Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig prediction 12.12.2025 | Bundesliga

Union’s form has been patchy recently. In their last six league matches, they have suffered three defeats, drawn two, and recorded a single win. Last weekend’s 3-1 defeat to Wolfsburg marked their third consecutive loss across all competitions, ending a four-game unbeaten run from late October to late November.

At home, Union have performed slightly better over the season’s first four months, winning twice and drawing three times in seven league outings to accumulate nine points. However, their current home form has dipped, as they are winless in their last three matches at the Stadion An der Alten Försterei. Defensively, Union have struggled to keep clean sheets, conceding 12 goals in their last four matches.

Manager Steffen Baumgart will be without Andrik Markgraf, Dmytro Bogdanov, and Robert Skov for this fixture. Union’s most effective goalscorers this season have been defender Danilho Doekhi (4 goals) and forward Ilyas Ansah (4 goals).

RB Leipzig arrive in strong form, remaining unbeaten in 13 of their last 15 matches across all competitions. In the Bundesliga, they have nine wins, two draws, and two losses after 13 rounds, reflecting consistency at the top of the table. They currently appear to be Bayern Munich’s closest title rivals, with the league leaders eight points clear of Ole Werner’s side.

Leipzig’s recent league form has been solid, with four wins in their last six Bundesliga matches; the only defeat during this period came away to Hoffenheim. On the road, Leipzig have shown defensive discipline, keeping several clean sheets - 40% of their last 30 away games ended without conceding. Although their away form is not flawless (three wins, two draws, and two defeats), they remain the fourth-best away team in the Bundesliga in terms of points, with 11 from seven away matches.

Viggo Gebel, Assan Ouedraogo, Ridle Baku, Romulo and Timo Werner are among the list of injured players and will not feature on Friday. Forward Yan Diomande has been the key figure for the visitors when it comes to goal scoring - the 19-year-old has already netted 6 times this season.