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Arsenal vs Manchester City prediction 16.08.2026 | FA Community Shield

Arsenal

Arsenal

Kick off:

Date:

Manchester City

Manchester City

1

2.65

X

3.40

2

2.75

  • Competition: FA Community Shield
  • Date: Sunday, 16th August 2026
  • Kickoff: 15:00 UK / 16:00 CEST
  • Venue: Principality Stadium (Cardiff)

The season for the best English clubs traditionally starts with the Community Shield, the game between the winners of the previous season's Premier League and FA Cup. Both Arsenal and Manchester City are entering the upcoming 2026/27 campaign with expectations of winning the most valuable trophy in domestic football, as well as the Champions League. Let's break down the match and find the best betting option. 

Arsenal vs Manchester City Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Manchester City

    2 : 1

    Arsenal

    Premier League

  2. Arsenal

    0 : 2

    Manchester City

    Carabao Cup

  3. Arsenal

    1 : 1

    Manchester City

    Premier League

  4. Arsenal

    5 : 1

    Manchester City

    Premier League

  5. Manchester City

    2 : 2

    Arsenal

    Premier League

  6. Manchester City

    0 : 0

    Arsenal

    Premier League

Half of the last six H2H matches between these two teams ended in draws. Manchester City won twice in the same period, while the Gunners triumphed only once. In the most recent meeting, about four months ago, the Citizens won 2-1 at home against Arsenal. 

Arsenal

Arsenal team overview

Last season, Arsenal finally won the Premier League title, their first since 2004. Also, Mikel Arteta played in the Champions League final, but they lost to PSG. The Gunners are once again among the leading contenders in both competitions this season and will be hoping to add more silverware to their collection by the end of the campaign. However, Arsenal didn't impress in the preseason with only two victories in four matches. In the latest test, they played only 1-1 with Como, but eventually triumphed after the penalty shootout. 

The only departure worth mentioning this summer is Leandro Trossard, who went to Besiktas. On the other hand, Arsenal improved significantly with the addition of Bruno Guimaraes (from Newcastle), Piero Hincapie (Bayer Leverkusen), Illan Meslier (Leeds) and Christos Tzolis (Club Brugge). Of course, we should expect more changes in the coming weeks. 

William Saliba, who suffered a back injury at the World Cup, will miss at least the next few weeks. Without him, Arsenal looked vulnerable defensively, as they conceded eight goals in four friendly matches. Besides Saliba, Jurrien Timber will not play on Sunday afternoon either. 

Last matches of Arsenal

  1. Arsenal

    4 : 3

    Como

    Club Friendlies 1

  2. Arsenal

    5 : 4

    Borussia Dortmund

    Emirates Cup

  3. Arsenal

    1 : 3

    Real Betis

    Club Friendlies 1

  4. Girona

    1 : 4

    Arsenal

    Club Friendlies 1

  5. PSG

    4 : 3

    Arsenal

    Champions League

Arsenal lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    David Raya

Defenders

  • 4

    Ben White

  • 6

    Gabriel Magalhaes

  • 5

    Piero Hincapie

  • 33

    Riccardo Calafiori

Midfielders

  • 41

    Declan Rice

  • 8

    Martin Odegaard

  • 36

    Martin Zubimendi

Forwards

  • 7

    Bukayo Saka

  • 14

    Viktor Gyokeres

  • 17

    Christos Tzolis

Manchester City

Manchester City team overview

The Pep Guardiola era ended for Manchester City. He won six Premier League titles, one Champions League, three FA Cups, and five EFL Cups with the club, and it is a big question how the Citizens will look without probably the best manager in the world. Last season, Manchester City finished seven points behind Arsenal, and they could again be the biggest threat to Mikel Arteta's team. Guardiola leaves enormous shoes to fill, but the club's hierarchy believes the new manager, Enzo Maresca, has the quality and potential to keep City competing at the very highest level.

Manchester City had only three friendly matches this summer. They opened the preseason with a defeat after penalties to Inter Milan, but in the next two games, they beat K-League Stars and Atletico Madrid. In two wins, Maresca's team scored six goals, and we should expect them to continue in good attacking form. 

A few players with a big role in the previous seasons left Manchester City this summer. John Stones, Bernardo Silva, Nathan Ake, and James Trafford are no longer part of the team, and it seems the team is undergoing a rebuild. On the other hand, by far the biggest addition is Elliot Anderson, who came from Nottingham Forest for 135 million euros. Also, Manchester City signed youngster Jeremy Monga (Leicester) and veteran Geronimo Rulli (Marseille). 

Rodri is injured and will not play on Saturday at Wembley. 

Last matches of Manchester City

  1. Manchester City

    3 : 1

    Atletico Madrid

    Club Friendlies 1

  2. K-League XI

    1 : 3

    Manchester City

    Hybrid Friendlies

  3. Manchester City

    1 : 3

    Inter Milan

    Club Friendlies 1

  4. Manchester City

    1 : 2

    Aston Villa

    Premier League

  5. AFC Bournemouth

    1 : 1

    Manchester City

    Premier League

Manchester City lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Gianluigi Donnarumma

Defenders

  • 27

    Matheus Nunes

  • 6

    Marc Guehi

  • 3

    Ruben Dias

  • 24

    Josko Gvardiol

Midfielders

  • 5

    Elliot Anderson

  • 10

    Rayan Cherki

  • 14

    Nico Gonzalez

Forwards

  • 42

    Antoine Semenyo

  • 9

    Erling Haaland

  • 11

    Jeremy Doku

Prediction

Both teams showed excellent offense in recent weeks. Arsenal scored eight goals in four preseason matches, while Manchester City scored six goals in the previous two games. Also, in four of the last five meetings between the two teams, both sides scored. The Community Shield often features high-scoring matches. We should expect a similar game on Sunday afternoon, with goals on both sides. 

4 Reasons why we should expect goals on both sides in this match

  1. Arsenal scored eight goals in four matches in the preseason
  2. Arsenal conceded seven goals in the previous three games
  3. Manchester City scored six goals in the last two matches
  4. Four of the previous five H2H games between these two teams finished with goals on both sides

Main prediction Arsenal - Manchester City

Both Teams to Score

Updated

clock
winrate

51% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

Melbet

1.70

Bet here

Arsenal vs Manchester City – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much was the average xG for Arsenal last season?

The average xG for Arsenal in the Premier League last season was 1.70.

? How much was the average xG for Manchester City last season?

The average xG for Manchester City in the Premier League last season was 1.83.