Tyson Fury vs Arslanbek Makhmudov odds and prediction

By Klimentijs Konevs | Published: January 30, 2026

Tyson Fury is back! The Gypsy King is set to return to the ring on 11 April, when he'll face the current WBA Inter-Continental heavyweight champion, Arslanbek Makhmudov. Fury announced his retirement from boxing last year after suffering a second consecutive defeat to Oleksandr Usyk. However, the pull of boxing has proven too strong once again.

The fight will take place in the UK, with the venue still to be confirmed. This is another sports event that will be streamed globally on Netflix. Read this article to learn about the Fury vs Makhmudov odds, both fighters' form, and our expert prediction for this heavyweight bout.

Despite losing twice to Usyk and now being 37 years old, the odds on Tyson Fury to win are priced at a short 1.16. The Gypsy King remains trusted to control the fight. His opponent has just bounced back from a TKO loss in 2024. Now, with two straight wins, the odds on Makhmudov are priced at 5.00 for this matchup.

With a record of 34-2-1, Fury has one of the most impressive resumes in boxing history. This is also far from the first time he has announced his retirement, so there's little reason to believe he'll return untrained or underprepared. Fury has mastered defensive movement for a man of his size, constantly slipping shots and making opponents miss in ways heavyweights usually can't. His cardio is another major asset. He can go full throttle for all 12 rounds, keeping a high work rate, and still carrying genuine knockout power.

There are, however, flaws. Fury can be caught clean, especially when he teases opponents with his hands down. His chin was tested heavily in both Usyk fights, but those bouts also showed his durability and survival instincts when under real pressure.

Fury's last fights

Makhmudov comes into this fight with a 21-2 professional record. His first career loss was in 2023 against Agit Kabayel, when he surrendered the WBC-NABF and WBA Inter-Continental heavyweight titles. A year later, he was stopped again by Guido Vianello. Since then, Makhmudov has responded with a two-fight win streak and has retained the WBA Inter-Continental belt.

He is a genuine heavy puncher with real knockout power. In fact, his most recent win over Dave Allen was only the second fight he's ever taken to the judges. Every other victory has come by KO or TKO. That said, perspective is important. Makhmudov’s resume doesn't stack up against Fury's. His effectiveness tends to fade as fights wear on. The longer it goes, the slower he becomes. Makhmudov often looks for single, loaded shots rather than building combinations, stays fairly flat-footed, and usually absorbs punches instead of slipping away from them.

Makhmudov's last fights

We'll be honest, this fight is Tyson Fury's to lose. As a comeback bout, it feels carefully set up to give him a statement performance, entertain the fans, and collect another big check. Makhmudov will be preparing as hard as he can, but we've already seen him struggle against opponents operating well below Fury's level.

The gap in class is hard to ignore. Fury is the superior heavyweight across the board: faster, smarter, more adaptable, and just as dangerous with his power. His movement and fight IQ should steadily take Makhmudov apart. This one is unlikely to reach the final bell. We expect Fury to force a stoppage and secure a TKO/KO victory.

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