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Leeds vs Newcastle prediction 14.09.2026 | Premier League

Leeds United

Leeds United

Kick off:

Date:

Newcastle United

Newcastle United

1

2.40

X

3.62

2

3.10

  • Competition: Premier League
  • Date: Monday, 14th September, 2026
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CEST
  • Venue: Elland Road (Leeds)

The 4th Premier League round will finish with a duel between two undefeated teams as Leeds welcome Newcastle at Elland Road. Although both teams are undefeated in the EPL, they enter this match with different momentum after their EFL Cup games: Leeds lost 6:3 to Chelsea, while Newcastle beat Millwall 1:0 and advanced to the 1/8 Finals. 

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Premier League tie.

Leeds United vs Newcastle United Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Newcastle United

    4 : 3

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  2. Leeds United

    0 : 0

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

  3. Leeds United

    2 : 2

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

  4. Newcastle United

    0 : 0

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  5. Leeds United

    0 : 1

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

  6. Newcastle United

    1 : 1

    Leeds United

    Premier League

Last season, we saw completely different games between these two teams. At Elland Road, they drew 0:0, and Newcastle won 4:3 at home at St. James' Park. Looking further back, over the past ten h2h games, Leeds won twice and Newcastle three times.

When it comes to the number of goals, we saw four of the past ten H2H games end with three or more goals, while both teams scored in six of those. 

Leeds United

Leeds team overview

Leeds had an excellent last season, finishing 14th, and avoiding relegation by eight points. Over the summer, they kept the core of the team and improved a bit. Many football pundits predicted the Whites could finish in the upper half of the league table, and they are delivering strong performances so far. After the first three rounds, they sit in 9th spot with five points! 

After a 6:3 loss to Chelsea in the EFL Cup, coach Daniel Farke spoke to the media. He said it was a crazy game, as he felt they were in control after going 2:0 up. Despite the heavy loss, the coach wasn't too unhappy, but pointed out they conceded too many goals. 

When it comes to injuries, the team should have no new ones, but Mateo Joseph, Ilia Gruev, and Joe Rodon should remain sidelined. 

Last matches of Leeds United

  1. Chelsea

    6 : 3

    Leeds United

    Carabao Cup

  2. Brighton & Hove Albion

    1 : 1

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  3. Leeds United

    1 : 1

    Brentford

    Premier League

  4. Nottingham Forest

    0 : 2

    Leeds United

    Carabao Cup

  5. Nottingham Forest

    0 : 1

    Leeds United

    Premier League

Leeds United lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    James Trafford

Defenders

  • 24

    James Justin

  • 15

    Jaka Bijol

  • 5

    Tarik Muharemović

Midfielders

  • 2

    Jayden Bogle

  • 18

    Anton Stach

  • 22

    Ao Tanaka

  • 4

    Ethan Ampadu

  • 3

    Gabriel Gudmundsson

Forwards

  • 9

    Dominic Calvert-Lewin

  • 19

    Noah Okafor

Newcastle United

Newcastle team overview

Newcastle suffered big changes over the summer, losing their key players (Guimaraes, Gordon, and Tonali) and long-tenured manager, Eddie Howe. Everyone expected a big drop, but the Magpies surprised everyone and recorded five points in the first three rounds. They are playing a very exciting style of football with a lot of counterattacks. It seems that coach Matthias Jaissle has found a recipe for success, at least at this point in the season. 

After a 1:0 win over Millwall, coach Matthias Jaissle spoke to the media. He said it was a harder game than expected. However, the coach was proud of the players and said they generally dominated the match and ultimately won as they should. 

The newest injury on the list is right full-back Amar Dedic. The 24-year-old will most likely miss the match with a thigh injury. Luckily, Valentino Livramento has recovered from his injury and should start on the right full back position.

Last matches of Newcastle United

  1. Millwall

    0 : 1

    Newcastle United

    Carabao Cup

  2. Newcastle United

    2 : 2

    AFC Bournemouth

    Premier League

  3. Tottenham Hotspur

    0 : 2

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

  4. Newcastle United

    3 : 2

    West Bromwich Albion

    Carabao Cup

  5. Newcastle United

    2 : 2

    Liverpool

    Premier League

Newcastle United lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 21

    Lukas Hornicek

Defenders

  • 2

    Tino Livramento

  • 12

    Malick Thiaw

  • 4

    Sven Botman

  • 3

    Lewis Hall

Midfielders

  • 6

    Nico González

  • 67

    Lewis Miley

  • 28

    Joe Willock

Forwards

  • 19

    Anthony Elanga

  • 9

    Yoane Wissa

  • 11

    Harvey Barnes

Prediction

Leeds have scored in all five games across competitions, averaging 1.6 goals per game. Meanwhile, Newcastle have been even better offensively. They scored in all games thus far, averaging 2.0 goals per game. The Magpies have been amazing, scoring two goals against Liverpool, Tottenham, and Bournemouth in the Premier League, and should be able to score against Leeds.

Also, these teams have been great for this type of bet thus far, with both teams scoring in two of their three games in the Premier League.

Moreover, Leeds are traditionally a team that do a lot better at home. Last season, they scored 19% more goals at Elland Road, and we believe they will remain efficient at home this season as well.

Considering all the above, both teams to score should be the safest option for this Premier League tie.

3 Reasons why both teams should score

  1. Leeds and Newcastle scored in each of their five games across competitions
  2. Both teams scored in Leeds' last three games
  3. Newcastle averaged 2.0 goals per game in the Premier League

Main prediction Leeds United - Newcastle United

Both Teams to Score

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

4 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

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Leeds United vs Newcastle United standings in Premier League

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Arsenal 4 4 0 0 8 - 1 +7 12
2 Manchester City 3 3 0 0 7 - 2 +5 9
3 Hull City 4 2 2 0 5 - 2 +3 8
4 Chelsea 4 2 1 1 10 - 9 +1 7
5 Brentford 4 1 3 0 7 - 4 +3 6
6 Liverpool 4 1 3 0 6 - 4 +2 6
7 Everton 4 1 3 0 5 - 3 +2 6
8 Ipswich Town 4 2 0 2 7 - 10 -3 6
9 Newcastle United 3 1 2 0 6 - 4 +2 5
10 Leeds United 3 1 2 0 3 - 2 +1 5
11 Nottingham Forest 4 1 2 1 4 - 4 0 5
12 Brighton & Hove Albion 3 1 1 1 8 - 5 +3 4
13 Manchester United 3 1 1 1 7 - 6 +1 4
14 Sunderland 4 1 1 2 3 - 5 -2 4
15 AFC Bournemouth 4 0 3 1 6 - 7 -1 3
16 Crystal Palace 4 1 0 3 6 - 11 -5 3
17 Tottenham Hotspur 4 0 2 2 0 - 5 -5 2
18 Fulham 4 0 1 3 4 - 7 -3 1
19 Aston Villa 4 0 1 3 1 - 7 -6 1
20 Coventry City 3 0 0 3 0 - 5 -5 0

Leeds vs Newcastle – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Leeds this season?

The average xG for Leeds in the Premier League this season is 1.45.

? How much is the average xG for Newcastle this season?

The average xG for Newcastle in the Premier League this season is 1.0.