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Utrecht vs Nottingham prediction 11.12.2025 | Europa League

Kick off:

Date:

1

4.75

X

3.70

2

1.75

  • Competition: Europa League
  • Date: Thursday, 11th December, 2025
  • Kickoff: 17:45 UK / 18:45 CET
  • Venue: Stadion Galgenwaard (Utrecht)

On Thursday evening, FC Utrecht will welcome Nottingham Forest in their first-ever head-to-head meeting. The result could play a decisive role in Utrecht's European campaign, as they have collected just one point from their opening five matches and are in a must-win situation. Nottingham, meanwhile, are aiming for a win that would strengthen their position in the top 1/16 and potentially push them into the top eight of the Europa League main phase.

Utrecht team overview

Utrecht came to this season after one of their best seasons in a very long time. They finished fourth, just four points away from the Champions League Qualifiers. This season, the popular "Cathedral citizens" haven't been great, sitting in seventh place with 22 points in 15 rounds, which is about 0.4 points per game less than last season. But their performance in the EL has been particularly bad, winning one point in five rounds. To be fair, they had a really challenging schedule, as four out of their five opponents are currently in the top eight spots. 

After a 1:1 draw vs Twente, coach Ron Jans spoke to the media. He said that a draw was the most realistic result, but expressed disappointment as they had a 1:0 lead about ten minutes before the end of the game. The coach eventually said that a draw will not help them stand out in the league table but will just "keep going."

Last matches of

  1. Utrecht

    1 : 1

    Twente

    Eredivisie

  2. Go Ahead Eagles

    2 : 2

    Utrecht

    Eredivisie

  3. Real Betis

    2 : 1

    Utrecht

    Europa League

  4. Telstar

    1 : 1

    Utrecht

    Eredivisie

  5. Utrecht

    2 : 1

    Ajax

    Eredivisie

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Vasilios Barkas

Defenders

  • 2

    Siebe Horemans

  • 3

    Mike van der Hoorn

  • 24

    Nick Viergever

  • 16

    Souffian El Karouani

Midfielders

  • 27

    Alonzo Engwanda

  • 7

    Victor Jensen

  • 21

    Gjivai Zechiël

Forwards

  • 22

    Miguel Rodríguez

  • 20

    Dani de Wit

  • 10

    Yoann Cathline

Nottingham team overview

Last year, Nottingham have had a great season with Nuno Espirito Santo, almost reaching the Champions League. However, due to disagreements with the board, the coach was sacked, and Ange Postecoglou was appointed. Under him, the Forest have been absolutely terrible, and the club decided to sack him too. Now, under Sean Dyche, the Forest started to play better. They escaped the relegation zone in the PL and are currently in 17th place with 15 points from 15 rounds. And in the EL, the Forest are in a good position, sitting in 16th place with eight points from five rounds. 

The team have a massive problem with injuries, considering they could miss up to ten players due to injuries or illnesses. The last name on the injury sheet is Ryan Yates, who suffered an injury in the previous game vs Everton.

Last matches of

  1. Everton

    3 : 0

    Nottingham Forest

    Premier League

  2. Wolverhampton Wanderers

    0 : 1

    Nottingham Forest

    Premier League

  3. Nottingham Forest

    0 : 2

    Brighton & Hove Albion

    Premier League

  4. Nottingham Forest

    3 : 0

    Malmo FF

    Europa League

  5. Liverpool

    0 : 3

    Nottingham Forest

    Premier League

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 26

    Matz Sels

Defenders

  • 37

    Nicolò Savona

  • 31

    Nikola Milenković

  • 4

    Morato

  • 3

    Neco Williams

Midfielders

  • 6

    Ibrahim Sangaré

  • 10

    Morgan Gibbs-White

  • 8

    Elliot Anderson

  • 21

    Omari Hutchinson

Forwards

  • 19

    Igor Jesus

  • 14

    Dan Ndoye

Prediction

Utrecht are in bad form, having won just once in the last six games. They have struggled offensively, scoring one or zero goals in seven of the previous nine games across the competitions. And in the EL, they have been atrocious offensively, scoring two goals. Primarily due to a bad offense, they went under 2.5 goals in four out of five EL games - 80%.

Nottingham lost two of the last three games, scoring just one goal in that three-game stretch. That is undoubtedly (statistically) their worst stretch of games, at least on the offensive end. Also, throughout the season, the Forest were far from impressive on the offensive end, failing to score in almost half of their games across the competitions (five out of 11).

Considering all the above, we believe that an under 2.5 goals bet is the safest option for this Europa League tie.

3 Reasons why we should see fewer than three goals

  1. Utrecht scored one or zero goals in seven out of the last nine games
  2. Utrecht scored just two goals in five EL games
  3. Nottingham scored one goal in the past three games

Main prediction -

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

6 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.97

Bet here

vs standings in Europa League

League Stage P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Olympique Lyonnais 5 4 0 1 11 - 2 +9 12
2 FC Midtjylland 5 4 0 1 12 - 5 +7 12
3 Aston Villa 5 4 0 1 8 - 3 +5 12
4 SC Freiburg 5 3 2 0 8 - 3 +5 11
5 Real Betis 5 3 2 0 8 - 3 +5 11
6 Ferencvárosi 5 3 2 0 9 - 5 +4 11
7 Sporting Braga 5 3 1 1 9 - 5 +4 10
8 Porto 5 3 1 1 7 - 4 +3 10
9 Genk 5 3 1 1 7 - 5 +2 10
10 Celta de Vigo 5 3 0 2 11 - 7 +4 9
11 LOSC Lille 5 3 0 2 10 - 6 +4 9
12 VfB Stuttgart 5 3 0 2 8 - 4 +4 9
13 Viktoria Plzeň 5 2 3 0 6 - 2 +4 9
14 Panathinaikos 5 3 0 2 9 - 7 +2 9
15 Roma 5 3 0 2 7 - 5 +2 9
16 Nottingham Forest 5 2 2 1 9 - 5 +4 8
17 PAOK 5 2 2 1 10 - 7 +3 8
18 Bologna 5 2 2 1 7 - 4 +3 8
19 Brann 5 2 2 1 6 - 3 +3 8
20 Fenerbahçe 5 2 2 1 5 - 5 0 8
21 Celtic 5 2 1 2 7 - 8 -1 7
22 Crvena Zvezda 5 2 1 2 4 - 5 -1 7
23 Dinamo Zagreb 5 2 1 2 7 - 10 -3 7
24 Basel 5 2 0 3 7 - 7 0 6
25 Ludogorets 5 2 0 3 8 - 11 -3 6
26 Young Boys 5 2 0 3 7 - 12 -5 6
27 Go Ahead Eagles 5 2 0 3 4 - 9 -5 6
28 Sturm Graz 5 1 1 3 4 - 7 -3 4
29 Salzburg 5 1 0 4 5 - 10 -5 3
30 Feyenoord 5 1 0 4 4 - 9 -5 3
31 FCSB 5 1 0 4 3 - 8 -5 3
32 FC Utrecht 5 0 1 4 2 - 7 -5 1
33 Rangers 5 0 1 4 2 - 9 -7 1
34 Malmö FF 5 0 1 4 2 - 10 -8 1
35 Maccabi Tel Aviv 5 0 1 4 1 - 14 -13 1
36 Nice 5 0 0 5 4 - 12 -8 0

Utrecht vs Nottingham – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Utrecht this season?

The average xG for Utrecht in the Europa League this season is 1.25.

? How much is the average xG for Nottingham this season?

The average xG for Nottingham in the Europa League this season is 1.77.