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Belarus vs Finland prediction 06.10.2026 | Nations League

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  • Competition: Nations League
  • Date: 6th October 2026
  • Kick-off: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CEST
  • Venue: Haradzki Stadium

It's time for revenge. Just a week after their cagey, tactical stalemate, Belarus and Finland lock horns again with everything to play for. I fell asleep during that 0-0 draw. Seriously, it was brutal to watch. History favors the Finns, who remain completely unbeaten in this fixture. Belarus has never figured them out. However, defensive grinds are where this Belarusian side thrives, and they smell blood at home. Can the hosts finally break the curse, or will Finland pull off a masterclass? Let's find some winners.

vs Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Finland

    0 : 0

    Belarus

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Finland

    2 : 0

    Belarus

    Friendly International

  3. Belarus

    1 : 1

    Finland

    WC Qualification Europe

  4. Finland

    1 : 0

    Belarus

    WC Qualification Europe

  5. Finland

    1 : 1

    Belarus

    Friendly International

  6. Finland

    2 : 2

    Belarus

    Friendly International

Finland dominates the history books, remaining completely unbeaten across six previous meetings with two wins and four draws. Do not expect an explosion of goals. Their recent 0-0 cagey stalemate perfectly highlights this historically low-scoring affair, averaging a sluggish 1.83 goals per match.

Belarus team overview

Belarus prepares for this one on the back of a mixed bag of international results. The White Wings have never qualified for a major international tournament, making their absence from recent World Cups and Euros a standard reality rather than a shock.

Viktor Goncharenko’s men started their current League C campaign with a 2-0 loss to Albania and a stale 0-0 draw against Finland, before turning things around with a resounding 4-0 thrashing of San Marino.

When playing on home soil, they are currently on a two-match unbeaten streak. It's a decent foundation, although home matches are technically played at neutral venues due to UEFA restrictions.

Artem Kontsevoy is the man to watch after netting a clinical brace in their recent 4-0 blowout against San Marino. No major roster absentees disrupt Goncharenko's tactical planning.

Last matches of

  1. Belarus

    4 : 0

    San Marino

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Finland

    0 : 0

    Belarus

    UEFA Nations League

  3. Albania

    2 : 0

    Belarus

    UEFA Nations League

  4. Belarus

    2 : 2

    Burkina Faso

    Friendly International

  5. Belarus

    4 : 1

    Syria

    Friendly International

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 21

    Fedor Lapoukhov

Defenders

  • 6

    Roman Begunov

  • 13

    Kirill Gomanov

  • 20

    Zakhar Volkov

  • 2

    Kirill Pechenin

Midfielders

  • 9

    Max Ebong

  • 14

    Evgeni Yablonski

  • 16

    Anton Kovalev

Forwards

  • 10

    Valery Gromyko

  • 18

    Timofey Simanenka

  • 23

    Trofim Melnichenko

Finland team overview

Finland prepares for this one on the back of a hard-fought 2-1 victory over Albania. The Eagle-Owls have spent recent years fighting on the fringes of Europe's elite, having missed out on the 2026 World Cup by finishing third in their qualification group.

Jacob Friis’s men have been absolutely flying in their current UEFA Nations League campaign, securing a massive 7-0 blowout against San Marino, a 0-0 stalemate with Belarus, and that crucial win against Albania.

When playing on the road, they boast only one win from their last four competitive games. It doesn’t look good but their historic 7-0 victory in San Marino provides a boost.

Leo Walta is the undisputed star right now, boasting four goals at this tournament after smashing in a sensational free-kick brace on Saturday. No major squad absentees have been reported.

Last matches of

  1. Finland

    2 : 1

    Albania

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Finland

    0 : 0

    Belarus

    UEFA Nations League

  3. San Marino

    0 : 7

    Finland

    UEFA Nations League

  4. Hungary

    2 : 1

    Finland

    Friendly International

  5. Germany

    4 : 0

    Finland

    Friendly International

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Lukas Hradecky

Defenders

  • 3

    Adam Ståhl

  • 4

    Tony Miettinen

  • 15

    Leo Väisänen

  • 17

    Ryan Mahuta

Midfielders

  • 6

    Glen Kamara

  • 14

    Kaan Kairinen

  • 10

    Leo Walta

Forwards

  • 8

    Robin Lod

  • 20

    Joel Pohjanpalo

  • 19

    Benjamin Källman

Prediction

Everything points to a low-scoring tactical battle, but Finland holds the psychological edge. The Eagle-Owls are simply the more clinical side here. Belarus will park the bus at their neutral home venue. They love a defensive grind. However, Finland's backline is incredibly stubborn right now. Expect the visitors to break the deadlock late through a set-piece or a moment of brilliance from Leo Walta. Back a precise 1-0 victory for Finland.

Three reasons we expect under 2.5 goals in this game

  1. Finland have conceded only two goals in their last four competitive games.
  2. Belarus kept a clean sheet in three of their last four competitive games.
  3. None of the last five meetings between Belarus and Finland produced over 2.5 goals.

Main prediction -

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

60% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

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vs standings in UEFA Nations League

Group 1 P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Finland 3 2 1 0 9 - 1 +8 7
2 Albania 3 2 0 1 6 - 2 +4 6
3 Belarus 3 1 1 1 4 - 2 +2 4
4 San Marino 3 0 0 3 0 - 14 -14 0

Belarus vs Finland – FAQ

? Where can you actually watch this one?

Camel1 Live is free, and honestly, a decent option for Tuesday’s Nations League encounter.

? How many corners do Finland win on average per game in this Nations League campaign?

Around 4.20 per match, which remains a strong attacking indicator for the visitors.

? What about bookings for Belarus per game in this Nations League campaign?

About 3.00 yellow cards on average in their Nations League games.