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Atalanta vs Inter prediction 28.12.2025 | Serie A

Atalanta

Atalanta

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Inter Milan

Inter Milan

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  • Competition: Serie A
  • Date: 28th December, 2025
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CET
  • Venue: New Balance Arena

Atalanta and Inter Milan lock horns in Round 17 of the 2025/26 Serie A season, with pivotal implications for European qualification and title ambitions. Inter arrive leading the league with 33 points from 15 matches (11 wins, 4 losses), while Atalanta sit ninth on 22 points from 16 games.

Atalanta vs Inter Milan Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Atalanta

    0 : 2

    Inter Milan

    Serie A

  2. Inter Milan

    2 : 0

    Atalanta

    Super Cup

  3. Inter Milan

    4 : 0

    Atalanta

    Serie A

  4. Inter Milan

    4 : 0

    Atalanta

    Serie A

  5. Atalanta

    1 : 2

    Inter Milan

    Serie A

  6. Inter Milan

    3 : 2

    Atalanta

    Serie A

Historically, Inter hold the upper hand in this fixture: across 48 competitive meetings, Inter have won 28 times to Atalanta’s 7, with 13 draws. The same dominance has been evident over the last couple of seasons, with Inter winning six successive head-to-head encounters against Atalanta. The last time La Dea avoided defeat dates back to the 2021/22 season, when they managed a goalless draw.

Atalanta

Atalanta team overview

Atalanta’s season has been marked by managerial changes and mixed results, but recent form suggests clear improvement. Currently ninth in the table, La Dea have recorded three successive wins heading into this fixture, averaging approximately two goals per match during that run. This sequence includes a 2-1 Champions League victory over Chelsea and back-to-back Serie A wins against Cagliari and Genoa. Such results point to a side rediscovering attacking fluency at the Gewiss Stadium, although it should be noted that not long ago they endured a difficult spell, suffering four league defeats in five matches during a month-long period between 1 November and 6 December.

Injury and availability issues temper optimism. Central defenders Berat Djimsiti (hamstring) and Raoul Bellanova (hamstring) are sidelined, while forwards Ademola Lookman and Odilon Kossounou are away on international duty. The absence of these players affects both defensive cohesion and attacking output, although Djimsiti has been linked with a potential return around mid-January.

Last matches of Atalanta

  1. Genoa

    0 : 1

    Atalanta

    Serie A

  2. Atalanta

    2 : 1

    Cagliari

    Serie A

  3. Atalanta

    2 : 1

    Chelsea

    Champions League

  4. Hellas Verona

    3 : 1

    Atalanta

    Serie A

  5. Atalanta

    4 : 0

    Genoa

    Coppa Italia

Atalanta lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 29

    Marco Carnesecchi

Defenders

  • 42

    Giorgio Scalvini

  • 4

    Isak Hien

  • 23

    Sead Kolašinac

  • 77

    Davide Zappacosta

  • 47

    Lorenzo Bernasconi

Midfielders

  • 15

    Marten de Roon

  • 13

    Éderson

  • 59

    Nicola Zalewski

  • 17

    Charles De Ketelaere

Forwards

  • 9

    Gianluca Scamacca

Inter Milan

Inter team overview

Inter come into this game at the top of the Serie A standings, albeit with several injury concerns of their own. Striker Ange-Yoan Bonny will miss the trip to Bergamo due to a knee sprain, limiting attacking options. In defence, Francesco Acerbi and Matteo Darmian are both unavailable with muscle injuries, while Denzel Dumfries is also sidelined, further reducing options in wide defensive areas.

Despite these setbacks, Inter’s overall form remains strong. They have collected three consecutive Serie A victories, two of which came away from home. However, they may not be in the optimal mental state heading into this fixture following an unfortunate penalty shootout defeat to Bologna in the Super Cup a week ago. Sandwiched in between was a narrow 1-0 Champions League loss to Liverpool a fortnight earlier. Putting non-league matters aside, Cristian Chivu’s men have still recorded six wins from a possible seven league matches since late October, with the only defeat coming in the Derby della Madonnina against arch-rivals AC Milan (0-1).

The Nerazzurri have scored 34 goals in Serie A and boast a strong away record, conceding just 0.67 goals per match across their last three road fixtures. Their goal output has been driven by efficient finishing rather than sheer volume of chances, a trend reflected in a goal difference superior to most of their direct competitors.

Last matches of Inter Milan

  1. Bologna

    3 : 2

    Inter Milan

    Super Cup

  2. Genoa

    1 : 2

    Inter Milan

    Serie A

  3. Inter Milan

    0 : 1

    Liverpool

    Champions League

  4. Inter Milan

    4 : 0

    Como

    Serie A

  5. Inter Milan

    5 : 1

    Venezia FC

    Coppa Italia

Inter Milan lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Yann Sommer

Defenders

  • 31

    Yann Bisseck

  • 25

    Manuel Akanji

  • 95

    Alessandro Bastoni

  • 32

    Federico Dimarco

  • 11

    Luís Henrique

Midfielders

  • 7

    Piotr Zieliński

  • 22

    Henrikh Mkhitaryan

  • 23

    Nicolò Barella

Forwards

  • 10

    Lautaro Martínez

  • 9

    Marcus Thuram

Prediction

Statistically and contextually, Inter enter this fixture with a clear advantage. Their league position, scoring rate (2+ goals per match), and historical success against Atalanta suggest they are more likely to take points from Bergamo. Atalanta’s home form and recent scoring uptick could make this a competitive encounter, especially if they leverage their home attacking rhythm. However, Inter’s defensive discipline away and scoring efficiency suggest they may edge a close game and bring a win back to Milan.

Prediction: Inter to Win.

Three reasons we expect Inter to Win

  1. Inter have collected six league wins from a possible seven since late October.
  2. Inter have won three successive Serie A games in recent weeks.
  3. Inter have dominated this fixture in recent seasons - six successive league wins over Atalanta since 2022.

Main prediction Atalanta - Inter Milan

Inter Milan to win

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

I have been familiar with sports betting and football betting in particular for 10 years, so I have a good knowledge of analysing and researching football bets to make the best possible predictions.

Atalanta vs Inter Milan standings in Serie A

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Inter 21 16 1 4 44 - 17 +27 49
2 AC Milan 20 12 7 1 33 - 16 +17 43
3 Napoli 21 13 4 4 31 - 17 +14 43
4 Juventus 21 11 6 4 32 - 17 +15 39
5 Roma 20 13 0 7 24 - 12 +12 39
6 Como 20 9 7 4 28 - 16 +12 34
7 Atalanta 21 8 8 5 26 - 20 +6 32
8 Bologna 21 8 6 7 30 - 24 +6 30
9 Lazio 20 7 7 6 21 - 16 +5 28
10 Udinese 21 7 5 9 22 - 33 -11 26
11 Parma 21 5 8 8 14 - 22 -8 23
12 Torino 20 6 5 9 21 - 32 -11 23
13 Sassuolo 21 6 5 10 23 - 28 -5 23
14 Cagliari 21 5 7 9 22 - 30 -8 22
15 Cremonese 20 5 7 8 20 - 28 -8 22
16 Genoa 21 4 8 9 22 - 29 -7 20
17 Lecce 20 4 5 11 13 - 28 -15 17
18 Fiorentina 21 3 8 10 23 - 32 -9 17
19 Pisa 21 1 11 9 16 - 31 -15 14
20 Hellas Verona 20 2 7 11 17 - 34 -17 13

Atalanta vs Inter – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can watch Atalanta take on Inter on the Sofascore app.

? What is the average number of corners Atalanta have won in the Serie A 2025/26?

5.9

? What is the average number of corners Inter have won in the Serie A 2025/26?

7.2