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Arminia Bielefeld vs St Pauli prediction 04.09.2026 | 2. Bundesliga

Arminia Bielefeld

Arminia Bielefeld

Kick off:

Date:

St Pauli

St Pauli

1

2.25

X

3.58

2

2.90

  • Competition: 2. Bundesliga
  • Date: Friday, 4th September, 2026
  • Kickoff: 17:30 UK / 18:30 CEST
  • Venue: Schüco Arena (Bielefeld)

On Friday evening, there are only two 2. Bundesliga games on the schedule. One of those games will be against Arminia Bielefeld and newly relegated St. Pauli. Both teams are coming into the match after really poor performances, as the hosts lost 4:1 to Nurnberg, while the visitors lost 2:1 at home to Kaiserslautern.

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this 2. Bundesliga tie.

Arminia Bielefeld vs St Pauli Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. St Pauli

    2 : 1

    Arminia Bielefeld

    2. Bundesliga

  2. Arminia Bielefeld

    2 : 0

    St Pauli

    2. Bundesliga

  3. St Pauli

    3 : 4

    Arminia Bielefeld

    Club Friendlies 1

  4. St Pauli

    3 : 0

    Arminia Bielefeld

    2. Bundesliga

  5. Arminia Bielefeld

    1 : 1

    St Pauli

    2. Bundesliga

  6. St Pauli

    1 : 1

    Arminia Bielefeld

    2. Bundesliga

These teams last met in 2023 in a friendly match when St. Pauli won 2:0. The last official games were in the 2022/23 season, when both teams won their home games. Looking further back, over the past ten h2h games, Arminia Bielefeld won three times, while St. Pauli won five times.

Regarding the number of goals, five out of the past ten h2h games ended with three or more goals, and both teams scored in the same number of games (five).

Arminia Bielefeld

Arminia Bielefeld team overview

Arminia Bielefeld had a pretty bad last season as they secured survival in the last game of the season. By winning the last match, they finished two points above the danger zone. This season, the Blues again started the season poorly, winning three points in the first three rounds. Besides a pretty poor league start, they also lost to Grossaspach in the DFB Pokal 1/32 despite being a pretty big favorite against a third-tier team. So, an overall worrisome start for Arminia.

After a 4:1 loss to Nuremberg, coach Oliver Kirch spoke to the media. He said it was a very painful result, noting they did not deserve to go 3:0 down at halftime. The coach pointed out they took a lot of shots, but the efficiency and quality weren't there. He concluded that they deserved to lose, but not by such a big margin. 

Last matches of Arminia Bielefeld

  1. Nurnberg

    4 : 1

    Arminia Bielefeld

    2. Bundesliga

  2. Sonnenhof Großaspach

    3 : 0

    Arminia Bielefeld

    DFB Pokal

  3. Arminia Bielefeld

    3 : 0

    Energie Cottbus

    2. Bundesliga

  4. Karlsruher SC

    2 : 1

    Arminia Bielefeld

    2. Bundesliga

  5. Arminia Bielefeld

    1 : 1

    MSV Duisburg

    Club Friendlies 3

Arminia Bielefeld lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Jonas Kersken

Defenders

  • 7

    Henri Koudossou

  • 19

    Maximilian Großer

  • 5

    Maximilian Bauer

  • 29

    Tim Handwerker

Midfielders

  • 8

    Sam Schreck

  • 21

    Stefano Russo

  • 6

    Marvin Mehlem

Forwards

  • 14

    Monju Momuluh

  • 11

    Joel Grodowski

  • 10

    Jannik Rochelt

St Pauli

St Pauli team overview

St. Pauli spent the previous two seasons in the Bundesliga. Last year, they were relegated, which automatically led to coach Alexander Blessin getting sacked. The club brought in Marcel Rapp, a former Hoffenheim (caretaker) and Holstein Kiel manager. Unfortunately, the start to the season has been disastrous. A team that just got relegated should be battling for promotion, and they are in 16th place with only two points after the first three rounds. On top of that, like Arminia, they lost the DFB Pokal 1/32 Finals to a 3. Liga team (RW Essen).

After a 2:1 loss to Kaiserslautern in the previous game, coach Marcel Rapp spoke to the media. He was pretty positive about the performance, despite losing the match. He said they controlled the match but also noted they should have created more chances. The coach eventually said that there is no room for panic after a few bad results and that it is only a matter of time before they start winning games. 

Last matches of St Pauli

  1. St Pauli

    1 : 2

    Kaiserslautern

    2. Bundesliga

  2. Rot-Weiss Essen

    2 : 0

    St Pauli

    DFB Pokal

  3. Holstein Kiel

    2 : 2

    St Pauli

    2. Bundesliga

  4. St Pauli

    1 : 1

    SpVgg Greuther Fürth

    2. Bundesliga

  5. St Pauli

    2 : 2

    Deportivo A Coruña

    Club Friendlies 3

St Pauli lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Ben Voll

Defenders

  • 4

    Ben Voll

  • 15

    Tomoya Ando

  • 6

    Marcus Mathisen

Midfielders

  • 11

    Arkadiusz Pyrka

  • 20

    Mathias Rasmussen

  • 8

    Eric Smith

  • 10

    Branimir Hrgota

  • 23

    Louis Oppie

Forwards

  • 18

    Taichi Hara

  • 19

    Martijn Kaars

Prediction

Arminia Bielefeld went over 2.5 goals in every single game this season and averaged 3.75 goals per game. Their defense is looking really bad, and we doubt they will have too many clean sheets, at least in this part of the season. In the last one, they allowed four goals to Nurnberg, with three of those being in the first 38 minutes. 

Meanwhile, St. Pauli went twice over and twice under this line. However, those games that did not go over the mentioned line saw two goals each. Similar to Arminia Bielefeld, we do not trust St. Pauli's defense based on what we have seen thus far. So far, they haven't had a clean sheet and have also allowed two goals in three of those four matches.

Considering all the above, we expect a high-scoring game, very likely with both teams scoring.

3 Reasons why we should see three or more goals

  1. Arminia Bielefeld went over 2.5 goals in all four games
  2. Arminia Bielefeld allowed two or more goals in three out of four matches
  3. St. Pauli allowed two goals per game in three out of four games

Main prediction Arminia Bielefeld - St Pauli

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

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Arminia Bielefeld vs St Pauli standings in 2. Bundesliga

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Nürnberg 3 3 0 0 11 - 3 +8 9
2 Hertha BSC 3 3 0 0 10 - 4 +6 9
3 VfL Wolfsburg 3 2 1 0 6 - 2 +4 7
4 FC Heidenheim 3 2 0 1 10 - 10 0 6
5 Magdeburg 3 2 0 1 6 - 6 0 6
6 Kaiserslautern 3 1 2 0 2 - 1 +1 5
7 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3 1 1 1 7 - 8 -1 4
8 Karlsruher SC 3 1 1 1 4 - 6 -2 4
9 Eintracht Braunschweig 3 1 0 2 9 - 7 +2 3
10 DSC Arminia Bielefeld 3 1 0 2 5 - 6 -1 3
11 VfL Bochum 1848 3 1 0 2 1 - 2 -1 3
12 Energie Cottbus 3 1 0 2 6 - 8 -2 3
13 Hannover 96 3 1 0 2 2 - 4 -2 3
14 Osnabrück 3 1 0 2 4 - 7 -3 3
15 Dynamo Dresden 3 1 0 2 4 - 8 -4 3
16 St. Pauli 3 0 2 1 4 - 5 -1 2
17 Holstein Kiel 3 0 2 1 4 - 6 -2 2
18 Darmstadt 98 3 0 1 2 2 - 4 -2 1

Arminia Bielefeld vs St Pauli – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Arminia Bielefeld this season?

The average xG for Arminia Bielefeld in the 2. Bundesliga this season is 1.65.

? How much is the average xG for St. Pauli this season?

The average xG for St. Pauli in the 2. Bundesliga this season is 1.96.