San Marino vs Finland prediction 26.09.2026 | UEFA Nations League
San Marino
Kick off:
Date:
Finland
1
50.00
X
10.50
2
1.09
Contents
- Competition: UEFA Nations League
- Date: Saturday, 26th September, 2026
- Kickoff: 17:00 UK / 18:00 CEST
- Venue: San Marino Stadium (Serravalle)
On Saturday evening, one of Europe's weakest teams, San Marino, will welcome Finland in their first UEFA Nations League C match. San Marino will play their first-ever League C game, having played only in League D so far, while Finland spent the last three campaigns in League B but were demoted last time.
Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this UEFA Nations League tie.
San Marino vs Finland Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
San Marino
1 : 2
Finland
Euro Qualification
-
Finland
6 : 0
San Marino
Euro Qualification
-
San Marino
0 : 1
Finland
Euro Qualification
-
Finland
8 : 0
San Marino
Euro Qualification
These teams last met in 2023 in the EURO Qualifiers, when Finland won both games. They won 2:1 on the road and 6:0 at home in Finland. Looking further back, these teams have met a total of six times, with Finland winning each time.
When it comes to the number of goals, four of the past six h2h games ended with three or more goals, and three of those finished with over 3.5 goals. Meanwhile, both teams scored in two of those eight games.
San Marino team overview
San Marino are one of the weakest national teams in the world, currently sitting in 211th place in the FIFA World Ranking List. However, despite their low ranking, they managed to move from UEFA Nations League D to C. They faced easy opponents in Gibraltar and Liechtenstein, winning seven points in four rounds. However, we expect a tough run in League C, but they will be satisfied to at least compete against other solid teams.
A few days before the Finland game, coach Roberto Cevoli spoke to the media. He said the draw could have been better, as they are in a group with Finland, Albania, and Belarus. The coach said it is a difficult but exciting group, which should help them grow as a team.
Last matches of San Marino
-
Azerbaijan
2 : 1
San Marino
Friendly International
-
San Marino
1 : 2
Bangladesh
Friendly International
-
San Marino
0 : 0
Andorra
Friendly International
-
San Marino
1 : 2
Faroe Islands
Friendly International
-
Romania
7 : 1
San Marino
WC Qualification Europe
San Marino lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Edoardo Colombo
Defenders
-
4
Filippo Fabbri
-
5
Michele Cevoli
-
15
Marco Pasolini
-
12
Alessandro Tosi
Midfielders
-
18
Samuele Zannoni
-
8
Lorenzo Capicchioni
-
25
Cristian Meloni
-
21
Lorenzo Lazzari
Forwards
-
9
Nicola Nanni
-
11
Nicolas Giacopetti
Finland team overview
Finland have had a pretty bad period behind them. They were demoted from UEFA Nations League B after finishing last in the group with England, Greece, and Ireland, with 0 points and a 2:13 goal difference. They followed that with a mediocre 3rd-place finish in Group G of the WC Qualifiers. To be fair, that wasn't too bad, but far from great either. Now, the "Eagle-owls" will want to start the Nations League campaign with a big win over the weakest team in the group.
For the upcoming games against San Marino and Belarus, the squad will miss two important offensive players - Oliver Antman and Naatan Skytta. Moreover, midfielder Fredrik Jensen is also not called up, probably due to a lack of minutes for Aris.
Last matches of Finland
-
Hungary
2 : 1
Finland
Friendly International
-
Germany
4 : 0
Finland
Friendly International
-
Cape Verde Islands
4 : 2
Finland
Friendly International
-
New Zealand
0 : 2
Finland
Friendly International
-
Finland
4 : 0
Andorra
Friendly International
Finland lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Lukas Hradecky
Defenders
-
3
Adan Stahl
-
4
Tony Miettinen
-
21
Ville Koski
-
15
Ryan Mahuta
Midfielders
-
16
Anssi Suhonen
-
11
Adam Markhiev
-
6
Leo Walta
Forwards
-
22
Daniel Håkans
-
20
Joel Pohjanpalo
-
18
Topi Keskinen
Prediction
San Marino have had some success in the UEFA Nations League, but that was against other bad teams in Liechtenstein and Gibraltar. If we look at their games against other solid or mediocre teams after that Nations League campaign, they won one point in 15 games. During that time, they allowed 53 goals - 3.53 per game. So, even though Finland isn't too potent an offensive team, they are still more than capable of dominating San Marino.
Meanwhile, Finland went over 2.5 goals in six of the past 11 games. They had some good offensive performances, scoring two goals against Poland, Lithuania, and New Zealand and four against Andorra.
Moreover, in the previous two h2h games in 2023, we saw nine goals in those two games - 4.5 per game. Considering all the above, we believe that an over 3.5 goals bet is the best option for this UEFA Nations League tie.
3 Reasons why we should see four or more goals
- San Marino allowed 3.53 goals per game in the past 15 games
- Finland went over 3.5 goals in four of the past nine games
- We saw a total of nine goals in the past two h2h games
Main prediction San Marino - Finland
Over 3.5 goals
Best Odds:
Megapari
2.36
San Marino vs Finland standings in UEFA Nations League
| Group 1 | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Finland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Belarus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Albania | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 | 0 |