UFC 327 Procházka vs Ulberg: Betting tips and predictions

By Deniss Novickis | Published: April 10, 2026, 10:00

After a series of events that raised questions about the need for the Paramount deal, UFC returns with an impressive tournament in Miami, Florida. The second title fight between Joshua Van and Tatsuro Taira is off due to the champion's injury, but the card still features plenty of big names. The main event is Jiří Procházka against Carlos Ulberg for the vacant UFC light heavyweight championship.

This article features UFC 327 betting predictions and tips ahead of the event in Kaseya Center. We’ll try to foresee each fight, find the most valuable betting spots, and advise on which bouts to avoid in terms of wagering.

The UFC 327 main card also features a great co-main event: ranked sixth in the light heavyweight division and unbeaten Azamat Murzakanov against Paulo Costa, who is moving up a weight class. Another light heavyweight bout, Dominick Reyes versus Johnny Walker, will surely end in a highlight knockout. Cub Swanson will have his retirement fight against Nate Landwehr, while other notable names include Curtis Blades, Kevin Holland, Mateusz Gamrot, Tatiana Suarez, Kelvin Gastelum and Vicente Luque. Here’s the full schedule for the event in Miami:

Main card

• Jiří Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg
• Azamat Murzakanov vs. Paulo Costa
• Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit
• Dominick Reyes vs. Johnny Walker
• Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr

Preliminary card

• Patrício Pitbull vs. Aaron Pico
• Mateusz Gamrot vs. Esteban Ribovics
• Kevin Holland vs. Randy Brown
• Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godinez

• Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos
• Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque
• Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado

Check our UFC betting tips, as we start with the main event and break down every bout all the way to the early prelims. One important thing to mention: long-term betting success always comes from being selective, so you shouldn’t bet on every fight, but rather focus on the ones with the greatest value.

First faceoff of #UFC327 fight week 👀 Miami is heating up! 🔥@jiri_bjp vs @UlbergCarlos#UFC327 LIVE APRIL 11 at 9pmET on @paramountplus! pic.twitter.com/Zwf0xwg6cY

— TKO (@TKOGrp) April 7, 2026

Main event: Jiří Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg prediction

Right after this fight is over, there will be plenty of couch experts saying that they were 100% sure of the outcome. The truth is, however, we have a very unpredictable battle on our hands thanks to Procházka. His unorthodox style, walking towards opponents with hands down, just screams: “Do not bet on me!” Yet the former champion has won 16 out of the last 18 fights, losing twice to Alex Pereira, who vacated the belt.

Ulberg is the exact opposite. A very skillful kickboxer who is always cautious and has all the tools to outstrike his Czech opponent. He is on an eight-fight winning streak in the UFC after losing his debut to, guess who, Kennedy Nzechukwu. To be honest, we were going back and forth on this one. That’s why it’s a pass from our side - no bet here, just enjoy the show.
Prediction: Logic tells that Ulberg should win, and a knockout is very much on the cards. Pass this one.

Co-main event: Azamat Murzakanov vs. Paulo Costa prediction

We were very surprised by the odds on Costa, who sits at 2.65. Yes, Murzakanov is unbeaten and on a six-fight winning streak in the UFC. However, only the last victory against Aleksandar Rakić has value, and the latter is washed as well, being knocked out by a jab. Murzakanov has never faced an opponent of Costa’s level.

The Brazilian moves up from the middleweight division, which means he doesn’t need to cut that much weight. He has a granite chin and cardio for days, while Murzakanov already had problems late in his fights in the UFC. Last but not least, Costa is very fast for this division, and his experience is another advantage. Outstriking or even knocking Murzakanov out, Costa will take that zero away.
Prediction: Costa wins a 29-28 decision.

Featured fight: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit prediction

This is another fight where the bookmakers can’t identify a clear favourite. The UFC obviously love Hokit, mostly because of his post-fight speeches. However, we can’t ignore two facts - he has had only eight bouts in his career, and both of his victories in the promotion happened against cans. As much as Dana White would love to make Hokit a ranked fighter, this mission might’ve come too soon.

Blaydes, on the other hand, is hated by the UFC for some reason. Number five in the heavyweight division, he’ll be fighting against the second unranked opponent in a row. While the Razor arguably lost his previous bout versus Rizvan Kuniev and didn’t have a good performance for some time, just look at his opposition and compare it to one of Hokit’s. Blaydes has a clear key to victory via grappling and takedowns. Besides, could you name a former NFL player who was successful in the UFC? This is a sure bet on Blaydes for us. Hopefully, he won’t decide to strike on Saturday night.

Prediction: Blaydes prevails via decision, likely a 30-27.

Dominick Reyes vs. Johnny Walker prediction

A battle of paper chins is next, as Reyes has lost four fights via KO/TKO, while Walker has six such defeats. Even the Oracle of Delphi would have problems predicting this one. However, Walker can fight cautiously, and there is a scenario where both athletes will wait for a good counter chance, while the crowd is booing.

The bookmakers see Reyes as a slight favourite, mostly because he had a three-fight streak via knockouts before losing to Ulberg. This is a classic coin flip, therefore, if you just have to bet this fight, choose the underdog. The wise decision is to pass this one altogether. One last thing to say from our side - if you do make parlay bets, under 2.5 rounds at 1.25 is a great piece for that.

Prediction: Someone is getting knocked out here, probably in the first half of the bout. We’ll say it’s Walker who wins. It’s another pass.

Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr prediction

Swanson will leave his gloves in the middle of the octagon after this one. The 42-year-old earned eight Fight of the Night bonuses during his UFC stint for a reason, and even nowadays he doesn’t look washed. Moreover, it’s the 37-year-old Landwehr who arguably took more damage along his career.

These athletes have even chances to win, according to the bookies, as they sit at 1.90. We like Swanson much more here, even though Landwehr does have real knockout power. Swanson is the more technical and the fresher fighter out of the two, while Landwehr was knocked out in his last two fights. Not a sure bet by any imagination, especially because Swanson is retiring, but he will surely try to finish on a high.

Prediction: Swanson finds a knockout late in the fight.

Patrício Pitbull vs. Aaron Pico prediction

Two former Bellator fighters square off in this one, and here’s what we need to mention first. If this battle had taken place 4-5 years ago, it’s a no-brainer to bet Pitbull, especially at the odds of 3.60. Yet he is 38 years of age, so some of his size, speed, athleticism and explosion are gone forever.

Pico is chinny, and he was brutally knocked out by Lerone Murphy in his last fight. Yet if you rewatch it, Pico was picking Murphy apart before that wild spinning back elbow came into play. He will have a huge speed advantage over Pitbull, who could only hope for a lucky punch. Betting the Pico moneyline has no value, but his knockout at 2.60 looks very promising. This is a risky one, but it offers value which we are looking for.

Prediction: Pico finds a knockout in the first 1.5 rounds.

Kevin Holland vs. Randy Brown prediction

If you bet on UFC long enough, you know the simple rule - never bet on Kevin Holland, especially if he’s the favourite. The guy simply has no fighting IQ, nor does he care about his record. Holland is a slight underdog in this one at 2.00, but that’s simply not enough for us to put hard-earned cash on him.

While the Trailblazer has a clear path to triumph, will he grapple? Or will he decide to strike, just like he did against Stephen Thompson, which was one of the dumbest decisions in the octagon ever. Brown has more pop in his shots and throws more volume, but his chin is worse than his opponent’s. All in all, if betting this fight, it’s only Brown at 1.83. However, the chance of Holland going to grappling makes us pass here, too.
Prediction: Brown outstrikes Holland to a decision. No bet from our side.

Mateusz Gamrot vs. Esteban Ribovics prediction

Ribovics is our underdog of the card, currently sitting at 2.50. This is a classic grappler versus striker matchup. Gamrot is 35, and it looks like he won’t become any better. The Gamer had an awful performance in his last fight against Charles Oliveira. His obvious way to win is via wrestling, shooting one takedown after another.

Set up that head kick to perfection! 👌

Watch out for another highlight finish from 🇦🇷Esteban Ribovics at #UFC327! pic.twitter.com/mS5pDCqGRz

— UFC_Asia (@UFC_Asia) April 9, 2026

However, Ribovics has a 70% takedown defence, and he’ll have a huge advantage in the standup game. Gamrot has never been knocked out in his career, but we believe there’s a real chance of that happening in Miami. However, considering the Ribovics moneyline, there’s no need to choose the method of victory in this one.

Prediction: Ribovics by unanimous decision.

Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godinez prediction

The sole women’s fight of the card features Suarez, an elite wrestler with just one loss in her career. That happened in the fight for the strawweight championship against the mighty Zhang Weili around a year ago, when Suarez looked useless. Yet Godinez is not even close to the level of Weili.

Another fighter with a poor fighting IQ, Godinez has never faced such a wrestler in her career. We can’t compare Suarez and Virna Jandiroba in terms of wrestling, yet Godinez lost a unanimous decision to the latter who was relying on her takedowns heavily. The moneyline on Suarez is just 1.64, but we can’t really see Godinez winning this fight. If the odds are not high enough for you, this is an excellent parlay piece.
Prediction: Suarez wins a unanimous decision.

Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos prediction

Despite what looks like a great record, Mederos is an underdog in this one for a reason. He has three victories in the UFC, and all of his opponents are no longer on the roster. A split decision victory over Austin Hubbard speaks for itself - if you lose to such a guy even on one referee’s card, something is seriously wrong.

Padilla, on the other hand, is a crafty veteran. He has victories against Jai Herbert and Ismael Bonfim in his resume, and his overall experience is way bigger, even though he is just a year older. Another important aspect of this fight would be several ways Taco can get the victory, as he is good both on the feet and on the mat. We’d say the odds look even too high on Padilla’s moneyline, and that’s the choice for MightyTips.
Prediction: Padilla by decision, as Mederos looks hard to finish.

Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque prediction

This fight is for all old-school fans out there. If you watch MMA for more than 4-5 years, no more words are needed. If you are a newcomer, let’s just say that Luque was really good in the previous decade, finding one finish after another. The truth is, he is not that fighter anymore. Due to age and damage taken, Luque is a shadow of himself, and let’s forget about the win against Themba Gorimbo, when the latter jumped into an anaconda choke for some reason.

While Gastelum’s best days are gone as well, he is in much better shape. He is extremely hard to finish, has sharp boxing and a decent wrestling background. A good fighting IQ is another serious advantage for the former UFC middleweight title contender. The question here is whether he can knock Luque out or will win by decision, as his moneyline is only 1.38. We’ll go with the first option in this bout.

Prediction: Gastelum wins by TKO.

Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado prediction

Unsurprisingly, the least interesting fight of the card is the one that will start the show. Radtke is the favourite, yet all three of his victories in the UFC came against very weak opposition. Prado won just one of his fights in the promotion after beating cans on the regional scene. Arguably, both are fighting to stay in the UFC.

The important factor here is the age - Radtke is 35 years old, 12 years younger than his opponent. Despite what the record suggests, Prado has improved quite a lot. We were impressed with the split decision loss against Nikolai Veretennikov. Radtke is the favourite here for a reason, but betting him at 1.57 does not look promising. We are passing this one (and, actually, starting to watch the event from the next fight might be a good idea, too).

Prediction: Radtke should win by decision, likely a 29-28 unanimous one. Just pass this fight.

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