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Benfica vs Aarhus prediction 20.08.2026 | Europa League

Benfica

Benfica

Kick off:

Date:

AGF Aarhus

AGF Aarhus

1

1.16

X

7.40

2

14.50

  • Competition: Europa League qualifications
  • Date: Thursday, 20th August 2026
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CEST
  • Venue: Estádio da Luz (Lisbon)

On Thursday night, Benfica and Aarhus will meet in another intriguing Europa League qualifier. The two teams are coming in completely different forms, but can the Danish side shock the Portuguese powerhouse and avoid defeat at Estádio da Luz? Let's break down the match and find the best betting option. 

The only H2H matches between Benfica and Aarhus were in 1987, when the Portuguese team won 1-0 on aggregate in the European Cup's 1/8 final. With almost 40 years having passed, we shouldn't care too much about those games when we analyze the upcoming ties. 

Benfica

Benfica team overview

Last season, Benfica finished behind Porto and Sporting CP in the domestic league, and it is no hard to imagine the same outcome for the 2026/27 campaign. Benfica played well in the previous weeks. They convincingly defeated St. Gallen and Hearts in the Europa League qualifications, while in the Portuguese league, Marco Silva's team collected four points in two matches. In the previous game, Benfica won 7-0 on the road against Casa Pia. The visitors scored two goals in the first 14 minutes and never left any doubt about who would take the points in Rio Maior. 

Benfica are very active in the transfer window. This week, they sold Amar Dedic to Newcastle. On the other hand, a lot of players are connected with the Portuguese team. Southampton's defender Taylor Harwood-Bellis informed his club that he wants to move to Benfica. Marco Silva's team already attempted to sign the Englishman this summer, but it is expected to intensify contact this week. 

Benfica have some problems with injuries. They will be without Fredrik Aursnes, Joshua Wynder, and Jaden Umeh on Thursday against Aarhus. 

Last matches of Benfica

  1. Casa Pia

    0 : 7

    Benfica

    Liga Portugal

  2. Hearts

    1 : 1

    Benfica

    Europa League

  3. Benfica

    2 : 2

    Academico Viseu

    Liga Portugal

  4. Benfica

    6 : 1

    Hearts

    Europa League

  5. Benfica

    5 : 0

    St. Gallen

    Europa League

Benfica lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 24

    Samuel Soares

Defenders

  • 6

    Alexander Bah

  • 44

    Tomas Araujo

  • 2

    Clement Lenglet

  • 26

    Samuel Dahl

Midfielders

  • 5

    Enzo Barrenechea

  • 10

    Georgiy Sudakov

  • 18

    Leandro Barreiro

Forwards

  • 27

    Rafa Silva

  • 14

    Vangelis Pavlidis

  • 25

    Gianluca Prestianni

AGF Aarhus

Aarhus team overview

After Aarhus's first title in 40 years, some expected Jakob Poulsen's team to become one of the best Danish teams. That was always unrealistic, and it will not be surprising if Aarhus ends up in the relegation group this season. The Danish champions played only seven matches in all competitions this season and won only two. After a heavy defeat to Sabah in the Champions League qualifications, Aarhus also lost 2-1 in the most recent outing against Viborg. Poulsen's team probably deserved more that time, but problems in defense and poor efficiency cost them points. 

In recent weeks, there were rumors that Aarhus is interested in Monza's defender Arvid Brorsson. We haven't heard much about that possibility since then. However, Aarhus is very thin in defense, and they will surely add at least one more player in the coming weeks. 

Aarhus will be without injured Fredrik Tingager, Kevin Yakob, Richmond Gyamfi, and Nicolai Poulsen on Thursday in Lisbon. 

Last matches of AGF Aarhus

  1. Viborg

    2 : 1

    AGF Aarhus

    Superliga

  2. Sabah

    4 : 0

    AGF Aarhus

    Champions League

  3. AGF Aarhus

    2 : 1

    Sabah

    Champions League

  4. Lyngby Boldklub

    2 : 2

    AGF Aarhus

    Superliga

  5. Lech Poznan

    3 : 4

    AGF Aarhus

    Champions League

AGF Aarhus lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 21

    Mads Hedenstad

Defenders

  • 26

    Jacob Andersen

  • 25

    Colin Rosler

  • 19

    Eric Kahl

Midfielders

  • 29

    Rasmus Carstensen

  • 4

    Magnus Knudsen

  • 16

    Jens Jonsson

  • 11

    Gift Links

Forwards

  • 31

    Tobias Bech

  • 28

    James Bogere

  • 10

    Kristian Arnstad

Prediction

The two teams are in completely different moments. Benfica are unbeaten in their last five matches, while Aarhus have lost their previous two games by a 1:6 goal difference. We should expect the Portuguese team to dominate on Thursday night. Our prediction: Benfica to win and cover AH -2 spread. 

4 Reasons why Benfica should win and cover AH -2 spread

  1. Benfica are unbeaten in the last five matches
  2. Benfica scored 21 goals in the previous five games
  3. Aarhus lost the previous two games
  4. Aarhus had a 1:6 goal difference in the previous two games

Main prediction Benfica - AGF Aarhus

AH1 (-2)

Updated

clock
winrate

51% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

Melbet

1.67

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Benfica vs Aarhus – FAQ

? How much is the average xG for Benfica this season?

The average xG for Benfica in the Europa League qualification this season is 2.26.

? How much is the average xG for Aarhus this season?

The average xG for Aarhus in the Champions League qualification this season was 1.40.