Villarreal vs Rayo Vallecano prediction 01.11.2025 | La Liga

Villarreal enter this fixture with a balanced mix of form and challenge. They finally ended a four-game winless run across the Champions League and La Liga with a 2-0 victory over Valencia last weekend, followed by a commanding 6-0 win against Ciudad de Lucena in the early rounds of the Copa del Rey. So far, Villarreal have been heavily reliant on their home form - they remain unbeaten after five games (W4, D1) and boast the second-best home scoring record in the league with 12 goals.

Defensively, they have also been impressive, restricting opponents to just 1.1 xGA (expected goals allowed) per game and keeping a clean sheet in 60% of their La Liga home fixtures this season. On average, the Yellow Submarine collect 2.6 points per home match, while producing an expected goals (xG) figure of 2.80 - underlining their attacking efficiency at the Estadio de la Cerámica.

As for team news, Marcelino will be without three first-team players through injury: Willy Kambwala, Logan Costa, and Pau Cabanes de la Torre are all sidelined and will not feature on Saturday.

Rayo Vallecano head into this match in excellent form. Over their last six games in all competitions, they have recorded five wins and one draw, remaining unbeaten since late September when they fell 1-0 to Sevilla. During this impressive run, Rayo have claimed three La Liga victories - against Real Sociedad, Levante, and Alavés - all without conceding a goal. They also registered a win and a draw in the UEFA Conference League and most recently demolished lower-league side CD Yuncos 6-1 in the Copa del Rey.

Interestingly, Rayo have performed better away from home this season, averaging 1.5 points per game on the road and scoring twice as many goals away (1.5) as they do at home (0.75).

In terms of player availability, Abdul Mumin remains the only absentee due to injury.