Leganes vs Alaves prediction 15.02.2025 | La Liga

• Competition: La Liga
• Date: Saturday, 15th February, 2025
• Kickoff: 13:00 UK / 14:00 CET
• Venue: Estadio Municipal de Butarque (Leganes)

Leganes secured promotion last season and are in survival mode this year. Throughout the year, they were constantly around the danger zone. Right now, they are keeping themselves above the danger zone as they are in 17th place with 23 points, just one point away from 18th-placed Valencia. The main problem this season is their terrible offensive record, and looking at their recent performances, we are not optimistic that it will change any time soon.

Deportivo Alaves had a fantastic last season as they finished 10th. Considering they were among the relegation candidates, it was a truly impressive result. Still, this season, the Basque team is back in a rough spot once again. Currently, they sit in 19th place with 21 points from 23 rounds - two points away from Leganes and the safe zone. This is a crucial match for both teams, as they're battling relegation. People often say wins in these games are often considered 'double wins' due to their significant impact on the standings. Considering that both teams are coming off losses against other relegation candidates (Valencia and Getafe), this feels like a must-win for both sides.

Leganes vs Alaves pick: Under 2.5 goals

Leganes have been absolutely terrible offensively, scoring only 19 goals in 23 matches - 0.83 per game. However, a good defense (compared to the rest of the relegation contenders) keeps them away from the danger zone. That poor offense and good defense make them excellent for this type of bet. In La Liga, they were under 2.5 goals in 16 out of 23 matches. Only Getafe had more games with fewer than three goals.

Lately, Alaves have played only low-scoring games. In the last five games, they were under this line on four occasions. Also, in the last ten matches, they scored one or zero goals on seven occasions. So, expecting a good offensive performance away from home is unreal.

In the first h2h game this season, we saw a 1:1 draw. Considering all the above, but especially both teams' poor offensive performances, we believe that an under 2.5 goal bet is the best option for this La Liga tie.