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Fenerbahce vs Sturm Graz prediction 05.08.2026 | UEFA Champions League

Fenerbahce

Fenerbahce

Kick off:

Date:

SK Sturm Graz

SK Sturm Graz

1

1.38

X

4.88

2

8.70

  • Competition: UEFA Champions League, Qualification Round 3
  • Date: 5th August, 2026
  • Kickoff: 19:00 UK / 20:00 CEST
  • Venue: Chobani Stadium

Fenerbahçe begin another attempt to reach the UEFA Champions League league phase when they welcome Austrian champions Sturm Graz in the first leg of the third qualifying round. Sturm Graz arrive in Istanbul full of confidence after a dominant 6-0 aggregate victory over Hearts in the previous qualifying round, while Fenerbahçe earned their place in Round 3 after overcoming Górnik Zabrze across two legs.

Fenerbahce vs SK Sturm Graz Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Fenerbahce

    1 : 1

    SK Sturm Graz

    Europa League

  2. SK Sturm Graz

    1 : 2

    Fenerbahce

    Europa League

This upcoming fixture marks only the third competitive European encounter between these sides. Their previous meetings occurred in the UEFA Europa League qualifiers for the 2017/18 season, where Fenerbahçe successfully advanced with a narrow 3-2 aggregate victory.

Fenerbahce

Fenerbahce team overview

Fenerbahçe come into the fixture after progressing through the previous qualifying round by defeating Polish side Górnik Zabrze. Although the Turkish Süper Lig runners-up were considered overwhelming favourites after the draw was made, they failed to fully justify that status on the pitch, progressing to the next round by only a narrow 2-1 aggregate scoreline.

The hosts possess considerable firepower throughout the squad and are expected to dominate possession in front of a packed home crowd. However, that was not entirely the case against the second-best team in the Ekstraklasa in the previous round, meaning Ismail Kartal's men will need to make tactical adjustments and find greater control if they are to progress to the play-off round.

There are no major fresh injury concerns reported ahead of the first leg.

Last matches of Fenerbahce

  1. Gornik Zabrze

    1 : 1

    Fenerbahce

    Champions League

  2. Fenerbahce

    1 : 0

    Gornik Zabrze

    Champions League

  3. LASK Linz

    1 : 2

    Fenerbahce

    Club Friendlies 1

  4. Fenerbahce

    4 : 0

    Pogon Szczecin

    Club Friendlies 1

  5. Flyeralarm Admira

    0 : 5

    Fenerbahce

    Club Friendlies 1

Fenerbahce lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 34

    Mert Günok

Defenders

  • 27

    Nélson Semedo

  • 4

    Çağlar Söyüncü

  • 15

    Nathan Aké

  • 24

    Jayden Oosterwolde

Midfielders

  • 6

    Matteo Guendouzi

  • 7

    Fred

  • 94

    Anderson Talisca

Forwards

  • 11

    Mason Greenwood

  • 10

    Marco Asensio

  • 9

    Kerem Aktürkoğlu

SK Sturm Graz

Sturm Graz team overview

Sturm Graz have arguably been one of Europe's standout performers during the opening weeks of the new campaign. The Austrian champions eliminated Hearts emphatically, winning 4-0 at home before completing a professional 2-0 away victory for a comprehensive 6-0 aggregate success. They followed that with a 1-1 draw away to WSG Tirol in the Austrian Bundesliga, extending their unbeaten run in competitive matches this season.

Defensively, Sturm have been particularly impressive, conceding just one goal in their opening three competitive fixtures while scoring seven. 

Manager Fabio Ingolitsch is expected to retain much of the side that comfortably dispatched Hearts, with no significant new injury issues reported before the trip to Istanbul. 

Last matches of SK Sturm Graz

  1. Tirol Innsbruck

    1 : 1

    SK Sturm Graz

    Admiral Bundesliga

  2. Hearts

    0 : 2

    SK Sturm Graz

    Champions League

  3. Seekirchen

    0 : 3

    SK Sturm Graz

    Austrian Cup

  4. SK Sturm Graz

    4 : 0

    Hearts

    Champions League

  5. SK Sturm Graz

    1 : 0

    Pogon Szczecin

    Club Friendlies 3

SK Sturm Graz lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 53

    Daniil Khudiakov

Defenders

  • 2

    Jeyland Mitchell

  • 5

    Albert Vallci

  • 18

    Emran Soglo

  • 23

    Arjan Malić

Midfielders

  • 4

    Jon Gorenc Stanković

  • 28

    Jürgen Heil

  • 19

    Simon Seidl

  • 10

    Otar Kiteishvili

Forwards

  • 20

    Seedy Jatta

  • 44

    Nelson Weiper

Prediction

A narrow home victory would leave the tie finely balanced heading into next week's second leg in Austria. However, given that Fenerbahçe struggled to break down Górnik's resistance in the previous qualifying round despite progressing, Sturm Graz should be capable of avoiding defeat by more than one goal.

Prediction: Sturm Graz Asian Handicap (+1.5).

Three reasons we expect Sturm Graz Asian Handicap (+1.5)

  1. Fenerbahçe were far from dominant against Górnik Zabrze. Although Fenerbahçe progressed, they did not overwhelm their Polish opponents (1-0 and 1-1).
  2. Sturm have looked one of the most balanced teams in the qualifiers. They dismantled Hearts 6-0 on aggregate (4-0 at home, 2-0 away) while conceding just one goal in their opening three competitive matches this season.
  3. The Austrian champions proved they are comfortable playing away in Europe by winning 2-0 at Tynecastle against Hearts.

Main prediction Fenerbahce - SK Sturm Graz

AH2 (+1.5)

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

6 wins in a row

I have been familiar with sports betting and football betting in particular for 10 years, so I have a good knowledge of analysing and researching football bets to make the best possible predictions.

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Fenerbahce vs Sturm Graz – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can watch Fenerbahce take on Sturm Graz on the Sofascore app.

? What is the average number of corners Fenerbahce have won in the UEFA Champions League Qualification 2026/27?

4.5

? What is the average number of corners Sturm Graz have won in the UEFA Champions League Qualification 2026/27?

2.0