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Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Poland prediction 05.10.2026 | Nations League

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Kick off:

Date:

Poland

Poland

1

3.46

X

3.54

2

2.18

  • Competition: Nations League - League B
  • Date: Monday, 5th October 2026
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CEST
  • Venue: Bilino Polje (Zenica)

One of the most intriguing League B clashes in the Nations League fourth round will be between Bosnia and Herzegovina and Poland. Both teams are candidates for promotion to the higher level, and the upcoming tie could be decisive. Can the hosts secure all three points? Let's break down the match and find the best betting option. 

Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Poland Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Poland

    0 : 0

    Bosnia and Herzegovina

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Poland

    3 : 0

    Bosnia and Herzegovina

    UEFA Nations League

  3. Bosnia and Herzegovina

    1 : 2

    Poland

    UEFA Nations League

  4. Poland

    2 : 2

    Bosnia and Herzegovina

    Friendly International

  5. Bosnia and Herzegovina

    0 : 1

    Poland

    Friendly International

Poland are usually dominant against Bosnia and Herzegovina, winning three of the last four H2H matches. The previous meeting was about ten days ago, when it was 0-0 in Warsaw. The hosts were slightly better that time, but neither team did enough to secure a valuable victory. 

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Bosnia and Herzegovina team overview

Bosnia and Herzegovina have been progressing recently. After a solid World Cup performance, they are hoping to return to the Nations League's strongest level. However, after three rounds, Bosnia and Herzegovina trail Sweden by two points and lead Poland by one. With only one team winning direct promotion, it is probably little more realistic for Sergej Barbarez's team to reach the desired place through the playoffs. But to get that chance, Bosnia and Herzegovina need to finish ahead of their next opponent, and Monday's tie could prove decisive. Barbarez's team are unbeaten in the last three matches. In the previous game, they played 1-1 at home against Sweden.

After a draw in the last match, the head coach Sergej Barbarez was pleased. He commented, "When you don't have the players to press, then you can't press. It's normal to lose the ball, to clear it long — that's completely normal in a match. We like to do certain things in midfield, and we made mistakes, but overall I can be satisfied. You always have an opponent with 11 players as well. When you look at where Sweden's players play their club football, they are world-class."

Bosnia and Herzegovina's legend, Edin Dzeko, finished his career with the national team against Sweden and will not play on Monday night in Zenica. Goalkeeper Martin Zlomislic skipped the previous game due to neck issues, but could return for Poland. Also, Sergej Barbarez said that a few players had cramps, and it will not be surprising if he slightly rotates the starting lineup.

Last matches of Bosnia and Herzegovina

  1. Bosnia and Herzegovina

    1 : 1

    Sweden

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Romania

    2 : 4

    Bosnia and Herzegovina

    UEFA Nations League

  3. Poland

    0 : 0

    Bosnia and Herzegovina

    UEFA Nations League

  4. United States

    2 : 0

    Bosnia and Herzegovina

    World Cup

  5. Bosnia and Herzegovina

    3 : 1

    Qatar

    World Cup

Bosnia and Herzegovina lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 22

    Martin Zlomislic

Defenders

  • 15

    Amar Memic

  • 18

    Nikola Katic

  • 4

    Tarik Muharemovic

  • 5

    Sead Kolasinac

Midfielders

  • 20

    Esmir Bajraktarevic

  • 13

    Ivan Basic

  • 8

    Armin Gigovic

  • 19

    Kerim Alajbegovic

Forwards

  • 10

    Ermedin Demirovic

  • 23

    Haris Tabakovic

Poland

Poland team overview

Poland were pretty regular at major tournaments until they missed the World Cup this summer. Also, after four years in the Nations League - League A, Poland are in the lower tier and would like to bounce back to the previous level. However, Jan Urban's team is fourth in the standings and will need the best possible form for the rest of the competition. In the previous game, Poland won 6-0 at home against Romania. The guests' Radu Dragusin received a red card early in the match, and the hosts dominated for the rest of the tie.

Poland's head coach, Jan Urban, wasn't fully satisfied with the first half against Romania. He stated, "You have to be able to capitalize on a one-man advantage, because we know it's often not that easy. The opponent can close off their penalty area and focus on counterattacks. We went to the locker room, and it was only 1-0. We talked about how we'd like to have a calm result as soon as possible, to control the game, because that will also allow us to conserve some energy for the next match."

The biggest problem for Poland is that Robert Lewandowski received another yellow card and will not play on Monday in Zenica. In his absence, Marcel Regula could start on the right wing, while Karol Swiderski should move to striker.

Last matches of Poland

  1. Poland

    6 : 0

    Romania

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Sweden

    3 : 1

    Poland

    UEFA Nations League

  3. Poland

    0 : 0

    Bosnia and Herzegovina

    UEFA Nations League

  4. Poland

    2 : 2

    Nigeria

    Friendly International

  5. Poland

    0 : 2

    Ukraine

    Friendly International

Poland lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Marcin Bulka

Defenders

  • 2

    Matty Cash

  • 5

    Jan Bednarek

  • 14

    Jakub Kiwior

  • 19

    Przemyslaw Frankowski

Midfielders

  • 10

    Piotr Zielinski

  • 20

    Sebastian Szymanski

  • 16

    Wiktor Nowak

Forwards

  • 18

    Marcel Regula

  • 11

    Karol Swiderski

  • 21

    Nicola Zalewski

Prediction

Both teams are very good defensively. Interestingly, both sides conceded three goals in three Nations League rounds. Also, in the previous H2H matches, Bosnia and Herzegovina and Poland played 0-0. We should expect another tough, defensive tie with no more than two goals on Monday night. 

Reasons why we shouldn't expect more than two goals in this match

  1. Bosnia and Herzegovina conceded three goals in three Nations League rounds
  2. Poland allowed three goals in three matches so far
  3. Bosnia and Herzegovina and Poland played 0-0 about ten days ago

Main prediction Bosnia and Herzegovina - Poland

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

51% winrate

wins

1 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.90

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Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Poland standings in UEFA Nations League

Group 4 P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Sweden 3 2 1 0 6 - 3 +3 7
2 Bosnia and Herzegovina 3 1 2 0 5 - 3 +2 5
3 Poland 3 1 1 1 7 - 3 +4 4
4 Romania 3 0 0 3 3 - 12 -9 0

Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Poland – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Bosnia and Herzegovina in the Nations League?

The average xG for Bosnia and Herzegovina in the Nations League is 1.04.

? How much is the average xG for Poland in the Nations League?

The average xG for Poland in the Nations League is 2.13.