4-0 win over Lyon last weekend and before that defeat to the reigning league champions, Pierre Sage’s men had also recorded commanding victories against Nantes and Toulouse, while also drawing 1-1 away at Nice earlier this month.

Offensively, Lens have been one of the most productive sides in France this season. Wesley Saïd and Odsonne Édouard have both delivered important goals during the run-in, while Florian Thauvin’s creativity and experience have added another dimension to the attack. 

There are, however, some injury concerns for Lens heading into the final. Jonathan Gradit, Samson Baidoo, Kyllian Antonio, and Régis Gurtner are all expected to remain unavailable. 

Defensively, Lens have also improved significantly in recent weeks. They conceded only two goals across their final three Ligue 1 fixtures - both against PSG - and generally looked far more compact during the closing stretch of the campaign.

Last matches of RC Lens

  1. Lyon

    0 : 4

    RC Lens

    Ligue 1

  2. RC Lens

    0 : 2

    PSG

    Ligue 1

  3. RC Lens

    1 : 0

    Nantes

    Ligue 1

  4. OGC Nice

    1 : 1

    RC Lens

    Ligue 1

  5. Brest

    3 : 3

    RC Lens

    Ligue 1

RC Lens lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 40

    Robin Risser

Defenders

  • 25

    Ismaelo Ganiou

  • 20

    Malang Sarr

  • 27

    Arthur Masuaku

  • 14

    Matthieu Udol

  • 23

    Saud Abdulhamid

Midfielders

  • 8

    Mamadou Sangare

  • 28

    Adrien Thomasson

  • 22

    Wesley Saïd

  • 10

    Florian Thauvin

Forwards

  • 11

    Odsonne Édouard

OGC Nice

Nice team overview

Nice’s form heading into the final is considerably less convincing. Franck Haise’s side failed to win any of their final eight Ligue 1 matches and finished the season in 16th place, forcing them into a relegation playoff. Their latest outing ended in a disappointing 0-0 draw against bottom-side Metz.

Nevertheless, Nice have shown resilience in cup competitions throughout the season. Their 2-0 semifinal victory over Strasbourg was a solid proof of their defensive organisation and ability to capitalise on their chances if possible. Elye Wahi has been particularly influential in the Coupe de France run, while Marcin Bułka continues to provide reliability in goal.

Injury issues could complicate matters further for Nice. Mohamed Abdelmonem and Moïse Bombito are both expected to miss the final, reducing defensive stability against one of Ligue 1’s most dangerous attacking teams.

One positive for Nice is their ability to stay competitive in tighter matches. Three of their last five fixtures ended level (all under 2.5 goals)l, highlighting a cautious tactical approach that could again be used in an attempt to frustrate Lens over 90 minutes.

Last matches of OGC Nice

  1. OGC Nice

    0 : 0

    Metz

    Ligue 1

  2. Auxerre

    2 : 1

    OGC Nice

    Ligue 1

  3. OGC Nice

    1 : 1

    RC Lens

    Ligue 1

  4. Marseille

    1 : 1

    OGC Nice

    Ligue 1

  5. Strasbourg

    0 : 2

    OGC Nice

    Coupe de France

OGC Nice lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 80

    Yehvann Diouf

Defenders

  • 33

    Antoine Mendy

  • 4

    Dante

  • 37

    Kojo Peprah Oppong

  • 92

    Jonathan Clauss

  • 26

    Melvin Bard

Midfielders

  • 24

    Charles Vanhoutte

  • 8

    Morgan Sanson

  • 10

    Sofiane Diop

Forwards

  • 11

    Elye Wahi

  • 25

    Mohamed Ali Cho

Prediction

Nice are likely to remain compact and disciplined defensively, but their recent struggles in Ligue 1 and injury concerns at the back could eventually prove decisive against Lens’ aggressive attacking setup. Lens should be able to convert at least one of the chances they are inevitably going to create, but it is unlikely that the 109th Coupe de France final will be flooded with goals, as Nice have been defensively solid in the final run-in and under 2.5 goals has also occurred in the last four Ligue 1 meetings between the finalists.

Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals Total.

Three reasons we expect Under 2.5 Goals Total

  1. Under 2.5 goals has landed in four consecutive Ligue 1 fixtures between Lens and Nice.
  2. Under 2.5 goals has been the outcome in five of Nice’s last eight Ligue 1 outings.
  3. Under 2.5 goals has occurred in 5 of the last 10 Coupe de France finals.

Main prediction RC Lens - OGC Nice

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

I have been familiar with sports betting and football betting in particular for 10 years, so I have a good knowledge of analysing and researching football bets to make the best possible predictions.

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Lens vs Nice – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can watch Lens take on Nice on the Sofascore app.

? What is the average number of corners Lens have won in the Coupe de France 2025/26?

6.2

? What is the average number of corners Nice have won in the Coupe de France 2025/26?

5.1