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Al Shabab vs Al Nassr prediction 07.05.2026 | Saudi Pro League

Al Shabab

Al Shabab

Kick off:

Date:

Al Nassr

Al Nassr

1

7.75

X

5.25

2

1.33

  • Competition: Saudi Pro League
  • Date: Thursday, 7th May, 2026
  • Kickoff: 19:00 UK / 20:00 CEST
  • Venue: Al-Shabab Club Stadium (Riyadh)

The Saudi Arabian Professional League is slowly coming to an end, with only three rounds left. One of the more interesting games of the round will be between Al Shabab and Al Nassr. The hosts are looking to secure points mathematically to ensure survival, but are coming to the match after their worst game of the season (a 5:1 loss to Al Taawon). Meanwhile, Al Nassr are looking to bounce back after losing the previous game to Al Qadsiah, which has complicated their title chances. 

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Saudi Professional League tie.

Al Shabab vs Al Nassr Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Al Nassr

    3 : 2

    Al Shabab

    Pro League

  2. Al Nassr

    2 : 2

    Al Shabab

    Pro League

  3. Al Shabab

    1 : 2

    Al Nassr

    Pro League

  4. Al Shabab

    2 : 3

    Al Nassr

    Pro League

  5. Al Shabab

    2 : 5

    Al Nassr

    Kings Cup

  6. Al Nassr

    4 : 0

    Al Shabab

    Pro League

In the first H2H game, we saw a super interesting match where Al Nassr eventually won 3:2. Looking further back, over the past ten H2H games, Al Shabab haven't secured a single win, while Al Nassr have won seven times.

When it comes to the number of goals, eight of the past ten H2H games ended with three or more goals. Meanwhile, both teams scored in seven of those. 

Al Shabab

Al Shabab team overview

Al Shabab are having a terrible season. They were always in the upper part of the league table in recent seasons, but were nowhere close this year. This year, they were constantly just above the danger zone and will most likely finish there. After 30 rounds, they sit in 13th place with 32 rounds - nine points away from the danger zone. Considering they have played one game fewer and there are only a few rounds left, we can safely say they are not in real danger. Still, they shouldn't be in this situation to begin with. 

Left full-back Saad Balobaid suffered an injury in the previous game against Al Taawon and had to leave the field after 58 minutes. His absence will definitely be a major factor, as he has been one of the team's more consistent players, especially over the past three months. Additionally, Haroune Camara is unavailable, as he is on loan from Al Nassr. However, he hasn't been too important for this squad.

Last matches of Al Shabab

  1. Al Shabab

    1 : 5

    Al Taawoun

    Pro League

  2. Al Shabab

    1 : 1

    Al Fateh

    Pro League

  3. Al Shabab

    0 : 3

    Al Rayyan

    AGCFF Gulf Club Champions League

  4. Zakho

    3 : 4

    Al Shabab

    AGCFF Gulf Club Champions League

  5. Al-Qadsiah

    2 : 2

    Al Shabab

    Pro League

Al Shabab lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 43

    Marcelo Grohe

Defenders

  • 17

    Mohamed Al-Thani

  • 2

    Mohammed Al-Shwirekh

  • 3

    Ali Al-Bulayhi

  • 16

    Hussain Al-Sibyani

Midfielders

  • 40

    Ali Al-Asmari

  • 8

    Josh Brownhill

  • 29

    Yacine Adli

Forwards

  • 99

    Ali Azaizeh

  • 9

    Abderrazak Hamdallah

  • 10

    Yannick Carrasco

Al Nassr

Al Nassr team overview

Al Nassr haven't had much success since Cristiano Ronaldo, despite their big aspirations. However, this could finally be their year. Besides a poor period around the New Year, the popular Knight of Najd have been amazing throughout the season. They are at the top spot with 79 points from 31 rounds, five points away from the second-placed Al Hilal, but with one game played more. Besides their Saudi Professional League campaign, Al Nassr have also reached the AFC Champions League 2 finals, where they will face off against Gamba Osaka. That final match will take place after two domestic league games against Al Shabab and Al Hilal. So, they are definitely in a good position, but need to finish the season strongly.

After a 3:1 loss to Al Qadsiah, coach Jorge Jesus spoke to the media. He was unhappy with a loss and said they suggested they weren't as fresh as usual. When asked why he left Sadio Mane out of the squad, the coach said the winger needed rest due to playing too many matches and having had health issues. The coach admitted Al Qadsiah were better, but also noted that losing is a part of football and that they need to recover. 

Last matches of Al Nassr

  1. Al-Qadsiah

    3 : 1

    Al Nassr

    Pro League

  2. Al Nassr

    2 : 0

    Al Ahli

    Pro League

  3. Al Nassr

    5 : 1

    Al-Ahli Doha

    AFC Champions League Two

  4. Al Wasl

    0 : 4

    Al Nassr

    AFC Champions League Two

  5. Al Nassr

    1 : 0

    Al Ettifaq

    Pro League

Al Nassr lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 24

    Bento

Defenders

  • 12

    Nawaf Boushal

  • 5

    Abdulelah Al-Amri

  • 3

    Mohamed Simakan

  • 26

    Iñigo Martínez

Midfielders

  • 21

    Kingsley Coman

  • 20

    Ângelo

  • 11

    Marcelo Brozović

  • 10

    Sadio Mané

Forwards

  • 7

    Cristiano Ronaldo

  • 79

    João Félix

Prediction

Al Shabab have struggled, failing to win in the past six games, at least in regular time. Also, in the last three games, they were atrocious defensively, allowing a total of nine goals. So, it is unreal to expect a good performance against the best team in the league.

Meanwhile, Al Nassr were amazing before losing the previous game against Al Qadsiah. Before that latest loss, they were on a magnificent 20-game winning streak, while covering the spread on 12 occasions. So, Al Qadsiah's loss definitely hurt them, but we expect them to bounce back with a big win and take a big step toward winning the title.

In the previous ten H2H games, Al Nassr dominated, winning on seven occasions. Considering the trend in the previous H2H games and all the above, we expect Al Nassr to secure a comfortable win over struggling Al Shabab.

4 Reasons why Al Nassr should win and cover the -1.5 AH spread

  1. Al Shabab failed to win in the past six games
  2. Al Shabab allowed nine goals in the previous three games
  3. Al Nassr won 20 of the past 21 games
  4. Al Nassr won seven of the past ten H2H games

Main prediction Al Shabab - Al Nassr

AH2 (-1.5)

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

4 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

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2.07

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Al Shabab vs Al Nassr standings in Pro League

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Al Nassr 31 26 1 4 82 - 24 +58 79
2 Al Hilal 31 23 8 0 81 - 26 +55 77
3 Al Ahli 30 21 6 3 59 - 22 +37 69
4 Al-Qadsiah 31 20 8 3 74 - 32 +42 68
5 Al Taawoun 31 15 7 9 57 - 41 +16 52
6 Al Ittihad 30 14 7 9 47 - 38 +9 49
7 Al Ettifaq 31 13 7 11 44 - 51 -7 46
8 NEOM SC 31 11 8 12 40 - 44 -4 41
9 Al-Fayha 31 10 8 13 40 - 48 -8 38
10 Al Hazm 31 10 8 13 34 - 53 -19 38
11 Al Khaleej 31 10 7 14 52 - 50 +2 37
12 Al Fateh 30 8 9 13 38 - 51 -13 33
13 Al Shabab 30 7 11 12 38 - 48 -10 32
14 Al Kholood 31 9 4 18 39 - 58 -19 31
15 Damac FC 31 5 11 15 27 - 49 -22 26
16 Al Riyadh 31 5 8 18 32 - 62 -30 23
17 Al Okhdoud 31 4 4 23 24 - 68 -44 16
18 Al Najma 31 2 6 23 29 - 72 -43 12

Al Shabab vs Al Nassr – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on Onefootball.

? How much is the average xG for Al Shabab this season?

The average xG for Al Shabab in the Saudi Professional League this season is 1.46.

? How much is the average xG for Al Nassr this season?

The average xG for Al Nassr in the Saudi Professional League this season is 2.11.