Paris FC vs Toulouse prediction 13.12.2025 | Ligue 1
Paris FC
Kick off:
Date:
Toulouse
1
2.52
X
3.42
2
3.07
Contents
- Competition: Ligue 1
- Date: Saturday, 13th December, 2025
- Kickoff: 20:05 UK / 21:05 CET
- Venue: Stade Jean Bouin (Paris)
In the 16th round of the French top-flight division, out-of-form Paris FC will welcome Toulouse after stopping their six-game winless streak by winning 1:0 over Stasbourg. The hosts are hoping for a win, which could create some gap between them and the danger zone, while Toulouse aim to win and come on the brink of the top six and European spots.
Let's break down the match and find the best possible bet for this Ligue 1 tie.
Paris FC vs Toulouse Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Toulouse
2 : 1
Paris FC
Ligue 2
-
Paris FC
2 : 2
Toulouse
Ligue 2
-
Paris FC
3 : 1
Toulouse
Ligue 2
-
Toulouse
1 : 0
Paris FC
Ligue 2
-
Toulouse
1 : 2
Paris FC
Coupe de France
These teams last met in 2022 when they competed in Ligue 2. That time, Toulouse won their home game 2:0, while the match at Stade Jean Bouin resulted in a 2:2 draw. In total, these teams have met six times - Paris FC secured three wins, while Toulouse secured two.
When it comes to the number of goals, five out of six ended with three or more goals - 83%. Additionally, both teams scored in the same number of games (five).
Paris FC team overview
Last season, Paris FC secured their second-ever Ligue 1 appearance, the first since 1979. This season, their only goal is to survive. Even though they are close to the danger zone, they cannot be too unhappy, since they are five points away from it. Thus far, they have collected 16 points in 15 rounds. Unfortunately, they are in bad form, having won one in the past eight games, and are desperate to stop their negative momentum.
After a goalless draw against Le Havre in the previous game, coach Stéphane Gilli spoke to the media. He said they were not clinical enough, but also acknowledged they showed good collective control. Still, he wasn't too unhappy with a draw, considering Le Havre missed a penalty.
Last matches of Paris FC
-
Le Havre
0 : 0
Paris FC
Ligue 1
-
Paris FC
1 : 1
Auxerre
Ligue 1
-
Lille
4 : 2
Paris FC
Ligue 1
-
Paris FC
0 : 1
Rennes
Ligue 1
-
Monaco
0 : 1
Paris FC
Ligue 1
Paris FC lineup
Goalkeeper
-
35
Kevin Trapp
Defenders
-
14
Hamari Traoré
-
5
Moustapha Mbow
-
6
Otávio
-
2
Tuomas Ollila
Midfielders
-
10
Ilan Kebbal
-
4
Vincent Marchetti
-
17
Adama Camara
Forwards
-
21
Maxime Lopez
-
11
Jean-Philippe Krasso
-
27
Moses Simon
Toulouse team overview
Last season, Toulouse finished 10th in Ligue 1, which was their best placement since returning to the top flight in 2022. However, that 10th place looks a lot better than it actually is because they won only 42 points. In some seasons, that would put them just above the danger zone. This year, even though they have been inconsistent, they are doing a fairly good job. After 15 rounds, they are in 9th place with 20 points (1.33 per game). That is around 0.2 ppg more than last season. At the moment, they are pretty close to European spots (four points), but we doubt they are good enough to be among the top six teams.
According to credible sources, Aron Donum received a two-game ban due to an offensive gesture during the Marseille game and will serve his suspension. The 27-year-old midfielder has been among the best players on the team this season, and his absence will definitely be a factor.
Last matches of Toulouse
-
Toulouse
1 : 0
Strasbourg
Ligue 1
-
Marseille
2 : 2
Toulouse
Ligue 1
-
Toulouse
0 : 1
Angers
Ligue 1
-
Lorient
1 : 1
Toulouse
Ligue 1
-
Toulouse
0 : 0
Le Havre
Ligue 1
Toulouse lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Guillaume Restes
Defenders
-
4
Charlie Cresswell
-
2
Rasmus Nicolaisen
-
3
Mark McKenzie
Midfielders
-
19
Djibril Sidibé
-
23
Cristian Cásseres Jr.
-
45
Alexis Vossah
-
24
Dayann Methalie
Forwards
-
9
Frank Magri
-
20
Emersonn
-
10
Yann Gboho
Prediction
Both teams are in bad form. Paris FC won once in eight games, while Toulouse won once in the past seven matches. Mostly due to poor offensive performances, Paris FC and Toulouse went under 2.5 goals in four of their last five games - 80%.
Paris FC have struggled scoring recently, scoring one or zero goals in six out of the past eight games. So, expecting a great offensive display seems unreal.
Meanwhile, Toulouse have scored one or zero goals in five out of the last seven games. They scored a total of six goals in those seven matches - 0.86 per game. That is well below their season average of 1.4 goals per game.
Considering all the above, an under 2.5 goals bet seems like the best option for this Ligue 1 tie.
3 Reasons why we should see fewer than three goals
- Paris FC scored one or zero goals in six of the last eight games
- Toulouse scored six goals in the last seven matches
- Both teams went under 2.5 goals in four of the last five games
Main prediction Paris FC - Toulouse
Under 2.5 goals
Best Odds:
1xBet
1.89
Paris FC vs Toulouse standings in Ligue 1
| Regular Season | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lens | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 26 - 13 | +13 | 34 |
| 2 | Paris Saint Germain | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 - 12 | +20 | 33 |
| 3 | Olympique Marseille | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 35 - 15 | +20 | 29 |
| 4 | LOSC Lille | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 29 - 17 | +12 | 29 |
| 5 | Olympique Lyonnais | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 - 16 | +5 | 24 |
| 6 | Rennes | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24 - 23 | +1 | 24 |
| 7 | Monaco | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 26 - 26 | 0 | 23 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 25 - 20 | +5 | 22 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 21 - 19 | +2 | 20 |
| 10 | Brest | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20 - 24 | -4 | 19 |
| 11 | Angers SCO | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 13 - 17 | -4 | 19 |
| 12 | Nice | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 19 - 27 | -8 | 17 |
| 13 | Lorient | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 19 - 28 | -9 | 17 |
| 14 | Paris | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21 - 26 | -5 | 16 |
| 15 | Le Havre | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 - 21 | -8 | 15 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 - 21 | -10 | 12 |
| 17 | Nantes | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 - 24 | -11 | 11 |
| 18 | Metz | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 15 - 34 | -19 | 11 |