Contents
- Competition: AFCON Qualifiers
- Date: Tuesday, 6th October, 2026
- Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CET
- Venue: Estádio 11 de Novembro (Luanda)
After a pretty impressive draw with Egypt in the first round of the AFCON Qualifiers, Angola will now face Malawi, which secured a win over South Sudan 2:1. With Egypt being seen as a team that will most likely secure one of the first two spots in the group, this h2h duel could decide the second team to secure the AFCON.
Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this AFCON Qualifiers tie.
vs Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Malawi
0 : 1
Angola
Cosafa Cup
-
Malawi
3 : 0
Angola
Friendly International
-
Malawi
2 : 3
Angola
Friendly International
-
Angola
2 : 0
Malawi
Africa Cup of Nations
These teams last met in 2025 in COSAFA, with Angola winning 1:0. Looking further back, these teams met a total of eight times, with Angola winning four times and Malawi winning just once.
When it comes to the number of goals, six out of eight h2h games ended with fewer than three goals. Meanwhile, both teams scored in two of those eight h2h games.
Angola team overview
Angola appeared in the previous AFCON, where they finished the competition in the group phase. The Red Devils needed only a goal to advance into the knockout phase, but were a bit unlucky. In this AFCON Qualifiers, Angola are definitely considered the second-best team in the group. They proved that with a goalless draw against Egypt on the road in Cairo.
In the previous game against Egypt, Zito Luvumbo suffered an injury and had to leave the field after 70 minutes. However, according to credible sources, it seems that Mallorca's forward avoided serious injury and should be ready for the Malawi match.
Last matches of
-
Egypt
0 : 0
Angola
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications
-
Central African Republic
0 : 3
Angola
Friendly International
-
Angola
1 : 1
Mauritania
Friendly International
-
Angola
0 : 0
Egypt
Africa Cup of Nations
-
Angola
1 : 1
Zimbabwe
Africa Cup of Nations
lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Hugo Marques
Defenders
-
4
Marsoni Sambu
-
6
Gaspar
-
16
David Carmo
-
3
Buatu
-
13
Pedro Bondo
Midfielders
-
18
Zito Luvumbo
-
23
Show
-
20
Kelliano
-
11
Milson
Forwards
-
19
Mabululu
Malawi team overview
Malawi are not one of the regular participants in the AFCON. In the last eight tournaments, they appeared only in the one in 2021. So, for a team from South-Eastern Africa, an appearance in AFCON would be a success. And indeed, they started the Qualifiers well, winning the first game against South Sudan. However, that was at home against the weakest opponent in the group. This game against Angola could be crucial for their dreams of appearing in the upcoming AFCON.
After a 2:1 win over South Sudan, coach Callisto Pasuwa spoke to the media. He said they had a good start to the game, but eventually their tempo dropped significantly. The coach was very satisfied with getting three points, which should encourage them going into the next game against Angola.
Last matches of
-
Malawi
2 : 1
South Sudan
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications
-
Ethiopia
1 : 1
Malawi
Friendly International
-
Ethiopia
1 : 0
Malawi
Friendly International
-
Zambia
9 : 8
Malawi
Friendly International
-
Lesotho
0 : 1
Malawi
Friendly International
lineup
Goalkeeper
-
16
William Thole
Defenders
-
3
Charles Petro
-
5
Chembezi Denis
-
22
Emmanuel Nyirenda
Midfielders
-
2
McDonald Lameck
-
6
Blessings Singini
-
13
Patrick Mwaungulu
-
8
Lloyd Njaliwa
-
11
Chifundo Mphasi
Forwards
-
17
Gaddie Chirwa
-
14
Babatunde Adepoju
Prediction
Angola just played a goalless draw with Egypt and have been very good defensively, allowing just one goal in the past four games across competitions. Due to their good defense, they went under 2.5 goals in four of the past five games.
Malawi, on the other hand, have massive problems on offense, especially against solid teams, and we believe they should struggle to score in this match. In the previous games, they struggled to score against teams like Ethiopia, Botswana, and even Zambia U23! Due to their poor offense, they went under 2.5 goals in seven of the past eight games across competitions.
Moreover, the last three h2h games ended with fewer than three goals. Considering all the above, an under 2.5 goals bet seems like the best possible bet for this AFCON Qualifiers tie.
4 Reasons why we should see fewer than three goals
- Angola went under 2.5 goals in four of the past five games
- Angola kept a clean sheet in the past two games vs Egypt and Central Africa
- Malawi went under 2.5 goals in seven of the past eight games
- The last three h2h games ended with fewer than three goals
Main prediction -
Under 2.5 goals
Best Odds:
vs standings in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications
| Group B | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Egypt | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 - 0 | +5 | 4 |
| 2 | Malawi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 - 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 3 | Angola | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | South Sudan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 - 7 | -6 | 0 |