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Napoli vs Lazio prediction 18.04.2026 | Serie A

Napoli

Napoli

Kick off:

Date:

Lazio

Lazio

1

1.59

X

4.14

2

6.96

  • Competition: Serie A
  • Date: Saturday, 18th April, 2026
  • Kickoff: 17:00 UK / 18:00 CEST
  • Venue: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona (Naples)

The Italian Serie A is slowly coming to its end, with only six rounds left. In the 33rd round, we will be focused on the match between last season's champ, Napoli, and Lazio. Napoli are coming to the match after a 1:1 draw with Parma, stopping their five-game winning streak, while Lazio lost 1:0 to Fiorentina, ending their own five-game unbeaten run.

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Serie A tie.

Napoli vs Lazio Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Lazio

    0 : 2

    Napoli

    Serie A

  2. Lazio

    2 : 2

    Napoli

    Serie A

  3. Napoli

    0 : 1

    Lazio

    Serie A

  4. Lazio

    3 : 1

    Napoli

    Coppa Italia

  5. Lazio

    0 : 0

    Napoli

    Serie A

  6. Napoli

    1 : 2

    Lazio

    Serie A

In the first H2H game of the season, Napoli deservedly won 2:0. The reigning champs dominated the match and did not allow a single shot on goal. Looking further back, over the past ten H2H games, Napoli won three times, while Lazio secured four victories. 

When it comes to the number of goals, six of the past ten H2H games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in five of them.

Napoli

Napoli team overview

Napoli have had a pretty difficult season to assess. Many people called it a failure, while others do not agree, given their injury problems. However, we can safely say they were atrocious in the Champions League, and pretty good in Serie A. Unfortunately for the reigning champs, Inter were great in Serie A and are nine points ahead with only six rounds left. Therefore, the title seems unlikely, and they should aim only to finish in the top four and secure a Champions League spot next season. 

After a 1:1 draw with Parma, coach Antonio Conte spoke to the media. He was unhappy with the start, admitting they conceded too early and made things much harder for themselves. Even though they dropped points, he insisted the title dream is still alive and that they have to keep fighting. 

Also, the team should have no new absences, but the players who missed the previous games should remain sidelined - David Neres, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Romelu Lukaku, Amir Rrahmani, and Antonio Vergara.

Last matches of Napoli

  1. Parma

    1 : 1

    Napoli

    Serie A

  2. Napoli

    1 : 0

    AC Milan

    Serie A

  3. Cagliari

    0 : 1

    Napoli

    Serie A

  4. Napoli

    2 : 1

    Lecce

    Serie A

  5. Napoli

    2 : 1

    Torino

    Serie A

Napoli lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 32

    Vanja Milinković-Savić

Defenders

  • 17

    Mathías Olivera

  • 4

    Alessandro Buongiorno

  • 5

    Juan Jesus

Midfielders

  • 8

    Scott McTominay

  • 99

    Frank Anguissa

  • 68

    Stanislav Lobotka

  • 11

    Kevin De Bruyne

  • 37

    Leonardo Spinazzola

Forwards

  • 21

    Matteo Politano

  • 19

    Rasmus Højlund

Lazio

Lazio team overview

Lazio missed out on Europe after finishing 7th last year. This time, it seems that Biancocelesti could miss it for the second year in a row, considering they are in 9th place with 44 points from 32 matches and are 13 points away from the desired 6th place. However, Biancocelesti will have an alternate route to secure Europe as they are still in the Coppa Italia. After the Napoli game, they will have a second-leg semi-final match against Atalanta after a 2:2 draw in Rome. So, perhaps Lazio will rest some of their key players against Napoli to keep them fresh for the Coppa Italia game, since they have almost no chance of moving up the league table. 

Adam Marusic and Daniel Maldini are the newest additions to the injury list and have missed the previous match against Fiorentina. Additionally, Mario Gila, Samuel Gigot, Ivan Provedel, and Nicolo Rovella should also remain sidelined with their injuries. 

Last matches of Lazio

  1. Fiorentina

    1 : 0

    Lazio

    Serie A

  2. Lazio

    1 : 1

    Parma

    Serie A

  3. Bologna

    0 : 2

    Lazio

    Serie A

  4. Lazio

    1 : 0

    AC Milan

    Serie A

  5. Lazio

    2 : 1

    Sassuolo

    Serie A

Lazio lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 40

    Edoardo Motta

Defenders

  • 29

    Manuel Lazzari

  • 13

    Alessio Romagnoli

  • 25

    Oliver Provstgaard

  • 17

    Nuno Tavares

Midfielders

  • 26

    Toma Bašić

  • 4

    Patric

  • 24

    Kenneth Taylor

Forwards

  • 22

    Matteo Cancellieri

  • 19

    Boulaye Dia

  • 10

    Mattia Zaccagni

Prediction

Napoli went under 2.5 goals in the past three games against Cagliari, AC Milan, and Parma. They have been really good defensively, allowing one goal in those three matches. We firmly believe they will continue with good defensive performances, especially since they still hope they can win the title.

On the other hand, Lazio are the best team in the league for this type of bet, going under 2.5 goals in 75% of their Serie A games. Also, on the road, they have massive problems with efficiency, failing to score in three of the past four games. So, it is fair to expect they will continue to struggle.

In the first H2H game, we saw two goals. Considering all the above, we believe that an under 2.5 goals bet seems like the best option for this Serie A tie.

4 Reasons why we should see fewer than three goals

  1. Napoli have gone under 2.5 goals in the past three games
  2. Napoli allowed one goal in the last three games
  3. Lazio went under 2.5 goals in 75% of their Serie A games
  4. Lazio failed to score in three of the past four road matches

Main prediction Napoli - Lazio

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

1 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.73

Bet here

Napoli vs Lazio standings in Serie A

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Inter 32 24 3 5 75 - 29 +46 75
2 Napoli 32 20 6 6 48 - 31 +17 66
3 AC Milan 32 18 9 5 47 - 27 +20 63
4 Juventus 32 17 9 6 55 - 29 +26 60
5 Como 32 16 10 6 56 - 26 +30 58
6 Roma 32 18 3 11 45 - 28 +17 57
7 Atalanta 32 14 11 7 44 - 28 +16 53
8 Bologna 32 14 6 12 42 - 37 +5 48
9 Lazio 32 11 11 10 32 - 30 +2 44
10 Udinese 32 12 7 13 38 - 42 -4 43
11 Sassuolo 32 12 6 14 39 - 43 -4 42
12 Torino 32 11 6 15 37 - 54 -17 39
13 Genoa 32 9 9 14 38 - 45 -7 36
14 Parma 32 8 12 12 23 - 40 -17 36
15 Fiorentina 32 8 11 13 37 - 44 -7 35
16 Cagliari 32 8 9 15 33 - 44 -11 33
17 Cremonese 32 6 9 17 26 - 47 -21 27
18 Lecce 32 7 6 19 21 - 45 -24 27
19 Hellas Verona 32 3 9 20 23 - 55 -32 18
20 Pisa 32 2 12 18 23 - 58 -35 18

Napoli vs Lazio – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Napoli this season?

The average xG for Napoli in the Serie A this season is 1.53.

? How much is the average xG for Lazio this season?

The average xG for Lazio in the Serie A this season is 1.25.