Contents
- Competition: Champions League
- Date: Tuesday, 20th October, 2026
- Kickoff: 17:45 UK / 18:45 CEST
- Venue: Baku Olympic Stadium (Baku)
In the third round of the Champions League, Sabah Baku and Borussia Dortmund will face off against each other in their first-ever head-to-head game. Both teams have collected three points so far, and this duel could prove crucial to their chances of advancing to the next stage of the competition.
Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Champions League tie.
Sabah team overview
Sabah Baku was founded only nine years ago and managed to win their first league title last year. They were pretty dominant last season, leaving 2nd-placed Qarabag nine points behind. This season, they look like the best team in Azerbaijan with 19 points in seven rounds. They also did great in the Champions League, eliminating TNS, KuPS, Aarhus, and Hapoel Beer Sheva in the qualifiers. Even though they had an atrocious start in the main phase, losing 4:0 to MU, they bounced back with a 2:0 win over Slavia Prague in the second round. If they grab points in this home game, they'll face Viking next and have a real chance to collect more points, potentially advancing unexpectedly to the next stage.
In the previous game against Gabala, coach Valdas Dambrauskas rested their entire starting XI, including the goalkeeper! Also, coach Dambrauskas will be happy to have the entire squad available, as he has no injured or suspended players on the team.
Last matches of Sabah
-
Qabala
0 : 4
Sabah
Premier League
-
Sabah
2 : 0
Slavia Praha
Champions League
-
Neftchi Baku
0 : 0
Sabah
Premier League
-
Sabah
3 : 1
İmişli FK
Premier League
-
Safa
0 : 3
Sabah
Premier League
Sabah lineup
Goalkeeper
-
92
Stas Pokatilov
Defenders
-
80
Akim Zedadka
-
3
Steve Solvet
-
4
Aden McCarthy
-
27
Tymoteusz Puchacz
Midfielders
-
13
Ivan Lepinjica
-
7
Umarali Rakhmonaliev
-
37
Du Queiroz
Forwards
-
11
Kaheem Parris
-
20
Joy-Lance Mickels
-
21
Veljko Simic
Borussia Dortmund team overview
Borussia Dortmund finished 2nd last year, once again behind Bayern Munich. This year, the Prussians started the season great with six wins in seven games across competitions, including the win over Villarreal in the Champions League. However, in recent matches, they slowed down massively, winning two points in the past three games. Their 1:0 loss to Bodo/Glimt was particularly bad, as the Norwegian team pretty much dominated them, especially in the first half. It is evident they are not in the best form, and even though they are a massive favorite against Sabah Baku, the game may not be as easy as the odds suggest.
In the previous game against Union Berlin, Konstantinos Karetsas suffered an ankle injury after only eight minutes on the pitch and will most likely miss several weeks. Moreover, Justin Lerma, Giannis Konstantelias, and Emre Can should remain sidelined with their injuries.
Last matches of Borussia Dortmund
-
FC Union Berlin
0 : 0
Borussia Dortmund
Bundesliga
-
Bodo/Glimt
1 : 0
Borussia Dortmund
Champions League
-
Borussia Dortmund
2 : 2
Werder Bremen
Bundesliga
-
Stuttgart
0 : 1
Borussia Dortmund
Bundesliga
-
Borussia Dortmund
3 : 0
SC Paderborn
Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Gregor Kobel
Defenders
-
4
Nico Schlotterbeck
-
3
Waldemar Anton
-
22
Joane Gadou
Midfielders
-
26
Julian Ryerson
-
7
Jobe Bellingham
-
8
Felix Nmecha
-
18
Ethan Nwaneri
-
24
Daniel Svensson
Forwards
-
14
Maximilian Beier
-
9
Serhou Guirassy
Prediction
Sabah Baku will likely be in an inferior position and will probably have to focus mostly on defending/ And they have done that very well recently, allowing just one goal in their past five games. They have generally been very strong defensively at home, keeping clean sheets in six of their last eight home games, and could do well against Borussia, which have had problems scoring in recent matches.
Borussia Dortmund failed to score in back-to-back games against Bodo/Glimt and Union Berlin, while looking pretty bad at creating chances. Moreover, they were really good for this bet lately, going under 3.5 goals in four out of five games across competitions.
Considering all the above, we believe that an under 3.5 goals bet is the safest option for this Champions League tie.
4 Reasons why we should see fewer than four goals
- Sabah Baku kept a clean sheet in six out of eight home games
- Sabah Baku kept a clean sheet in four out of the last five games
- Borussia Dortmund failed to score in back-to-back games
- Borussia Dortmund went under 2.5 goals in four out of the last five games
Main prediction Sabah - Borussia Dortmund
Under 3.5 goals
Best Odds:
Sabah vs Borussia Dortmund standings in Champions League
| League Stage | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 - 3 | +7 | 6 |
| 2 | FC Barcelona | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 - 2 | +7 | 6 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 - 2 | +7 | 6 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 - 1 | +5 | 6 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 - 4 | +4 | 6 |
| 6 | Sporting CP | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 - 1 | +4 | 6 |
| 7 | Arsenal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 - 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 8 | Real Madrid | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 - 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 9 | Real Betis | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 - 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 10 | FC Bayern München | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 - 3 | +5 | 4 |
| 11 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 - 2 | +2 | 4 |
| 12 | Como | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 - 4 | +2 | 3 |
| 13 | Manchester United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 - 2 | +2 | 3 |
| 14 | Villarreal | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 - 4 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 | Atlético de Madrid | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 - 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 16 | Club Brugge | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 - 6 | 0 | 3 |
| 17 | Manchester City | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 - 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 18 | Borussia Dortmund | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 - 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 19 | Lens | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 - 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 20 | AEK Athens | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 - 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 21 | RB Leipzig | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 - 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 22 | Sabah | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 - 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 23 | Feyenoord | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 - 7 | -3 | 3 |
| 24 | Bodø / Glimt | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 - 5 | -4 | 3 |
| 25 | Roma | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 - 5 | -1 | 1 |
| 26 | PSV | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 - 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 27 | Viking | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 - 6 | -2 | 1 |
| 28 | Fenerbahçe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 - 7 | -6 | 1 |
| 29 | Inter | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 - 6 | -2 | 0 |
| 30 | Porto | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 - 5 | -3 | 0 |
| 31 | Slavia Praha | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 - 5 | -3 | 0 |
| 32 | Napoli | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 - 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 | LASK | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 - 7 | -4 | 0 |
| 34 | LOSC Lille | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 - 6 | -4 | 0 |
| 35 | Galatasaray | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 - 7 | -5 | 0 |
| 36 | Slovan Bratislava | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 - 9 | -8 | 0 |