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Croatia vs Spain prediction 06.10.2026 | Nations League

Croatia

Croatia

Kick off:

Date:

Spain

Spain

1

10.00

X

6.15

2

1.30

  • Competition: UEFA Nations League
  • Date: 06/10/2026
  • KO: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CEST
  • Venue: Poljud Stadium

Croatia attempt to recover from a historic humiliation when they face world champions Spain on Tuesday.

Slaven Bilic's side were demolished by England on Saturday, while Spain maintained their perfect start with a comfortable victory against Czechia.

La Roja eased to a three-goal win in last week's reverse fixture and will be expected to claim another road victory on Tuesday.

Croatia vs Spain Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Spain

    4 : 1

    Croatia

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Spain

    3 : 0

    Croatia

    European Championship

  3. Croatia

    0 : 0

    Spain

    UEFA Nations League

  4. Croatia

    3 : 5

    Spain

    European Championship

  5. Croatia

    3 : 2

    Spain

    UEFA Nations League

  6. Spain

    6 : 0

    Croatia

    UEFA Nations League

Croatia and Spain have met on eight previous occasions. Spain won five games, while Croatia picked up two victories. One match finished level. 

Spain secured a commanding 4:1 victory in last week's reverse fixture in Seville.

Six of their seven previous meetings since 2016 finished with at least three goals scored.

Croatia

Croatia team overview

Croatia return to Split after suffering a humiliating 7:0 defeat against England in Rijeka on Saturday.

Harry Kane and Bukayo Saka both scored twice, while Jude Bellingham, Anthony Gordon and Morgan Rogers added further goals in Croatia's heaviest-ever defeat.

That result came only four days after the Vatreni slipped to a 4:1 reversal against Spain at Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán. Bilic’s side have now leaked 11 goals in just two games and confidence is sure to be drained following the remarkable setback against England. 

Croatia began their campaign with a 2:1 victory against Czechia, but their defensive collapse across the past week leaves them third in Group A3 with three points.

Those defensive issues have been long-standing. The Croats leaked 29 goals in their last 13 games, with just one clean sheet kept in that period. 

Under-pressure boss Bilic is expected to make changes after Saturday's disastrous display. Andrej Kramaric, Igor Matanovic and Mario Pasalic are among those pushing for recalls.

Josip Juranovic and Martin Erlic are expected to remain unavailable through injury.

Last matches of Croatia

  1. Croatia

    0 : 7

    England

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Spain

    4 : 1

    Croatia

    UEFA Nations League

  3. Czech Republic

    1 : 2

    Croatia

    UEFA Nations League

  4. Croatia

    2 : 1

    Ghana

    World Cup

  5. England

    4 : 2

    Croatia

    World Cup

Croatia lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Dominik Livakovic

Defenders

  • 6

    Josip Sutalo

  • 5

    Luka Vuskovic

  • 4

    Josko Gvardiol

  • 14

    Ivan Perisic

Midfielders

  • 10

    Luka Modric

  • 8

    Mateo Kovacic

  • 7

    Franjo Ivanovic

  • 17

    Petar Sucic

  • 13

    Nikola Vlasic

Forwards

  • 11

    Petar Musa

Spain

Spain team overview

Spain travel to Split after maintaining their perfect Nations League record with a deserved 3:1 victory against Czechia on Saturday.

Lamine Yamal opened the scoring before Rodri doubled Spain’s advantage in the first half. Czechia pulled one back after the interval, but substitute Mikel Merino secured the points late on.

Rangers forward Ryan Naderi was denied a goalscoring debut for the visitors when VAR intervened to rule out his second-half effort.

Luis de la Fuente made nine changes to the side that beat Croatia last week, yet the world champions remained in control for much of the contest.

The World Cup winners have collected nine points from their first three group fixtures, scoring ten goals in victories against England, Croatia and Czechia.

Over a longer period, Spain have won each of their last ten games since their goalless draw against Cape Verde at the World Cup. La Roja averaged 2.4 goals per game in those victories.

Head coach De la Fuente could restore several regulars to his first XI. Unai Simon, Pau Cubarsi, Marc Cucurella, Fabian Ruiz and Mikel Oyarzabal are among those pushing for recalls.

Nico Williams, Ferran Torres and Alejandro Grimaldo have withdrawn from the squad through injury. Joan Garcia and Eric Garcia are also unavailable.

Last matches of Spain

  1. Spain

    3 : 1

    Czech Republic

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Spain

    4 : 1

    Croatia

    UEFA Nations League

  3. England

    2 : 3

    Spain

    UEFA Nations League

  4. Spain

    1 : 0

    Argentina

    World Cup

  5. France

    0 : 2

    Spain

    World Cup

Spain lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    David Raya

Defenders

  • 4

    Ivan Fresneda

  • 3

    Robin Le Normand

  • 14

    Aymeric Laporte

  • 5

    Fran Garcia

Midfielders

  • 16

    Rodri

  • 20

    Pedri

  • 19

    Lamine Yamal

  • 10

    Dani Olmo

  • 15

    Alex Baena

Forwards

  • 17

    Roberto Fernandez

Prediction

Croatia face a daunting task only three days after suffering the heaviest defeat in their history.

Spain have won all three group matches and claimed a convincing 4:1 victory when these nations met in Seville last week.

Given their contrasting form, a high-scoring Spain win looks inevitable on Tuesday.

Four Reasons Why We Expect Spain to Win and Over 2.5 Goals

  1. Spain won their last 10 matches
  2. Spain have seen over 2.5 goals in 10 of their last 14 wins
  3. Croatia lost 6 of their last 10 matches
  4. Croatia have seen over 2.5 goals in 12 of their last 14 matches

Main prediction Croatia - Spain

Away/Over 2.5

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Originally from Scotland, Ryan is an experienced betting expert and content producer based out of Barcelona, Spain.

Best Odds:

Paripesa

1.67

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Croatia vs Spain standings in UEFA Nations League

Group 3 P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Spain 3 3 0 0 10 - 4 +6 9
2 England 3 2 0 1 11 - 3 +8 6
3 Croatia 3 1 0 2 3 - 12 -9 3
4 Czech Republic 3 0 0 3 2 - 7 -5 0

Croatia vs Spain – FAQ

? Croatia Player to Watch

Dion Beljo – The forward scored Croatia's only goal in last week's 4:1 defeat against Spain.

? Spain Player to Watch

Lamine Yamal – The Barcelona winger has scored four goals in Spain's opening three Nations League matches.