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Marseille vs Brest prediction 08.11.2025 | Ligue 1

Kick off:

Date:

  • Competition: Ligue 1
  • Date: Saturday, 8th November 2025
  • Kickoff: 16:00 UK / 17:00 CET
  • Venue: Stade Vélodrome (Marseille)

On Saturday afternoon at Stade Velodrome, Marseille will welcome Brest in another important Ligue 1 tie. PSG are no longer as dominant as they used to be, and Roberto De Zerbi's team seems capable of matching the French giant. However, to win the trophy in Ligue 1, they don't have much room for errors. Let's break down the match and find the best betting option. 

vs Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Marseille

    4 : 1

    Brest

    Ligue 1

  2. Brest

    1 : 5

    Marseille

    Ligue 1

  3. Brest

    1 : 0

    Marseille

    Ligue 1

  4. Marseille

    2 : 0

    Brest

    Ligue 1

  5. Marseille

    1 : 2

    Brest

    Ligue 1

  6. Brest

    1 : 1

    Marseille

    Ligue 1

Marseille are usually better than Brest as they have won nine of the last 13 H2H matches. Brest won three games during the span, while one ended with a draw. Last season, Marseille won 4-1 at Stade Velodrome and 5-1 in Brest against this opponent. 

Marseille team overview

After a weaker 2023/24 season, Marseille returned to the right track last season with second place in the most important domestic competition. However, PSG was too good to compete with them. The situation seems different in the current campaign as Marseille are second after 11 league rounds, but with only two points fewer than the team from the French capital. 

Marseille were almost flawless at the start of the 2025/26 season, but they have slowed recently, with only one victory in their last five matches across all competitions. In the most recent outing, De Zerbi's team lost 1-0 at home in the Champions League against Atalanta. The teams were close to splitting points, but Lazar Samardzic's fabulous strike late in the second half sealed victory for the Italian squad. 

Marseille's Ulisses Garcia received the red card in the previous Ligue 1 round and will not play on Saturday against Brest. Also, the team have big problems with injuries as Timothy Weah, Hamed Traore, Leonardo Balerdi, Amine Gouiri, Bilal Nadir, Facundo Medina, and Geoffrey Kondogbia are unavailable for the upcoming tie. 

Last matches of

  1. Marseille

    0 : 1

    Atalanta

    Champions League

  2. Auxerre

    0 : 1

    Marseille

    Ligue 1

  3. Marseille

    2 : 2

    Angers

    Ligue 1

  4. RC Lens

    2 : 1

    Marseille

    Ligue 1

  5. Sporting CP

    2 : 1

    Marseille

    Champions League

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Geronimo Rulli

Defenders

  • 62

    Amir Murillo

  • 4

    CJ Egan-Riley

  • 21

    Nayef Aguerd

  • 28

    Benjamin Pavard

  • 6

    Ulisses Garcia

Midfielders

  • 10

    Mason Greenwood

  • 17

    Matt O'Riley

  • 23

    Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg

  • 14

    Igor Paixao

Forwards

  • 97

    Pierre-Emerick Aubemeyang

Brest team overview

After their best season in the team's history and third position two seasons ago, Brest returned to their usual mid-table level. This year, they could even be sucked into the relegation battle, as Eric Roy's team is currently only one point above the drop zone. Brest are without a victory in the last five matches. In the previous game, they played 0-0 at home against Lyon. The guests were playing with ten players for almost the whole game, but the home side failed to convert dominance into goals. 

Brest will have almost a full squad for the upcoming clash in Marseille, as Kamory Doumbia could be the only one unavailable. The head coach, Eric Roy, could decide to field the same lineup that played with split the points with Lyon last weekend. 

Last matches of

  1. Brest

    0 : 0

    Lyon

    Ligue 1

  2. Le Havre

    1 : 0

    Brest

    Ligue 1

  3. Brest

    0 : 3

    PSG

    Ligue 1

  4. Lorient

    3 : 3

    Brest

    Ligue 1

  5. Brest

    0 : 0

    Nantes

    Ligue 1

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Radoslaw Majecki

Defenders

  • 77

    Kenny Lala

  • 5

    Brendan Chardonnet

  • 44

    Soumaila Coulibaly

  • 2

    Bradley Locko

Midfielders

  • 24

    Lucas Tousart

  • 10

    Romain Del Castillo

  • 13

    Joris Chotard

Forwards

  • 17

    Mama Balde

  • 19

    Ludovic Ajorque

  • 99

    Pathe Mboup

Prediction

Marseille played well for most of the 2025/26 season, but they have slowed down lately, especially in attack. Marseille scored only five goals in the last five matches. On the other hand, Brest are goalless in the previous three games. Although both H2H matches between Marseille and Brest from the last season were high-scoring, something like that shouldn't repeat on Saturday afternoon. Our prediction: Under 2.5 goals. 

3 Reasons why we shouldn't expect more than two goals in this match

  1. Marseille scored only five goals in the last five matches
  2. Brest are goalless in the previous three games
  3. There were two or fewer goals in four of the last six Brest matches

Main prediction -

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

53% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

vs standings in Ligue 1

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain 11 7 3 1 21 - 9 +12 24
2 Olympique Marseille 11 7 1 3 25 - 11 +14 22
3 Lens 11 7 1 3 17 - 10 +7 22
4 LOSC Lille 11 6 2 3 23 - 13 +10 20
5 Monaco 11 6 2 3 23 - 17 +6 20
6 Olympique Lyonnais 11 6 2 3 16 - 12 +4 20
7 Strasbourg 11 6 1 4 22 - 16 +6 19
8 Nice 11 5 2 4 16 - 16 0 17
9 Toulouse 11 4 3 4 17 - 15 +2 15
10 Rennes 11 3 6 2 18 - 17 +1 15
11 Paris 11 4 2 5 18 - 20 -2 14
12 Le Havre 11 3 4 4 12 - 16 -4 13
13 Brest 11 2 4 5 14 - 18 -4 10
14 Angers SCO 11 2 4 5 8 - 15 -7 10
15 Nantes 11 2 3 6 10 - 17 -7 9
16 Lorient 11 2 3 6 13 - 25 -12 9
17 Metz 11 2 2 7 10 - 26 -16 8
18 Auxerre 11 2 1 8 7 - 17 -10 7

Marseille vs Brest – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Marseille this season?

The average xG for Marseille in Ligue 1 this season is 1.65.

? How much is the average xG for Brest this season?

The average xG for Brest in Ligue 1 this season is 1.35.