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Toulouse vs Troyes Prediction 25.10.2026 | Ligue 1

Toulouse

Toulouse

Kick off:

Date:

Troyes

Troyes

1

1.65

X

4.36

2

5.49

  • Competition: France - Ligue 1
  • Date: Sunday, 25th, October 2026
  • Kickoff: 16:15 UK / 17:15 CET
  • Venue: Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)

Toulouse will welcome Troyes to their home turf this Sunday for round eight of the French Ligue 1, in a fixture that brings together two sides experiencing completely contrasting veins of form.

While the home side has successfully built up significant momentum and is finding the back of the net with increasing consistency, the newly promoted outfit is traversing a severe crisis of results.

Although the matchup was originally scheduled for Saturday, it was pushed back to Sunday at the request of local authorities. This scheduling shift does not alter the fact that Toulouse enters the duel riding a massive wave of self-belief, especially following a commanding triumph in their most recent outing.

Toulouse vs Troyes Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Toulouse

    4 : 1

    Troyes

    Ligue 1

  2. Troyes

    0 : 3

    Toulouse

    Ligue 1

  3. Toulouse

    6 : 1

    Troyes

    Club Friendlies 3

  4. Troyes

    1 : 1

    Toulouse

    Ligue 2

  5. Toulouse

    0 : 0

    Troyes

    Ligue 2

  6. Toulouse

    1 : 0

    Troyes

    Ligue 1

Toulouse has historically dominated this fixture, emerging victorious in exactly half of the 22 competitive meetings between the two clubs, whereas ESTAC has claimed just three wins, leaving the remaining eight encounters to end all square.

Toulouse

Toulouse team overview

An uninspiring opening few weeks failed to offer much optimism to the Toulouse faithful, but Jens Berthel Askou’s men have successfully navigated their transitional phase and head into Matchday 8 brimming with confidence following a fine four-match unbeaten streak.

Plundering ten goals during this highly successful undefeated run, Les Violets’ resurgence ultimately culminated in a dominant 3-0 triumph over Le Mans last time out, a statement performance where the squad finally paired their traditionally productive attack with much-needed defensive solidity.

Their current ninth position in the Ligue 1 table backed by 12 total goals scored beautifully illustrates the rapid progression of Askou’s tactical framework, which now relies heavily on fluid possession and the team's capacity to comfortably control the tempo of the match.

Nevertheless, the home side must remain highly vigilant despite the minor selection issues regarding injuries to the young duo of Mathys Niflore and Sion Oppong, particularly since they had shipped at least two goals in three consecutive matches prior to the Le Mans clean sheet, serving as a reminder that their backline is not entirely invincible.

Last matches of Toulouse

  1. Le Mans

    0 : 3

    Toulouse

    Ligue 1

  2. Monaco

    2 : 2

    Toulouse

    Ligue 1

  3. Toulouse

    2 : 3

    Pau

    Club Friendlies 3

  4. Toulouse

    3 : 2

    Le Havre

    Ligue 1

  5. Lorient

    2 : 2

    Toulouse

    Ligue 1

Toulouse lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 16

    Guillaume Restes

Defenders

  • 12

    Christ Tapé

  • 2

    Rasmus Nicolaisen

  • 3

    Mark McKenzie

  • 22

    Rafik Messali

Midfielders

  • 8

    Thomas Jørgensen

  • 14

    Niko Sigur

  • 23

    Cristian Cásseres Jr.

  • 15

    Aron Dønnum

Forwards

  • 13

    Jacen Russell-Rowe

  • 20

    Casper Tengstedt

Troyes

Troyes team overview

The top-flight return for Troyes has rapidly deteriorated into a grueling, back-to-the-wall battle for survival, as Stephane Dumont’s troops find themselves firmly pinned to a precarious 17th place in the standings with a meager four points to their name.

Compounding their anxieties ahead of this Sunday's daunting assignment is the fact that ESTAC enters the cauldron of Toulouse reeling from a dark five-match losing streak, a slide punctuated by comprehensive beatings at the hands of Strasbourg (6-2), LOSC Lille (2-0), Angers (2-0), Marseille (2-0), and most recently a 3-1 reverse against RC Lens.

Beyond a chronic lack of efficiency upfront highlighted by scoring a solitary goal across their last four league outings, Dumont's most glaring headache remains a catastrophic defensive structure that has already surrendered a staggering 16 goals, representing a dismal average of over two and a half goals conceded per game.

Meticulous tactical preparation for a trip to face a rampant host is further complicated by a mounting personnel crisis, with injuries sidelining full-backs Anis Ouzenadji and Yvann Titi, alongside Yacouba Koné, while the matchday availability of a half-fit Ismaël Boura remains shrouded in heavy doubt.

Last matches of Troyes

  1. Troyes

    1 : 3

    RC Lens

    Ligue 1

  2. Troyes

    0 : 2

    Marseille

    Ligue 1

  3. Dijon

    2 : 2

    Troyes

    Club Friendlies 3

  4. Angers

    2 : 0

    Troyes

    Ligue 1

  5. Lille

    2 : 0

    Troyes

    Ligue 1

Troyes lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 33

    Patrick Beach

Defenders

  • 5

    Paolo Gozzi

  • 4

    Junior Diaz

  • 6

    Adrien Monfray

  • 2

    Lucas Maronnier

Midfielders

  • 17

    Antoine Mille

  • 29

    Dermane Karim

  • 8

    Mouhamed Diop

Forwards

  • 23

    Timothé Nkada

  • 10

    Merwan Ifnaoui

  • 20

    Renaud Ripart

Prediction

While football frequently delivers unpredictable scenarios the exact moment a side carries the heavy tag of pre-match favorites, Toulouse possesses every analytical reason to approach this Sunday's clash against a shell-shocked Troyes with immense optimism.

As previously noted, the home side remains undefeated in four consecutive matches while plundering an impressive 10 goals along the way, whereas the visitors travel to Toulouse burdened by five straight defeats and an astronomical 16 conceded strikes on the season.

Further fueling a monumental psychological advantage for Askou's squad is the historical head-to-head trend, considering Les Violets have remained completely undefeated in their last 10 meetings against this opponent, a dominant run that includes a comprehensive 4-1 routing in their most recent encounter.

Although Stephane Dumont will systematically attempt to organize a deep, compact defensive low block, the visitors' anemic attacking return of just one goal in their last four outings leaves them with virtually no margin for hope should their backline clumsily capitulate early on.

Consequently, we are fully expecting the hosts to enforce their signature attacking rhythm from the very first whistle, ruthlessly exploiting the newly promoted side's deep crisis to comfortably secure three vital points in front of their roaring fans.

Four Reasons we expect Toulouse to Win

  1. Toulouse has displayed immense offensive potency in the domestic championship, scoring at least two goals in four consecutive Ligue 1 fixtures.
  2. Maintaining excellent competitive consistency, Toulouse has gone undefeated across their last four league outings (W2 D2).
  3. Troyes has hit a highly frustrating downward spiral, suffering five consecutive defeats in top-flight action.
  4. Historical trends heavily favor the hosts, as Toulouse has outsmarted Troyes in three of their last four head-to-head meetings on home soil.

Main prediction Toulouse - Troyes

Toulouse to win

Updated

clock
winrate

56% winrate

wins

1 wins in a row

don_andres is the professional football and basketball tipster who can give you deep analytic for each match 

Best Odds:

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1.65

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Toulouse vs Troyes standings in Ligue 1

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Olympique Lyonnais 7 4 2 1 13 - 5 +8 14
2 Paris Saint Germain 7 4 2 1 14 - 9 +5 14
3 Paris 7 4 2 1 12 - 7 +5 14
4 LOSC Lille 7 4 2 1 10 - 5 +5 14
5 Monaco 7 4 2 1 10 - 6 +4 14
6 Rennes 7 4 1 2 15 - 14 +1 13
7 Lorient 7 3 2 2 7 - 6 +1 11
8 Nice 8 3 2 3 8 - 10 -2 11
9 Lens 7 3 1 3 14 - 11 +3 10
10 Olympique Marseille 7 3 0 4 14 - 10 +4 9
11 Brest 8 2 3 3 14 - 12 +2 9
12 Toulouse 7 2 3 2 12 - 11 +1 9
13 Auxerre 7 3 0 4 11 - 17 -6 9
14 Strasbourg 7 2 1 4 12 - 15 -3 7
15 Angers SCO 7 2 1 4 9 - 15 -6 7
16 Le Mans 7 1 3 3 10 - 15 -5 6
17 Troyes 7 1 1 5 5 - 16 -11 4
18 Le Havre 7 0 2 5 5 - 11 -6 2

Toulouse vs Troyes – FAQ

? Who is Toulouse's player to watch?

Casper Tengstedt enters the weekend in absolutely blistering form to carry the Toulouse frontline, having plundered five goals and one assist across his last four Ligue 1 appearances.

? Who is Troyes' player to watch?

Chipping in with a solitary goal and an assist so far, Antoine Mille stands out as the most productive asset in a struggling Troyes attack.