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St. Pauli vs Hoffenheim prediction 19.10.2025 | Bundesliga

St Pauli

St Pauli

Kick off:

Date:

Hoffenheim

Hoffenheim

1

2.56

X

3.65

2

2.85

  • Competition: Bundesliga
  • Date: Sunday, 19th October 2025
  • Kickoff: 16:30 UK / 17:30 CEST
  • Venue: Millerntor-Stadion (Hamburg)

On Sunday afternoon at Millerntor-Stadion, St. Pauli will host Hoffenheim in another interesting Bundesliga clash. Both sides are too close to the relegation zone and the upcoming tie will be a good opportunity for both to separate themself from the worst in the competition. Let's break down the match and find the best betting option. 

St Pauli vs Hoffenheim Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Hoffenheim

    0 : 2

    St Pauli

    Bundesliga

  2. St Pauli

    1 : 2

    Hoffenheim

    Club Friendlies 1

  3. Hoffenheim

    2 : 2

    St Pauli

    Bundesliga

  4. St Pauli

    0 : 1

    Hoffenheim

    Bundesliga

  5. St Pauli

    3 : 1

    Hoffenheim

    2. Bundesliga

  6. Hoffenheim

    1 : 1

    St Pauli

    2. Bundesliga

St. Pauli and Hoffenheim don't have a long history of H2H matches, and surprisingly, St. Pauli are better with three victories in six encounters. Hoffenheim won only one, while two games ended with draws. Last season, St. Pauli won both clashes, 2-0 in Sinsheim and 1-0 in Hamburg. It is also worth mentioning that three of the previous four H2H matches went under 2.5 goals. 

St Pauli

St. Pauli team overview

St. Pauli are among the teams with the lowest budget in the Bundesliga, but they escaped from relegation last season. This year, St. Pauli started with seven points in the opening three league rounds, but after they lost the following three games. In the last match before the international break, St. Pauli lost 1-0 on the road against Werder Bremen. The home side ended with significantly higher xG, so it is no wonder the guests lost again. 

St. Pauli have some problems ahead of the game against Hoffenheim. Ricky-Jade Jones and David Nemeth are injured and will not play on Sunday afternoon. Jackson Irvine and Hauke Wahl are questionable, and their status will be clearer closer to the kickoff. Jackson Irvine and Hauke Wahl remain doubtful, with their status to be determined closer to kickoff. Irvine is recovering from a jaw injury, and head coach Alexander Blessin indicated that he could be fit in time, while Wahl is ill, and according to Blessin, his chances of featuring on Sunday are slim.

Last matches of St Pauli

  1. Werder Bremen

    1 : 0

    St Pauli

    Bundesliga

  2. St Pauli

    1 : 2

    Bayer Leverkusen

    Bundesliga

  3. Stuttgart

    2 : 0

    St Pauli

    Bundesliga

  4. St Pauli

    2 : 1

    Augsburg

    Bundesliga

  5. Hamburger SV

    0 : 2

    St Pauli

    Bundesliga

St Pauli lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 22

    Nikola Vasilj

Defenders

  • 21

    Lars Ritzka

  • 8

    Eric Smith

  • 3

    Karol Mets

Midfielders

  • 11

    Arkadiusz Pyrka

  • 16

    Joel Chima Fujita

  • 10

    Danel SInani

  • 6

    James Sands

  • 23

    Louis Oppie

Forwards

  • 28

    Mathias Pereira Lage

  • 19

    Martijn Kaars

Hoffenheim

Hoffenheim team overview

Like St. Pauli, Hoffenheim also ended last season with three points more than the relegation zone and escaped relegation. The team from Sinsheim expects a much better 2025/26 season. Like St. Pauli, they opened with seven points from the first six matches. In the previous three games, Hoffenheim lost 1-0 at home against FC Koln. The teams were pretty even, but the guests' better efficiency made the difference. 

Hoffenheim's head coach, Christian Ilzer, talked about the upcoming clash against St. Pauli. He said, "We're up against a team that have a lot of different facets. They may have lost their last three matches narrowly, but they've always performed well. The manager has clear ideas. The team is very well assembled for their style of play. I expect a strong opposition, so we will have to perform at our best. We want to win the close games."

Valentin Gendrey, Adam Hlozek, and Koki Machida are injured and will not play in the upcoming league round. 

Last matches of Hoffenheim

  1. Hoffenheim

    0 : 1

    FC Koln

    Bundesliga

  2. SC Freiburg

    1 : 1

    Hoffenheim

    Bundesliga

  3. Hoffenheim

    1 : 4

    Bayern Munich

    Bundesliga

  4. FC Union Berlin

    2 : 4

    Hoffenheim

    Bundesliga

  5. Hoffenheim

    1 : 3

    Eintracht Frankfurt

    Bundesliga

Hoffenheim lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Oliver Baumann

Defenders

  • 34

    Vladimir Coufal

  • 2

    Robin Hranac

  • 21

    Albian Hajdari

  • 13

    Bernardo

Midfielders

  • 10

    Muhammed Damar

  • 18

    Wouter Burger

  • 7

    Leon Avdullahu

  • 29

    Bazoumana Toure

Forwards

  • 11

    Fisnik Asllani

  • 19

    Tim Lemperle

Prediction

St. Pauli had problems with scoring lately, as they scored only one goal in the last three matches. On the other hand, Hoffenheim scored one goal in the previous two games. Also, H2H matches between these two teams are usually high-scoring. We should expect another similar clash on Sunday afternoon. Our prediction: Under 2.5 goals. 

4 Reasons why we shouldn't expect more than two goals in this match

  1. St. Pauli scored only one goal in the last three matches
  2. There were two or fewer goals in two of the previous three St. Pauli games
  3. Hoffenheim scored one goal in the last two matches
  4. St. Pauli and Hoffenheim went under 2.5 goals in three of the previous four games

Main prediction St Pauli - Hoffenheim

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

1 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

Megapari

2.08

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St Pauli vs Hoffenheim standings in Bundesliga

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 FC Bayern München 6 6 0 0 25 - 3 +22 18
2 Borussia Dortmund 6 4 2 0 12 - 4 +8 14
3 RB Leipzig 6 4 1 1 8 - 8 0 13
4 VfB Stuttgart 6 4 0 2 8 - 6 +2 12
5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 6 3 2 1 12 - 8 +4 11
6 FC Köln 6 3 1 2 11 - 9 +2 10
7 FC Union Berlin 7 3 1 3 11 - 14 -3 10
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 6 3 0 3 17 - 16 +1 9
9 SC Freiburg 6 2 2 2 9 - 9 0 8
10 Hamburger SV 6 2 2 2 6 - 8 -2 8
11 St. Pauli 6 2 1 3 8 - 9 -1 7
12 TSG Hoffenheim 6 2 1 3 9 - 12 -3 7
13 Werder Bremen 6 2 1 3 9 - 14 -5 7
14 FC Augsburg 6 2 0 4 11 - 13 -2 6
15 VfL Wolfsburg 6 1 2 3 8 - 10 -2 5
16 FSV Mainz 05 6 1 1 4 5 - 10 -5 4
17 Heidenheim 6 1 0 5 4 - 11 -7 3
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 7 0 3 4 6 - 15 -9 3

St. Pauli vs Hoffenheim – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for St. Pauli this season?

The average xG for St. Pauli in the Bundesliga this season is 1.55.

? How much is the average xG for Hoffenheim this season?

The average xG for Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga this season is 1.55.