Le Mans vs Toulouse prediction 16.10.2026 | Ligue 1
Le Mans
Kick off:
Date:
Toulouse
1
3.12
X
3.61
2
2.39
Contents
- Competition: Ligue 1
- Date: 16th October 2026
- Kick-off: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CEST
- Venue: Stade Marie-Marvingt
An exciting weekend of French top flight football kicks off early as Le Mans plays host to Toulouse. The newly promoted hosts put up a real fight last time out but eventually suffered a spirited 3-1 defeat away at giant Paris Saint-Germain. I didn't think they'd be that good defensively against the champions for 60 minutes. Meanwhile, Toulouse arrives buoyed by a highly resilient comeback 2-2 draw over at Monaco. With both mid-table sides locked on six points, they'll be desperate to snatch a massive statement win. Let’s dig into the best betting angles.
Le Mans vs Toulouse Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Le Mans
1 : 3
Toulouse
Ligue 1
-
Toulouse
2 : 0
Le Mans
Ligue 1
-
Toulouse
2 : 0
Le Mans
Ligue 1
-
Le Mans
1 : 2
Toulouse
Ligue 1
-
Toulouse
1 : 1
Le Mans
Ligue 1
-
Le Mans
1 : 1
Toulouse
Ligue 1
Their last 10 competitive meetings shows Le Mans claiming three victories to Toulouse’s four, alongside three draws. The average number of goals scored stands at exactly 2.2 goals per game over this period. Toulouse claimed a 3-1 victory in their most recent clash.
Le Mans team overview
Le Mans prepares for this one on the back of a 3-1 domestic defeat against Paris Saint-Germain. The Blood and Gold are eager to establish consistency in the top tier after securing promotion from Ligue 2 last season.
Patrick Videira’s men have had a volatile introduction to life in Ligue 1, picking up six points from their opening six matches.
The team has turned their home ground into a highly competitive environment. They are currently unbeaten in 18 games at the Stade Marie-Marvingt, including a 2-1 win over Lorient this season.
Louis Mafouta has been the absolute centerpiece of their attacking line, scoring four league goals already this season. Still, the hosts face a massive midfield puzzle with Adil Bourabaa sidelined long-term with a painful ankle issue.
Last matches of Le Mans
-
PSG
3 : 1
Le Mans
Ligue 1
-
Guingamp
2 : 1
Le Mans
Club Friendlies 3
-
Le Mans
2 : 1
Lorient
Ligue 1
-
Le Mans
2 : 2
RC Lens
Ligue 1
-
OGC Nice
1 : 1
Le Mans
Ligue 1
Le Mans lineup
Goalkeeper
-
98
Nicolas Kocik
Defenders
-
15
Noa Boisse
-
17
Samuel Yohou
-
5
Harold Voyer
Midfielders
-
26
Rayan Bamba
-
22
Lucas Calodat
-
8
Alexandre Lauray
-
10
Jean Vercruysse
-
29
Lucas Bretelle
Forwards
-
13
Habib Diallo
-
14
Louis Mafouta
Toulouse team overview
Toulouse enters this one on the back of a resilient 2-2 draw away at AS Monaco. The Violets are enduring a similarly turbulent start to their new domestic campaign under Jens Berthel Askou.
They have mirrored their opponents by grinding out exactly six points from their first six games of the season. The Violets have struggled on the road in recent months, managing just one win from their last seven away fixtures.
Forward Casper Tengstedt has been a vital spark for the frontline, contributing four goals and one assist in four Ligue 1 games.
Their transitional fluidity looks promising, but failing to keep a clean sheet in six games and shipping 11 goals is a major problem. To make things worse they will be without their captain and defender Rasmus Nicolaisen due to a calf injury.
Last matches of Toulouse
-
Monaco
2 : 2
Toulouse
Ligue 1
-
Toulouse
2 : 3
Pau
Club Friendlies 3
-
Toulouse
3 : 2
Le Havre
Ligue 1
-
Lorient
2 : 2
Toulouse
Ligue 1
-
Toulouse
0 : 1
Lille
Ligue 1
Toulouse lineup
Goalkeeper
-
16
Guillaume Restes
Defenders
-
22
Rafik Messali
-
5
Seny Koumbassa
-
3
Mark McKenzie
Midfielders
-
12
Christ Tape
-
8
Thomas Jorgensen
-
37
Ilyas Azizi
-
23
Cristian Casseres Jr.
-
18
Mathis Amougou
Forwards
-
20
Casper Tengstedt
-
13
Jacen Russell-Rowe
Prediction
Locking in a tight 1-1 draw here. It just screams stalemate. Le Mans are rock-solid on their own patch and haven't lost at home in ages, but missing Adil Bourabaa completely guts their creative engine. Meanwhile, Toulouse simply can't stop drawing on the road lately. Both sides have incredibly leaky defenses that guarantee we'll see goals at both ends, but I don't think either squad has enough quality to snatch a late winner.
Three reasons we expect both teams to score in this game
- Le Mans have scored in all their last seven games across all competitions.
- Both teams scored in each of the last seven games of Le Mans.
- Toulouse have just one clean sheet from their last 14 competitive games.
Main prediction Le Mans - Toulouse
Both Teams to Score
Best Odds:
Melbet
1.57
Le Mans vs Toulouse standings in Ligue 1
| Regular Season | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 - 5 | +5 | 14 |
| 2 | LOSC Lille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 - 4 | +5 | 13 |
| 3 | Rennes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 - 10 | +2 | 13 |
| 4 | Olympique Lyonnais | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 - 4 | +7 | 11 |
| 5 | Paris | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 - 4 | +4 | 11 |
| 6 | Paris Saint Germain | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 - 8 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 - 9 | +3 | 8 |
| 8 | Lorient | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 - 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 - 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 - 10 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 | Strasbourg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 - 12 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | Angers SCO | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 - 10 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Olympique Marseille | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 - 8 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 | Le Mans | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 - 12 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 - 11 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 - 16 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 | Troyes | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 - 13 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 - 8 | -4 | 2 |