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Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad prediction 18.04.2026 | Copa del Rey

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

Kick off:

Date:

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

1

1.85

X

3.66

2

4.56

  • Competition: Copa del Rey, Final
  • Date: Saturday, 18th April, 2026
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CEST
  • Venue: Estadio de La Cartuja (Sevilla)

After securing the Champions League Semi-Finals by eliminating Barcelona on a 3:2 aggregate, Atletico Madrid will face Real Sociedad in the Copa del Rey Finals at a neutral pitch at Estadio de La Cartuja. Colchoneros are trying to secure their 11th Copa del Rey title, and first since the 2012/13 season. Meanwhile, the Basque team is hoping for its third-ever Cup title and first since the 2019/20 season. 

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for the Copa del Rey Final. 

Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Atletico Madrid

    3 : 2

    Real Sociedad

    La Liga

  2. Real Sociedad

    1 : 1

    Atletico Madrid

    La Liga

  3. Atletico Madrid

    4 : 0

    Real Sociedad

    La Liga

  4. Real Sociedad

    1 : 1

    Atletico Madrid

    La Liga

  5. Real Sociedad

    0 : 2

    Atletico Madrid

    La Liga

  6. Atletico Madrid

    2 : 1

    Real Sociedad

    La Liga

These teams have met twice this season. Atletico Madrid have won 3:2 at home, while the match at San Sebastian ended in a 1:1 draw. Looking further back, over the past ten H2H games, Atletico Madrid have won six times, while the remaining four games resulted in draws. 

When it comes to the number of goals, five of the past ten H2H games ended with three or more goals. Meanwhile, both teams scored in seven of those ten H2H games. 

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid team overview

Atletico Madrid are in a pretty strange place, having won just once and lost five times in the past six games. However, during that terrible stretch, they managed to secure a place in the Champions League Semi-Finals by eliminating Barcelona. Interestingly, Colchoneros reached the Copa del Rey Finals by eliminating the same team as in the Champions League - Barcelona! 

In La Liga, after three straight losses, Colchoneros are in 4th place with 57 points - 11 points away from dropping out of the top four. Securing "only" the top four will probably be their goal in La Liga, and at the moment, their focus is on the cup competitions.

When it comes to injuries, the players who missed the previous games should remain sidelined - Pablo Barrios, Jose Maria Gimenez, and David Hancko. 

Last matches of Atletico Madrid

  1. Atletico Madrid

    1 : 2

    FC Barcelona

    Champions League

  2. Sevilla

    2 : 1

    Atletico Madrid

    La Liga

  3. FC Barcelona

    0 : 2

    Atletico Madrid

    Champions League

  4. Atletico Madrid

    1 : 2

    FC Barcelona

    La Liga

  5. Real Madrid

    3 : 2

    Atletico Madrid

    La Liga

Atletico Madrid lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 13

    Jan Oblak

Defenders

  • 16

    Nahuel Molina

  • 24

    Robin Le Normand

  • 15

    Clément Lenglet

  • 3

    Matteo Ruggeri

Midfielders

  • 20

    Giuliano Simeone

  • 14

    Marcos Llorente

  • 6

    Koke

  • 22

    Ademola Lookman

Forwards

  • 7

    Antoine Griezmann

  • 19

    Julián Alvarez

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad team overview

Real Sociedad had a pretty bad first half of the season, but after sacking coach Imanol Alguacil and appointing Pellegrino Matarazzo, they started playing a lot better. Alguacil spent eight and a half years at the club, and it seems the club desperately needed a change. At the moment, after 31 La Liga rounds, the White and Blues are in 7th place with 42 points. So, even if they fail to win the Cup, they still have a realistic chance to secure Europe next season.

Coach Matarazzo will have several important players out with injuries - Jon Gorrotxategi, Yangel Herrera, Job Ochieng, Alvaro Odriozola, and Igor Zubeldia, while midfielder Luka Sucic is listed as questionable. 

Last matches of Real Sociedad

  1. Real Sociedad

    3 : 3

    Alaves

    La Liga

  2. Real Sociedad

    2 : 0

    Levante

    La Liga

  3. Villarreal

    3 : 1

    Real Sociedad

    La Liga

  4. Real Sociedad

    3 : 1

    Osasuna

    La Liga

  5. Atletico Madrid

    3 : 2

    Real Sociedad

    La Liga

Real Sociedad lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Álex Remiro

Defenders

  • 2

    Jon Aramburu

  • 16

    Duje Caleta-Car

  • 6

    Aritz Elustondo

  • 17

    Sergio Gómez

Midfielders

  • 23

    Brais Méndez

  • 18

    Carlos Soler

  • 15

    Pablo Marín

Forwards

  • 10

    Mikel Oyarzabal

  • 11

    Gonçalo Guedes

  • 7

    Ander Barrenetxea

Prediction

Atletico Madrid almost exclusively played high-scoring games recently, going over 2.5 goals in five of the past six and in eight of the past ten games across competitions. They have had massive defensive problems in recent matches, allowing 2+ goals pretty much constantly, and we do not expect that to suddenly change. 

Similar to Atletico Madrid, Real Sociedad have gone over 2.5 goals in four of the past five games. One of those matches was against Atletico Madrid in early February, when we saw five goals in total. 

Even though we believe Atletico Madrid to be a better team, we are a bit reluctant to take a bet on them to win due to their poor form. Instead, we believe that an over 2.5 goals bet is the safest option for this Copa del Rey Final. 

3 Reasons why we should see three or more goals

  1. Atletico Madrid went over 2.5 goals in eight of the past ten games
  2. Real Sociedad went over 2.5 goals in four of the past five games
  3. We saw five goals in the previous H2H game (3:2 for Atletico Madrid)

Main prediction Atletico Madrid - Real Sociedad

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

1 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

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1.95

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Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Atletico Madrid this season?

The average xG for Atletico Madrid in the league this season is 1.61.

? How much is the average xG for Real Sociedad this season?

The average xG for Real Sociedad in the league this season is 1.49.