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Deportivo Alaves vs Villarreal prediction 13.03.2026 | La Liga

Alaves

Alaves

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Villarreal

Villarreal

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  • Competition: La Liga
  • Date: 13th March 2026
  • Kick-off: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CET
  • Venue: Vitoria-Gasteiz

Friday night in the Spanish top flight brings a slightly tense kind of football. Deportivo Alavés welcome Villarreal, and the table tells a clear story at first glance. The gap between the clubs sits at 27 points. El Glorioso hover just above the relegation line, while the Yellow Submarine cruise inside the top four.

Bookmakers lean toward Marcelino’s side. That makes sense on paper. Still, Villarreal have not always looked steady this season, especially away from home. So the match feels less predictable than the standings suggest.

Alaves vs Villarreal Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Villarreal

    3 : 1

    Alaves

    La Liga

  2. Alaves

    1 : 0

    Villarreal

    La Liga

  3. Villarreal

    3 : 0

    Alaves

    La Liga

  4. Alaves

    1 : 1

    Villarreal

    La Liga

  5. Villarreal

    1 : 1

    Alaves

    La Liga

  6. Alaves

    2 : 1

    Villarreal

    La Liga

Since 2020 these clubs have met ten times in La Liga. Villarreal hold the edge with five wins during that stretch. Clean sheets, however, have been rare. The Yellow Submarine managed just one.

Alavés picked up three victories, all of which were at this ground. Two other matches ended level. Goals usually arrive when these teams meet. The average sits around 3.2 per match, which is fairly lively by La Liga standards.

Alaves

Deportivo Alaves team overview

Life back in La Liga has not exactly been comfortable for El Glorioso. Since returning through the 2023 promotion playoffs, survival has been the main goal. Last season’s 15th place already felt tense. Sitting 16th now probably feels even worse for supporters who remember calmer campaigns.

Quique Sánchez Flores’ side enter this match on a six game winless run across all competitions. Three of those ended in defeat. The worrying part, honestly, is the defence. El Glorioso conceded at least two goals in five of those matches. Supporters have reasons to feel uneasy.

However, home form gives a bit of encouragement. El Glorioso lost just once in the last four league games at Mendizorrotza and even managed a solid win over Real Betis.

Víctor Parada returns after suspension. Jon Guridi and Jon Pacheco miss the match following red cards against Valencia.

Last matches of Alaves

  1. Valencia

    3 : 2

    Alaves

    La Liga

  2. Levante

    2 : 0

    Alaves

    La Liga

  3. Alaves

    2 : 2

    Girona

    La Liga

  4. Sevilla

    1 : 1

    Alaves

    La Liga

  5. Alaves

    0 : 2

    Getafe

    La Liga

Alaves lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Antonio Sivera

Defenders

  • 17

    Jonny Otto

  • 4

    Denis Suárez

  • 23

    Carlos Protesoni

  • 14

    Nahuel Tenaglia

Midfielders

  • 10

    Carles Aleñá

  • 18

    Jon Guridi

  • 8

    Antonio Blanco

  • 7

    Ángel Pérez

Forwards

  • 15

    Lucas Boyé

  • 11

    Toni Martínez

Villarreal

Villarreal team overview

Villarreal have spent the last few seasons hovering just outside Spain’s traditional elite. Finishing fifth in two of the previous three campaigns shows a club that consistently competes for European places. This year the Yellow Submarine seem eager to push slightly higher.

Form lately has been decent, although not flawless. Marcelino’s side lost 4–1 to Barcelona not long ago, a reminder that the gap to the biggest clubs still exists. Still, victories over Levante, Elche and Valencia suggest Villarreal remain a dangerous opponent when the attack clicks.

Away form raises a few quiet doubts. The Yellow Submarine have won just one of the last six road games and historically find trips to Vitoria awkward.

Nicolas Pépé and Georges Mikautadze, who share 11 league goals, should start up front. Pau Cabanes and Juan Foyth remain out with long term injuries.

Last matches of Villarreal

  1. Villarreal

    2 : 1

    Elche

    La Liga

  2. FC Barcelona

    4 : 1

    Villarreal

    La Liga

  3. Villarreal

    2 : 1

    Valencia

    La Liga

  4. Levante

    0 : 1

    Villarreal

    La Liga

  5. Getafe

    2 : 1

    Villarreal

    La Liga

Villarreal lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Luiz Júnior

Defenders

  • 15

    Santiago Mouriño

  • 6

    Pau Navarro

  • 4

    Rafa Marín

  • 23

    Sergi Cardona

Midfielders

  • 17

    Tajon Buchanan

  • 14

    Santi Comesaña

  • 18

    Pape Gueye

  • 20

    Alberto Moleiro

Forwards

  • 19

    Nicolas Pépé

  • 9

    Georges Mikautadze

Prediction

This matchup has the feel of a busy night in front of goal. Recent meetings between Alavés and Villarreal average more than three goals, which already hints at openness. El Glorioso usually compete well at Mendizorrotza, while the Yellow Submarine have struggled away lately. Neither defence looks entirely convincing. A 2–2 draw feels plausible.

Three reasons we expect over 2.5 goals in this game

  1. 13 of the last 16 meetings between Alaves and Villarreal produced over 2.5 goals.
  2. Seven of the last eight games of Villarreal produced three or more goals.
  3. Six of the last eight games of Alaves ended with three or more goals.

Main prediction Alaves - Villarreal

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

60% winrate

wins

4 wins in a row

Football betting expert with a background in data science and statistical modeling.

Alaves vs Villarreal standings in La Liga

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 FC Barcelona 31 26 1 4 84 - 30 +54 79
2 Real Madrid 32 23 4 5 67 - 30 +37 73
3 Villarreal 31 19 4 8 56 - 36 +20 61
4 Atlético Madrid 31 17 6 8 51 - 32 +19 57
5 Real Betis 32 12 13 7 48 - 40 +8 49
6 Celta de Vigo 31 11 11 9 44 - 40 +4 44
7 Real Sociedad 31 11 9 11 49 - 48 +1 42
8 Getafe 31 12 5 14 27 - 32 -5 41
9 Athletic Club 32 12 5 15 34 - 45 -11 41
10 Osasuna 32 10 9 13 37 - 39 -2 39
11 Espanyol 31 10 8 13 37 - 48 -11 38
12 Girona 32 9 11 12 35 - 48 -13 38
13 Valencia 32 9 9 14 35 - 47 -12 36
14 Mallorca 32 9 8 15 40 - 49 -9 35
15 Rayo Vallecano 31 8 11 12 29 - 38 -9 35
16 Sevilla 31 9 7 15 39 - 51 -12 34
17 Deportivo Alavés 32 8 9 15 36 - 48 -12 33
18 Elche 31 7 11 13 39 - 47 -8 32
19 Levante 31 7 8 16 35 - 50 -15 29
20 Real Oviedo 31 6 9 16 24 - 48 -24 27

Deportivo Alaves vs Villarreal – FAQ

? Where to watc⁠h?

Camel1 Live i⁠s free and a good alternati⁠ve to stream Friday’s La Liga contest⁠ between Alaves and Villarreal.

? What⁠ is Villarreal’s average number⁠ of corners in their league away matches this season?

3.33

? What is Alaves’s average num⁠ber of yellow c⁠ards received in their La Liga home encounters this season?

2.00