Atletico MG vs Sport Recife prediction 08.10.2025 | Brasileirão Betano
Kick off:
Date:
1
1.66
X
3.74
2
5.76
Contents
- Competition: Brasileirão Betano
- Date: 08/10/2025
- KO: 23:00 UK / 00:00 CEST
- Venue: Arena MRV
The Arena MRV is the venue for a Brasileirão Betano contest this week as Atletico MG takes on Sport Recife.
Sport Recife come into this contest after picking up back-to-back draws in their last two league fixtures, while Atletico return to action after a disappointing road loss at Fluminense last weekend.
The home side have the better of recent encounters between these sides, and have been priced-up as odds-on-favourites to claim three points this week.
vs Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Atletico Mineiro
2 : 0
Sport Recife
Copa do Brasil
-
Atletico Mineiro
3 : 0
Sport Recife
Serie A
-
Sport Recife
0 : 1
Atletico Mineiro
Serie A
-
Sport Recife
2 : 3
Atletico Mineiro
Serie A
-
Atletico Mineiro
0 : 0
Sport Recife
Serie A
-
Atletico Mineiro
5 : 2
Sport Recife
Serie A
Atletico MG and Sport Recife have met on 18 occasions since 2012. Atletico MG won ten of those games while Sport Recife claimed four victories.
Atletico MG team overview
Atletico MG return to home comforts after a painful 3:0 defeat at Fluminense last Saturday. Samuel Xavier's early goal set the hosts on their way to a comfortable victory at the Maracana.
Jorge Sampaoli's side have not been at their best in recent weeks, with just two wins collected from their last 11 matches. MG failed to win seven successive games before recent improvements saw them win two and draw one of their last three games at Arena MRV.
A lack of attacking firepower has been the biggest issue for Atletico. MG have seen under 2.5 goals in ten of their last 12 matches with just six goals scored in those fixtures.
Head coach Sampaoli has four expected absentees this week. Patrick, Tomás Cuello, Alexander and Júnior Santos are likely to remain sidelined with various injury concerns.
Last matches of
-
Fluminense
3 : 0
Atletico Mineiro
Serie A
-
Atletico Mineiro
0 : 0
Juventude
Serie A
-
Atletico Mineiro
1 : 0
Mirassol
Serie A
-
Atletico Mineiro
1 : 0
Bolívar
Copa Sudamericana
-
Botafogo
1 : 0
Atletico Mineiro
Serie A
lineup
Goalkeeper
-
22
Everson
Defenders
-
4
Lyanco
-
6
Júnior Alonso
-
14
Vitor Hugo
Midfielders
-
2
Natanael
-
10
Gustavo Scarpa
-
17
Igor Gomes
-
13
Guilherme Arana
Forwards
-
11
Bernard
-
33
Rony
-
7
Hulk
Sport Recife team overview
Sport Recife come into Wednesday's Brasileirão Betano contest now winless in three matches after a 1:1 draw at Cruzeiro on Sunday evening. Derik Lacerda had given the Serie A strugglers a first-half lead before Gabriel Barbosa's equaliser rescued a point for the home side.
The Leão do Norte have endured a wretched campaign, winning just two of 25 league matches. With only 16 points on the board, they sit rock-bottom of the Serie A standings.
Like the home side, a lack of quality in the final third has been a big issue for the away side. Sport scored just eight goals in 13 away games this season.
Head coach Daniel Paulista is unable to call on three first-team players this week. Denis, Zé Roberto and Hereda are expected to remain sidelined.
Last matches of
-
Fortaleza
1 : 0
Sport Recife
Serie A
-
Sport Recife
1 : 0
Corinthians
Serie A
-
Red Bull Bragantino
1 : 1
Sport Recife
Serie A
-
Sport Recife
2 : 3
Vasco da Gama
Serie A
-
Palmeiras
3 : 0
Sport Recife
Serie A
lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Gabriel
Defenders
-
33
Matheus Alexandre
-
15
Rafael Thyere
-
40
Ramon Menezes
-
36
Luan Cândido
Midfielders
-
14
Christian Rivera
-
58
Ze Lucas
-
19
Hyoran
Forwards
-
17
Matheusinho
-
18
Derik Lacerda
-
11
Romarinho
Prediction
A low-scoring outcome seems likely in Wednesday's Brasileirão Betano contest. Under 2.5 goals is my preferred pick, with Atletico also tipped to edge to a narrow home win.
Three Reasons Why We Expect Under 2.5 Goals
- Atletico MG have seen under 2.5 goals in 10 of their last 12 matches
- Atletico MG have seen under 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 6 matches against Sport Recife
- Sport Recife have seen under 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches
Main prediction -
Under 2.5 goals
Best Odds:
Megapari
1.72
vs standings in Serie A
| Regular Season | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 42 - 21 | +21 | 55 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 50 - 13 | +37 | 55 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 40 - 20 | +20 | 52 |
| 4 | Botafogo | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 37 - 23 | +14 | 43 |
| 5 | Bahia | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 34 - 30 | +4 | 43 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 42 - 28 | +14 | 43 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 33 - 31 | +2 | 38 |
| 8 | São Paulo | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 31 - 28 | +3 | 38 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33 - 38 | -5 | 36 |
| 10 | Ceará | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 26 - 24 | +2 | 34 |
| 11 | Vasco da Gama | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 42 - 41 | +1 | 33 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 29 - 32 | -3 | 33 |
| 13 | Grêmio | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 28 - 33 | -5 | 33 |
| 14 | Internacional | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 32 - 38 | -6 | 32 |
| 15 | Atlético Mineiro | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 22 - 29 | -7 | 29 |
| 16 | Santos | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 - 38 | -13 | 28 |
| 17 | Vitória | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24 - 42 | -18 | 25 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 26 - 41 | -15 | 24 |
| 19 | Juventude | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 21 - 48 | -27 | 23 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 25 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 19 - 38 | -19 | 16 |