Leicester vs Derby prediction 29.12.2025 | Championship

Leicester’s recent form has been uneven, characterised by flashes of attacking promise alongside clear defensive fragility. Over their last six Championship matches, the Foxes have recorded two wins, one draw, and three defeats - a return that has been far from ideal. Nevertheless, Martí Cifuentes’ side remain just five points adrift of the play-off places. Defensively, Leicester have struggled badly, conceding 16 goals in their last seven league fixtures, an average of over 2.0 goals per game.

Notably, all six of Leicester’s most recent matches have produced over 2.5 goals, underlining the volatility of their performances. Their home form has been similarly open, with a high probability of goals at both ends, as reflected in consistent scoring output alongside regular concessions.

On the injury and availability front, Leicester may be without key personnel due to international commitments and fitness concerns. Striker Patson Daka is currently on international duty with Zambia at AFCON, which could limit Leicester’s attacking options for this fixture.

Derby’s Championship form has been defined by balance and resilience. Across their last six matches in all competitions, the Rams have posted one win, three draws, and two defeats, scoring an average of 1.5 goals per game. Their defensive record has been relatively solid, although they have conceded in the majority of matches, contributing to elevated goals-against figures and a general trend towards open contests. Derby have failed to keep a clean sheet in three of their last four matches, yet have restricted opponents to under 1.5 goals in each of those fixtures.

Recent results include a sequence of 1-1 draws against Portsmouth, Millwall, and Birmingham City, as well as an impressive 3-0 away victory over Sheffield Wednesday, highlighting Derby’s ability to control matches and produce emphatic performances.

In terms of availability, Derby manager John Eustace will be without right wing-back Joe Ward, who is suspended after being sent off in the 1-1 draw with Birmingham City.