Metz vs Marseille prediction 04.10.2025 | Ligue 1
Kick off:
Date:
1
6.68
X
4.90
2
1.51
Contents
- Competition: Ligue 1
- Date: 4th October, 2025
- Kickoff: 16:00 UK / 17:00 CEST
- Venue: Stade Saint Symphorien
On 4 October, Metz host Marseille at the Stade Saint-Symphorien in what promises to be a challenging match for the home side. Metz are languishing at the bottom of Ligue 1 (18th), still winless after six games, while Marseille come in with more momentum after an emphatic 4-0 win over Ajax in midweek and much higher expectations in their push for the Ligue 1 title. Given Metz’s poor defensive record and Marseille’s capacity to score, this fixture is shaping up to favor the visitors.
vs Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Marseille
1 : 1
Metz
Ligue 1
-
Metz
2 : 2
Marseille
Ligue 1
-
Metz
1 : 2
Marseille
Ligue 1
-
Marseille
0 : 0
Metz
Ligue 1
-
Metz
1 : 1
Marseille
Ligue 1
-
Marseille
1 : 1
Metz
Ligue 1
Historically, Marseille have dominated this fixture: in recent head-to-head meetings, they are unbeaten in the last 9 matches against Metz, with 8 wins and 2 draws. More importantly, Marseille avoided defeat in 5 consecutive away meetings at the Stade Saint Symphorien.
Metz team overview
The hosts have had a horrific start to the Ligue 1 campaign and are currently bottom of the league standings with just two points in six games. Metz have played six matches in the league so far and have not won in any of them (0 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses), also posing the joint-second worst defensive record in Ligue 1 with 13 goals conceded. At home, however, their form is marginally better but still weak: from three home matches, they have drawn two and lost one, scoring less than one per game on average but also limiting opponents to few chances (2 goals conceded).
Fitness wise, among those sidelined or in doubt are: J. Mangondo, M. Mbaye, U. Mboula, and S. Sane.
Last matches of
-
Metz
0 : 0
Le Havre
Ligue 1
-
Monaco
5 : 2
Metz
Ligue 1
-
Metz
1 : 1
Angers
Ligue 1
-
Paris FC
3 : 2
Metz
Ligue 1
-
Lyon
3 : 0
Metz
Ligue 1
lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Jonathan Fischer
Defenders
-
39
Koffi Kouao
-
5
Jean-Philippe Gbamin
-
15
Terry Yegbe
-
97
Fodé Ballo-Touré
Midfielders
-
20
Jessy Deminguet
-
8
Boubacar Traoré
-
10
Gauthier Hein
Forwards
-
19
Morgan Bokele Mputu
-
14
Cheick Tidiane Sabaly
-
30
Habib Diallo
Marseille team overview
Marseille, meanwhile, have produced some outstanding performances both domestically and in Europe. Roberto De Zerbi’s men come into this fixture fresh from an emphatic 4-0 win over Ajax in the Champions League - their first victory of the 2025/26 campaign. In Ligue 1, they have been equally impressive and remain strong contenders for the title as things stand. The visitors have built solid momentum in recent weeks, winning three consecutive league matches to move within just three points of joint leaders PSG and Lyon. The only concern ahead of Saturday’s clash is their away record, with two defeats and just one win from three matches. However, given their current form and confidence, Marseille should still approach this contest in a strong position mentally.
Marseille are somewhat luckier in terms of squad availability, as only Geoffrey Kondogbia and Hamed Junior Traore are sidelined with injuries.
Last matches of
-
Marseille
4 : 0
Ajax
Champions League
-
Strasbourg
1 : 2
Marseille
Ligue 1
-
Marseille
1 : 0
PSG
Ligue 1
-
Real Madrid
2 : 1
Marseille
Champions League
-
Marseille
4 : 0
Lorient
Ligue 1
lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Gerónimo Rulli
Defenders
-
62
Amir Murillo
-
5
Leonardo Balerdi
-
21
Nayef Aguerd
-
32
Facundo Medina
Midfielders
-
17
Matt O'Riley
-
23
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
-
8
Angel Gomes
-
22
Timothy Weah
-
14
Igor Paixão
Forwards
-
9
Amine Gouiri
Prediction
Given the data, Marseille look well poised to win this one. Metz’s defensive frailties (13 conceded in 6, no wins) make them vulnerable, especially at home where they already struggle to put away goals. Marseille’s better attacking form and higher probability of scoring - along with their strong historical record vs Metz - suggest they can manage a solid result and make it four Ligue 1 wins in a row. A plausible prediction is Marseille to Win.
Three reasons we expect Marseille to Win
- Marseille have won 3 successive Ligue 1 matches in recent weeks.
- Metz are bottom of the Ligue 1 standings and are yet to win this season.
- Marseille are undefeated in 9 consecutive H2H fixtures against Metz.
Main prediction -
to win
Best Odds:
Megapari
1.51
vs standings in Ligue 1
| Regular Season | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 - 4 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 | Olympique Lyonnais | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 - 3 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 | Olympique Marseille | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 - 5 | +7 | 12 |
| 4 | Monaco | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 - 10 | +4 | 12 |
| 5 | Strasbourg | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 - 7 | +2 | 12 |
| 6 | LOSC Lille | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 - 9 | +4 | 10 |
| 7 | Lens | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 - 5 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 | Rennes | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 - 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 - 11 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 - 11 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Paris | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 - 13 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 - 10 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Lorient | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 - 14 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 - 8 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 | Le Havre | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 - 8 | -2 | 5 |
| 16 | Nantes | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 - 7 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 | Angers SCO | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 - 6 | -3 | 5 |
| 18 | Metz | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 - 13 | -8 | 2 |