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Genoa vs Fiorentina prediction 10.10.2026 | Serie A

Genoa

Genoa

Kick off:

Date:

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

1

3.30

X

3.25

2

2.25

  • Competition: Serie A
  • Date: 10th October 2026
  • Kick-off: 14:00 UK / 15:00 CEST
  • Venue: Luigi Ferraris Stadium

I'll never forget Fiorentina's brutal 4-1 demolition of Genoa in 2023. Total dominance. But things have changed recently with Genoa avoiding defeat in each of the last two meetings. The hosts hope their first win of the season comes this weekend and in front of their fans. La Viola have one win in the bag already but 17th place is not where they belong.  Who will come up on top? Let's check the best betting options.

Genoa vs Fiorentina Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Fiorentina

    0 : 0

    Genoa

    Serie A

  2. Genoa

    2 : 2

    Fiorentina

    Serie A

  3. Fiorentina

    2 : 1

    Genoa

    Serie A

  4. Genoa

    0 : 1

    Fiorentina

    Serie A

  5. Fiorentina

    1 : 1

    Genoa

    Serie A

  6. Genoa

    1 : 4

    Fiorentina

    Serie A

Fiorentina has dominated recent history, suffocating Genoa with 5 commanding wins while splitting the remaining 6 fixtures as tense draws across their last 11 league meetings. These clashes averaged 2.55 goals per game.

Genoa

Genoa team overview

Genoa enters this one on the back of a tough start to the season, desperately needing to turn things around. The Grifone finished a respectable 16th last term with 41 points, but the new campaign has been an absolute nightmare.

Daniele De Rossi's men have picked up a solitary point from their opening 5 Serie A matches. It’s a difficult time for the fans. Their home form offers zero comfort either, as they're currently trapped on a worrying five-match winless streak at the Luigi Ferraris in Serie A.

Up front, Lorenzo Colombo has been one of their sparks with 2 assists, but he's unfortunately sidelined for three weeks with an ankle injury.

Junior Messias is finally back in full training, which is a massive relief. I honestly think they’ll struggle heavily without a proper focal point in attack. Can they defy the odds?

Last matches of Genoa

  1. Rapid Bucuresti

    2 : 0

    Genoa

    Club Friendlies 3

  2. Parma

    2 : 1

    Genoa

    Serie A

  3. Genoa

    1 : 0

    Südtirol

    Coppa Italia

  4. Genoa

    1 : 1

    Frosinone

    Serie A

  5. Genoa

    1 : 4

    Como

    Serie A

Genoa lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Justin Bijlow

Defenders

  • 27

    Alessandro Marcandalli

  • 5

    Leo Østigård

  • 22

    Johan Vásquez

Midfielders

  • 32

    Morten Frendrup

  • 97

    Djibril Sow

  • 8

    Tommaso Baldanzi

  • 2

    Mario Mitaj

  • 3

    Kingsley Ehizibue

Forwards

  • 9

    Vitinha

  • 18

    Milutin Osmajić

Fiorentina

Fiorentina team overview

Fiorentina enters this one on the back of a hard-fought 1-1 draw against Napoli, showing glimpses of stability after a rocky start to the season.

The Violets endured a forgettable 2025/26 campaign, laboring to a disappointing 15th-place finish with 42 points. Things haven't drastically improved under Paolo Vanoli guidance, with the squad picking up just 4 points from their first 5 Serie A outings.

It's far from ideal. Their away form offers a fragile silver lining though, as they beat Venezia 4-2 in their last game on the road. Up front, Franco Mastantuono has been their bright spark with 3 league goals.

Defensively, Fabiano Parisi remains sidelined with a severe cruciate ligament injury. I honestly feel their backline looks incredibly vulnerable without him organizing the flanks.

Last matches of Fiorentina

  1. Fiorentina

    1 : 1

    Napoli

    Serie A

  2. Fiorentina

    3 : 0

    Pisa

    Coppa Italia

  3. Venezia FC

    2 : 4

    Fiorentina

    Serie A

  4. Fiorentina

    1 : 2

    Torino

    Serie A

  5. Fiorentina

    0 : 3

    Frosinone

    Serie A

Fiorentina lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 43

    David de Gea

Defenders

  • 2

    Dodô

  • 3

    Radu Drăgușin

  • 6

    Luca Ranieri

  • 21

    Robin Gosens

Midfielders

  • 44

    Nicolò Fagioli

  • 27

    Cher Ndour

  • 4

    Marco Brescianini

Forwards

  • 30

    Franco Mastantuono

  • 25

    Alieu Njie

  • 32

    Mateo Pellegrino

Prediction

I'll never forget watching these two tear into each other at the Luigi Ferraris last time; it was absolute chaotic brilliance from start to finish. Expect more fireworks here. Genoa simply can't defend at home right now, and losing Colombo completely guts their threat upfront. Meanwhile, Paolo Vanoli’s men look deadly on the road. They'll exploit those leaky flanks all day. It’s going to be tight, but I’m confidently backing a narrow 2-1 away win for Fiorentina.

Four reasons we expect over 2.5 goals in this game

  1. Three of the last four away games of Fiorentina produced four or more goals.
  2. Genoa scored in all their last five competitive home encounters.
  3. Four of the last six meetings between Genoa and Fiorentina at this ground produced over 2.5 goals.
  4. Genoa shipped 2+ goals in four of their last five home Serie A encounters.

Main prediction Genoa - Fiorentina

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

60% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Football betting expert with a background in data science and statistical modeling.

Best Odds:

Melbet

2.10

Bet here

Genoa vs Fiorentina standings in Serie A

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Roma 5 4 1 0 14 - 3 +11 13
2 Inter 5 4 1 0 15 - 8 +7 13
3 Lazio 5 4 1 0 8 - 3 +5 13
4 Cagliari 5 4 0 1 5 - 2 +3 12
5 AC Milan 5 3 2 0 10 - 4 +6 11
6 Frosinone 5 3 1 1 9 - 4 +5 10
7 Juventus 5 3 1 1 8 - 4 +4 10
8 Como 5 3 1 1 9 - 6 +3 10
9 Napoli 5 2 1 2 7 - 6 +1 7
10 Sassuolo 5 2 1 2 9 - 9 0 7
11 Atalanta 5 2 0 3 5 - 7 -2 6
12 Lecce 5 2 0 3 5 - 10 -5 6
13 Udinese 5 1 1 3 8 - 11 -3 4
14 Torino 5 1 1 3 5 - 8 -3 4
15 Parma 5 1 1 3 4 - 7 -3 4
16 Monza 5 1 1 3 8 - 12 -4 4
17 Fiorentina 5 1 1 3 6 - 12 -6 4
18 Bologna 5 0 2 3 3 - 6 -3 2
19 Genoa 5 0 1 4 3 - 10 -7 1
20 Venezia 5 0 0 5 4 - 13 -9 0

Genoa vs Fiorentina – FAQ

? Where can you actually watch this one?

Camel1 Live is free, and honestly, a decent option for Saturday’s Serie A encounter.

? How many corners do Fiorentina win on average per game in this Serie A campaign?

Around 4.40 per match, which remains a strong attacking indicator for the visitors.

? What about bookings for Genoa per game in this Serie A campaign?

About 2.00 yellow cards on average in their league games.