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Serbia vs Netherlands prediction 27.09.2026 | Nations League

Serbia

Serbia

Kick off:

Date:

Netherlands

Netherlands

1

7.50

X

4.50

2

1.42

  • Competition: Nations League
  • Date: 27th September 2026
  • Kick-off: 17:00 UK / 18:00 CEST
  • Venue: Stadion Rajko Mitić

The Dutch travel to Belgrade, and honestly, the fearsome "Marakana" atmosphere always gives me goosebumps. It’s pure hostility. Serbia loves a scrap. They possess that unpredictable, fiery talent capable of completely wrecking your Sunday. But what about the Netherlands under new boss Xavi? Pure class. Their fluid, possession-heavy style is mesmerizing when hitting top gear. The hosts will definitely try to bully them physically. The Oranje must hold their nerve. Expect total chaos. Let's dig into the numbers to find the best betting value.

Serbia vs Netherlands H2H stats

The Netherlands dominates this fixture historically with six wins from ten meetings. Serbia trails with just three. Their clashes are usually tight affairs, but the Dutch won the only modern World Cup encounter in 2006. The average number of goals scored when these two teams meet is 2.9 goals per game.

Serbia

Serbia team overview

Serbia prepares for this one on the back of a frustrating sequence. The Eagles failed to win a single match at Euro 2024, crashing out with two draws and a defeat.

Veljko Paunović’s men then narrowly avoided relegation in the last Nations League cycle and just lost their Group A2 opener 2-1 against Greece in midweek. Playing on home soil doesn't offer much comfort right now.

They have lost three of their last four competitive games in Belgrade, including that humiliating 5-0 defeat to the Three Lions during the last World Cup qualifiers.

I'm personally keeping an eye on Andrija Živković, who immediately justified his presence by scoring their solitary goal against the Greeks.

The PAOK winger will shoulder the entire creative burden here. Crucially, the roster is heavily depleted because star forwards Dušan Vlahović and Aleksandar Mitrović are both missing due to recent injuries.

Last matches of Serbia

  1. Serbia

    1 : 2

    Greece

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Mexico

    5 : 1

    Serbia

    Friendly International

  3. Cape Verde Islands

    3 : 0

    Serbia

    Friendly International

  4. Serbia

    2 : 1

    Saudi Arabia

    Friendly International

  5. Spain

    3 : 0

    Serbia

    Friendly International

Serbia lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Filip Stanković

Defenders

  • 17

    Kosta Nedeljković

  • 16

    Strahinja Eraković

  • 3

    Strahinja Pavlović

  • 25

    Stefan Bukinac

Midfielders

  • 6

    Vanja Dragojević

  • 10

    Aleksandar Stanković

  • 14

    Andrija Živković

Forwards

  • 24

    Petar Stanić

  • 21

    Vladimir Lučić

  • 8

    Luka Jović

Netherlands

Netherlands team overview

Netherlands enters this one searching for an explicit statement of intent under fresh guidance. The Oranje must bounce back from a disappointing 2026 World Cup run where they crashed out in the round of 32 against Morocco.

Xavi’s men subsequently kicked off their new campaign with a dramatic, hard-fought 1-1 draw against Germany. Playing on the road, they currently boast three wins from their last four away competitive matches.

I honestly love watching Cody Gakpo, who saved the day with an incredible 90th-minute equalizer on Thursday night to keep their momentum alive. The Liverpool forward is consistently delivering when it matters most for his country.

Striker Brian Brobbey was forced off with a bad hamstring tear, while Frenkie de Jong and Memphis Depay completely missed the roster selection.

Last matches of Netherlands

  1. Netherlands

    1 : 1

    Germany

    UEFA Nations League

  2. Netherlands

    2 : 3

    Morocco

    World Cup

  3. Netherlands

    5 : 1

    Sweden

    World Cup

  4. Netherlands

    2 : 2

    Japan

    World Cup

  5. Netherlands

    2 : 1

    Uzbekistan

    Friendly International

Netherlands lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Bart Verbruggen

Defenders

  • 22

    Denzel Dumfries

  • 6

    Jan Paul van Hecke

  • 4

    Virgil van Dijk

  • 15

    Micky van de Ven

Midfielders

  • 8

    Ryan Gravenberch

  • 26

    Quinten Timber

  • 14

    Tijjani Reijnders

Forwards

  • 7

    Crysencio Summerville

  • 19

    Mexx Meerdink

  • 11

    Cody Gakpo

Prediction

I usually hate backing away favorites in Belgrade, but the visitors possess too much quality. Defensively, the Dutch are a total mess right now. They'll leak at least one goal. However, Serbia’s missing firepower is the ultimate dealbreaker here. Expect Xavi's slick team to completely dominate possession and patiently carve through the hosts' physical block. It won't be a blowout. A gritty 2-1 away triumph feels like the perfect bet.

Three reasons we expect three or more goals in this game

  1. Netherlands are without a clean sheet in their last nine matches.
  2. Serbia failed to score in only one of their last four competitive games.
  3. Bets on over 2.5 goals won in each of the last six games of Serbia.

Main prediction Serbia - Netherlands

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

60% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

Football betting expert with a background in data science and statistical modeling.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.68

Bet here

Serbia vs Netherlands standings in UEFA Nations League

Group 2 P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Greece 1 1 0 0 2 - 1 +1 3
2 Germany 1 0 1 0 1 - 1 0 1
3 Netherlands 1 0 1 0 1 - 1 0 1
4 Serbia 1 0 0 1 1 - 2 -1 0

Serbia vs Netherlands – FAQ

? Where can you actually watch this one?

Camel1 Live is free, and honestly, a decent option for Sunday’s Nations League encounter.

? How many corners do Netherlands win on average per game on the road?

Around 3.75 per away match, which remains a strong attacking indicator for the visitors.

? What about bookings for Veljko Paunović’s side at home?

About 1.22 yellow cards on average in their home games.