2025 WTA Finals betting odds, player analysis & prediction

The 2025 WTA Finals, taking place on 1-8 November at the King Saud University Indoor Arena in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, will bring the tennis season to an exciting finish. The top eight players of the year will battle for the prestigious Billie Jean King Trophy. It's the second year the event takes place in Riyadh, setting the stage for another week of world-class tennis.

Coco Gauff returns as the defending champion, while Aryna Sabalenka and Iga Świątek aim to finish their seasons with one final statement. At MightyTips, our experts have analysed recent form and head-to-head matchups to break down who holds the edge in this season's last showdown.

Group Steffi Graf

• Aryna Sabalenka (1)
• Coco Gauff (3, champion)
• Jessica Pegula (5)
• Jasmine Paolini (8)

Group Serena Williams

• Iga Świątek (2)
• Amanda Anisimova (4)
• Elena Rybakina (6)
• Madison Keys (7)

There's an unprecedented $12.4 million prize pool for the singles tournament. Each victory at the group stage is worth $350,000 and 200 ranking points, while a win at the semifinal stage nets $1,290,000 and 400 ranking points. The triumph in the final will land $2,540,000 and 500 more ranking points. Therefore, the champion will earn $5,220,000 if going undefeated throughout the event, as there's a participation fee worth another $340,000.

Aryna Sabalenka

Sabalenka arrives in Riyadh as the clear favourite after another commanding season. The World No.1 became the first player to qualify for the 2025 WTA Finals back in July, underlining her dominance from start to finish. She captured four major titles, Brisbane, Miami, Madrid, and the US Open, while also reaching the finals at the Australian Open and Roland Garros, plus a semifinal at Wimbledon.

Across the year's biggest stages, she delivered unmatched consistency, winning 59 of 70 matches and setting an Open Era milestone with a 21-2 tiebreak record. Her powerful first serve remains one of the most feared weapons on tour, and despite a semifinal exit in Wuhan, Sabalenka's form makes her the player to beat.

🤔Is Aryna Sabalenka the player to beat at the WTA Finals?#ArynaSabalenka | #MartinaNavratilova

🔗READ: https://t.co/l5wf90PiVV pic.twitter.com/zqtnkylc2m

— Tennis365 (@tennis365com) October 28, 2025

Iga Świątek

This season showcased Iga's versatility like never before. Currently No.2, she became a Career Surface Slam winner by claiming her first Wimbledon title, crushing Amanda Anisimova 6-0, 6-0 in the final. She added more trophies in Cincinnati and Seoul, finishing the year with a strong 61-15 record.

Under coach Wim Fissette, Świątek's serve has become heavier and more precise, helping her adapt brilliantly to faster courts. She arrives in superb form and confidence on indoor hard courts, where her timing and discipline often shine. A second WTA Finals crown would be the perfect way to underline her all-surface dominance.

Quarterfinals in Wuhan!

Now Iga has reached that round in all 10 WTA 1000 tournaments 🤙🏻pic.twitter.com/UIlVS8BEru

— Out of Context Iga Świątek (@SwiatekOOC) October 9, 2025

Coco Gauff

Gauff returns to Riyadh as the defending WTA Finals champion after another outstanding year. She collected major titles at the United Cup, French Open, and Wuhan Open, cementing her place among the elite. She went 47-14 in 2025, dominating on clay with finals in Madrid and Rome before lifting her second career Grand Slam at Roland Garros. She became the first American to win there since Serena Williams in 2015.

Despite an early Wimbledon exit, Gauff's late-season rebound was spectacular, capped by her Wuhan Open triumph with a victory against Jessica Pegula in the final. With her serve mechanics refined and an unbeaten streak in her first nine hard-court finals, the 21-year-old arrives in peak form to defend her crown.

Coco Gauff makes history at the Wuhan Open, her third WTA 1000 title and her ninth straight win in hard court finals! 🤩 pic.twitter.com/DWeMTFnOnk

— TNT Sports (@tntsports) October 12, 2025

Elena Rybakina

Elena Rybakina is currently No.6 after a season defined by consistency. She started the year with a strong run at the Australian Open, reaching the fourth round, and later produced back-to-back semifinals during the Middle East swing. The turning point came in May, when Rybakina lifted the WTA 500 title in Strasbourg, ending a year-long trophy drought and restoring her confidence ahead of Roland Garros.

The Kazakh star maintained her level across all surfaces, reaching the semifinals in Washington, Montreal, and Cincinnati. With over 50 match victories and two WTA 500 titles, Rybakina's strong form throughout the season reaffirmed her place among the world's elite heading into her third straight WTA Finals appearance. 

Elena Rybakina enjoying a rainy night in Tokyo.

Recharging the batteries ahead of the WTA Finals in Riyadh.

🐠❤️☔️

(via Elena’s IG) pic.twitter.com/GP5SLbUAnk

— The Tennis Letter (@TheTennisLetter) October 26, 2025

Jessica Pegula

Jessica Pegula delivered another rock-solid season in 2025, highlighted by her first clay-court title in Charleston and a second straight semifinal run at the US Open. The American started the year strong, reaching the Adelaide final and later lifting trophies in Austin and Bad Homburg, where she stunned Świątek in the final.

Jessica made deep runs in Miami, Beijing, and Wuhan, defeating top players like Sabalenka and Raducanu along the way. Despite a few early exits mid-season, her steady baseline play and elite match IQ kept her firmly in the world's Top 5, proving that smart, disciplined tennis still holds its own against the game's biggest hitters.

-5 - Jessica Pegula is the oldest player to qualify to the WTA Finals for 4+ consecutive years since Nathalie Tauziat (1997-2001) and the oldest American since Martina Navratilova (1991-1994). Countdown.
#WTAFinalsRiyadh | @WTA @WTAFinalsRiyadh pic.twitter.com/wMbJcGwEaG

— OptaAce (@OptaAce) October 27, 2025

Jasmine Paolini

Jasmine Paolini heads into her first-ever WTA Finals after producing her best tennis yet in 2025. It's highlighted by a historic Rome title, becoming the first Italian woman in four decades to win on home soil. She also won the French Open doubles title with Sara Errani.

Her consistent form across surfaces, with deep runs in Miami, Stuttgart, and Cincinnati, proved she now belongs among the world's elite. Paolini's blend of talent and positivity made her one of the season's most likable stories. After years of hard work, she finally gets to test herself against the very best on one of tennis's biggest stages.

Jasmine Paolini in WTA 1000s in 2025 (9 played):
- 1 title*
- 2 finals*
- 3 semifinals*
- 4 quarterfinals
- 7/9 round of 16
- 2 top 5 wins*
- 2 top 10 wins*
- 4 top 20 wins*
- 23/7 record (76.67% W/L)*

Simply amazing ❤️ pic.twitter.com/GL3P95Qurr

— Alessandro Febbi (@AleCreek) September 30, 2025

Madison Keys

Madison Keys makes a long-awaited return to the WTA Finals, marking her first appearance since 2016. The American's stellar 2025 campaign featured her first Grand Slam title at the Australian Open and a WTA 500 victory in Adelaide, results that secured her spot among the elite eight.

Despite not competing since the US Open due to a wrist injury, Keys' season remains one of the most impressive of her career, finishing with a 37-13 record. Known for her explosive serve and first-strike power, she enters the Finals well rested. A proven champion is capable of upsetting any opponent when her timing clicks.

Explosive power and fearless play 💥🎾 Madison Keys always brings the heat.

Get your #WTAFinalsRiyadh tickets 🎟 https://t.co/0aBnUDWVbE pic.twitter.com/c5TC7yJEoI

— WTA FINALS RIYADH (@WTAFinalsRiyadh) October 27, 2025

It's really hard to go against Iga Świątek here, as she had a phenomenal year and holds a head-to-head advantage in past meetings over all other participants except Anisimova, who she beat once and suffered one defeat. She should make it to the semifinals, and an 8-5 advantage in previous matches against Sabalenka is just too good to pass by, given that this is the most likely final on the cards.

Another bet worth thinking about is Sabalenka to win the Steffi Graf group at 1.90. She shouldn't have many problems beating Pegula and Paolini, and everything will be decided in the battle against Gauff. It's 4-4 between the two on a hard surface, but Sabalenka had a much more impressive year and should defeat the American to finish first in the group.

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