Finland vs Albania prediction 03.10.2026 | UEFA Nations League
Finland
Kick off:
Date:
Albania
1
2.47
X
3.30
2
3.10
Contents
- Competition: UEFA Nations League
- Date: 3rd October, 2026
- Kickoff: 14:00 UK / 15:00 CEST
- Venue: Helsinki Olympic Stadium
Finland host Albania on Saturday in a League C Group 1 match. It is the third round of the group, with both teams having won one and drawn one of their opening fixtures.
Finland vs Albania H2H stats
The sides have met seven times, with Finland winning four, Albania winning twice and one match ending in a draw. Their most recent meeting was a 1-1 friendly in January 2002. The history gives Finland a slight advantage, but the long gap since their last encounter means it offers limited insight into Saturday’s contest.
Finland team overview
Finland’s opening 7-0 victory over minnows San Marino showed their attacking potential, but the subsequent 0-0 draw with Belarus was a reminder that they may find it harder to break down a well-organised defence.
Against Belarus, Finland generated just 0.6 xG despite creating three big chances, according to the official statistics. They will need to be more clinical to claim their second Nations League win this autumn.
Midfielders Kaan Kairinen and Glen Kamara returned to the squad for the September-October international window, while goalkeeper Lucas Bergström and several players who missed the summer matches through injury were also included.
Last matches of Finland
-
Finland
0 : 0
Belarus
UEFA Nations League
-
San Marino
0 : 7
Finland
UEFA Nations League
-
Hungary
2 : 1
Finland
Friendly International
-
Germany
4 : 0
Finland
Friendly International
-
Cape Verde Islands
4 : 2
Finland
Friendly International
Finland lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Lukas Hrádecký
Defenders
-
3
Adam Ståhl
-
4
Tony Miettinen
-
21
Ville Koski
-
13
Juho Lähteenmäki
Midfielders
-
14
Kaan Kairinen
-
11
Adam Markhiyev
-
6
Glen Kamara
Forwards
-
18
Topi Keskinen
-
10
Leo Walta
-
20
Joel Pohjanpalo
Albania team overview
Albania have started efficiently, keeping clean sheets in both matches and scoring five goals. Their 3-0 win away to San Marino followed a 2-0 home victory over Belarus, leaving them level with Finland on four points but ahead on goal difference.
There are some reported injury concerns: goalkeeper Thomas Strakosha, forward Myrto Uzuni and defender Arlind Ajeti were reported unavailable for the current international squad. Midfielder Juljan Shehu has also been listed with a muscle injury, though his status should be checked closer to kick-off.
Last matches of Albania
-
San Marino
0 : 3
Albania
UEFA Nations League
-
Albania
2 : 0
Belarus
UEFA Nations League
-
Albania
0 : 1
Luxembourg
Friendly International
-
Albania
0 : 1
Israel
Friendly International
-
Ukraine
1 : 0
Albania
Friendly International
Albania lineup
Goalkeeper
-
12
Alen Sherri
Defenders
-
2
Samuele Sina
-
18
Ardian Ismajli
-
6
Berat Djimsiti
-
3
Mario Mitaj
Midfielders
-
16
Juljan Shehu
-
8
Kristjan Asllani
-
10
Ernest Muçi
Forwards
-
11
Myrto Uzuni
-
9
Anis Mehmeti
-
7
Rey Manaj
Prediction
Finland will hope home advantage and their commanding opening win help them take control, while Albania arrive with momentum and a defence yet to concede in the group. The hosts’ struggles to break down Belarus suggest Albania can frustrate them, suggesting this could be a relatively low-goal encounter.
Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals.
Three reasons we expect Under 2.5 Goals
- Finland drew 0-0 at home to Belarus, while Albania’s match against Belarus also finished under 2.5 goals, despite Albania winning 2-0.
- Albania’s recent internationals have been particularly low-scoring, with six of their last eight matches producing fewer than 2.5 goals.
- Finland’s 0-0 draw with Belarus highlighted their attacking limitations when facing opponents of a similar calibre. They recorded just 0.6 xG but remained defensively solid, limiting Belarus to 0.4 xG.
Main prediction Finland - Albania
Under 2.5 goals
Best Odds:
22bet
1.64
Finland vs Albania standings in UEFA Nations League
| Group 1 | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Albania | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 - 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 2 | Finland | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 - 0 | +7 | 4 |
| 3 | Belarus | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 - 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 4 | San Marino | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 - 10 | -10 | 0 |