Estoril vs Arouca prediction 07.11.2025 | Liga Portugal
Estoril
Kick off:
Date:
Arouca
1
2.05
X
3.56
2
3.50
Contents
- Competition: Liga Portugal
- Date: 7th November 2025
- Kick-off: 20:15 UK / 21:15 CET
- Venue: Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Friday night’s Liga Portugal fixture sees Estoril welcome Arouca to the Estádio António Coimbra da Mota in a matchup that could have big implications at the bottom end of the table. Estoril currently sit 12th in the standings with 10 points from 10 games, while Arouca are just one point behind, hovering close to the drop zone.
The hosts are considered slight favourites heading into this one, but Arouca have reason to believe they can cause problems after losing just one of the last three meetings between the sides. Read on for our Estoril vs Arouca prediction, including H2H stats, team news, and betting insights.
Estoril vs Arouca Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Arouca
1 : 1
Estoril
Liga Portugal
-
Estoril
4 : 1
Arouca
Liga Portugal
-
Estoril
1 : 2
Arouca
Liga Portugal
-
Arouca
4 : 3
Estoril
Liga Portugal
-
Estoril
2 : 0
Arouca
Liga Portugal
-
Arouca
2 : 0
Estoril
Liga Portugal
Estoril and Arouca have faced each other ten times since 2020, with all but two of those meetings coming in the Portuguese top flight. Arouca hold the slight edge in the head-to-head, winning five of those clashes, although only two of those victories came away at the Estádio António Coimbra da Mota. Estoril managed four wins during that period, three of them on home soil, while just one match ended level. Their meetings have often been entertaining, averaging 2.8 goals per game, which hints at another open contest this week.
Estoril team overview
Estoril have managed to stay afloat in the top flight for three straight seasons since earning promotion from Liga Portugal 2 in 2020/21. Their best campaign came last year when they finished a solid 8th, but things are not going smoothly at the moment.
The Canaries currently sit just four points clear of danger with 10 points from 10 games, and boast just one win from their five home games so far this season. There have been signs of improvement recently, with Ian Cathro’s side currently unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.
Injury-wise, Xeka remains sidelined with a muscle problem that has kept him out for 17 games, while Rafik Guitane continues to nurse a hamstring injury and won’t be available for this one.
Last matches of Estoril
-
Rio Ave
0 : 4
Estoril
Liga Portugal
-
Estoril
1 : 1
CD Nacional
Liga Portugal
-
CF Os Belenenses
1 : 2
Estoril
Taça De Portugal
-
Casa Pia
2 : 2
Estoril
Liga Portugal
-
Estoril
0 : 1
Sporting CP
Liga Portugal
Estoril lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Joel Robles
Defenders
-
5
Antef Tsoungui
-
25
Felix Bacher
-
44
Kévin Boma
Midfielders
-
20
Gonçalo Costa
-
10
Jordan Holsgrove
-
6
Jandro Orellana
-
22
Pedro Carvalho
Forwards
-
19
André Lacximicant
-
14
Yanis Begraoui
-
12
João Carvalho
Arouca team overview
Arouca have also had a difficult start to the 2025/26 season, collecting just 9 points from their first 10 matches. The Lobos sit just above the relegation zone and have struggled to find consistency, particularly in their away performances.
Their spirited 2:1 comeback win at Nacional in September reminded fans of the attacking potential within Vasco Seabra’s side. Defensive frailties continue to hold them back though as Arouca have conceded 12 goals in their last four league games alone.
Mateo Flores remains sidelined with a meniscus tear that has kept him out since August, while striker Iván Barbero is still chasing his first goal of the season after nine appearances. Despite his struggles, the Spaniard is expected to continue leading the line on Friday night.
Last matches of Arouca
-
Arouca
0 : 2
Moreirense
Liga Portugal
-
Benfica
5 : 0
Arouca
Liga Portugal
-
Portimonense S.C.
1 : 2
Arouca
Taça De Portugal
-
Arouca
1 : 1
Famalicao
Liga Portugal
-
Arouca
0 : 4
Porto
Liga Portugal
Arouca lineup
Goalkeeper
-
58
Nico Mantl
Defenders
-
28
Tiago Esgaio
-
3
José Fontán
-
66
Omar Fayed
-
16
Arnau Solà
Midfielders
-
21
Taichi Fukui
-
14
Lee Hyun-ju
-
8
David Simão
Forwards
-
19
Alfonso Trezza
-
17
Iván Barbero
-
7
Naïs Djouahra
Prediction
This fixture has all the makings of a tight, competitive battle between two sides eager to build momentum. Estoril appear to be improving under Ian Cathro, and their emphatic 4–0 win over Rio Ave last weekend should give them plenty of confidence heading into this one. Arouca have the attacking quality to threaten, but their leaky defence - especially away from home - could once again prove costly. My correct score prediction is a 2-1 home win.
Three reasons we expect at least three goals in this game
- Three of the last four games of Estoril ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Four of the last six games of Arouca produced three or more goals.
- 3 of the last 4 meetings between Estoril and Arouca at this grounded ended with over 2.5 goals.
Main prediction Estoril - Arouca
Over 2.5 goals
Best Odds:
Megapari
1.95
Estoril vs Arouca standings in Liga Portugal
| Regular Season | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 23 - 3 | +20 | 28 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 25 - 5 | +20 | 25 |
| 3 | Benfica | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 21 - 4 | +17 | 24 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 15 - 4 | +11 | 22 |
| 5 | Famalicão | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 11 - 4 | +7 | 19 |
| 6 | Moreirense | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 15 - 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 7 | Sporting Braga | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17 - 10 | +7 | 13 |
| 8 | Santa Clara | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8 - 11 | -3 | 11 |
| 9 | Nacional | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 - 14 | -4 | 11 |
| 10 | Rio Ave | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 - 18 | -5 | 11 |
| 11 | Vitória SC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 - 17 | -8 | 11 |
| 12 | Estoril | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 15 - 14 | +1 | 10 |
| 13 | Estrela Amadora | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 - 13 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | Alverca | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11 - 18 | -7 | 10 |
| 15 | Arouca | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 - 26 | -16 | 9 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 - 22 | -11 | 8 |
| 17 | Tondela | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 - 19 | -13 | 6 |
| 18 | AVS | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 - 24 | -17 | 2 |