Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots: Prediction and odds on Super Bowl 2026

By Deniss Novickis | Published: January 6, 2025

Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara is the place for the biggest sporting event of the year, as the Seattle Seahawks and the New England Patriots are ready to battle it out for the Vince Lombardi trophy.

In this article, we break down the Super Bowl LX odds, talk about team news, their strengths and weaknesses, and provide some curious facts, before making our prediction on the outcome and providing another value bet for the game in California. Can Drake Maye win a record seventh Super Bowl for the Pats? Is this the battle to lose for the Patriots? Let’s find out!

The Seahawks are huge favourites ahead of this clash, at 1.41. The odds on the Patriots winning the Super Bowl sit at 2.95. The bookies expect a low-scoring game, as the total line is 45.5 points. Finally, the spread is 4.5 points, which is equally interesting to those sure of Seattle’s easy win and those believing that the Patriots will be a tough nut to crack.

Seahawks vs Patriots Betting Odds

While the Seahawks lost two of the first five games in the regular season, they suffered just one defeat after that. A stunning comeback at home against the Los Angeles Rams opened the door to claiming the number one seed in the NFC, and the team never looked back. In the playoffs, the Seahawks smashed the San Francisco 49ers 41-6 and then defeated the Rams by four points to earn a Super Bowl spot.

Defence is the biggest strength of the team, with just 285 allowed yards per game during the regular season. Offensively, Seattle relies on the dynamic passing game of Sam Darnold and explosive talent Jaxon Smith-Njigba, who has had a record-setting season for receiving yards (1,793). Running back Kenneth Walker III had a 1000+ yard season, and he’ll be key on Sunday. Rookie safety Nick Emmanwori and offensive tackle Charles Cross are questionable, but both should be fine to take the field in the biggest game there is.

Sam Darnold is the 1st QB in #NFL history to win 30+ games in a 2-year span with 2 different teams. pic.twitter.com/SlTa8tmN8I

— NFL Stats (@NFL_Stats) January 31, 2026

The Patriots had a dreadful start to the regular season, as they lost to the Raiders and the Steelers in the first three weeks. However, there was a single defeat against the Buffalo Bills after that. Being the second seed in the AFC, the Pats have subsequently won against the Chargers, the Texans, and the Broncos in the postseason. Only the game against Denver was close, but New England triumphed in Colorado by three points.

Defence is the main weapon for the Patriots, too. Their defensive backs - including Christian Gonzalez and Carlton Davis III - have played key roles in turnovers and pass breakups throughout the season. Stefon Diggs and Hunter Henry are the main targets for quarterback Drake Maye, whose protection is a must if New England are to win. Linebackers Harold Landry III and captain Robert Spillane were injured, but should return just in time.

Seeing all that emotion pour out of Drake Maye at the end… chills.
pic.twitter.com/eM6H3Q8FGV

— Tyler Milliken (@tylermilliken_) January 25, 2026

• With a win in California, the Patriots will become the most successful franchise in history. Tied with the Pittsburgh Steelers, they have won six Super Bowls, all secured by Tom Brady as quarterback. In contrast, the Seahawks claimed their single victory in 2013.
• The Seahawks lead the head-to-head record, boasting 11 victories and 9 defeats. Furthermore, they claimed the last three meetings, including a 23-20 overtime win against the Patriots in September 2024.
• However, the Patriots claimed the only playoff meeting between the teams - a 28-24 win in Super Bowl XLIX in February 2015.
• Drake Maye just completed his first full season as the Patriots’ quarterback. In contrast, Sam Darnold, who debuted in 2018 with the New York Jets, has since played for the Panthers, 49ers, and Vikings before arriving in Seattle for his first season with the Seahawks.
• The AFC teams won six out of the last 10 Super Bowls. Two of those victories were celebrated by the Patriots in 2017 and 2019.

Both defenses play very well, but so do the quarterbacks. We expect the total to go over 45.5 points, with many completed passes. One player prop market caught our eye immediately. Cooper Kupp, the Seattle Seahawks’ former Super Bowl-winning wide receiver, boasts great skill and experience. He has recorded nine receptions in two postseason games so far. Since defence will likely double-cover Smith-Njigba throughout, Kupp should see more opportunities. Therefore, betting on Kupp to have 4+ receptions at 2.40 is a sure bet.

With all respect to the Patriots, Seattle just looks like a different animal at the moment. The game should be close for some time, but the Seahawks will come out on top at the end thanks to their experience and character. Betting Seattle’s moneyline at 1.41 has no value, but we really like the Seahawks -4.0 points line at 1.78.

Shifting focus to individual performances: it's almost always the quarterback who steals the show and claims MVP honors! QBs have taken home this award seven times in the past ten years. Still, there are surprises - just look at Kupp, who electrified fans as one of the rare exceptions, snagging the MVP in 2022 as a member of the Rams. In this year’s showdown, picking the winning quarterback is another thrilling bet, yet Smith-Njigba’s got a legitimate shot to make history. The table below highlights five of the hottest Super Bowl MVP favourites and their odds.

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