Newcastle vs Nottingham prediction 05.10.2025 | Premier League

Newcastle United

Newcastle United

Kick off:

Date:

Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest

1

1.61

X

4.54

2

5.71

  • Competition: Premier League
  • Date: Sunday, 5th October, 2025
  • Kickoff: 14:00 UK / 15:00 CEST
  • Venue: St. James' Park (Newcastle)

On Sunday afternoon, two teams that had an underwhelming start in the Premier League, Newcastle and Nottingham, will face off against each other at St. James' Park in Newcastle. However, Newcastle showed some signs of life as they destroyed Royal Union SG 4:0 in the last game in the Champions League. Meanwhile, Nottingham continued their absolutely terrible season by losing 3:2 to Midtjylland in the Europa League. 

Newcastle United vs Nottingham Forest Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Newcastle United

    4 : 3

    Nottingham Forest

    Premier League

  2. Nottingham Forest

    1 : 3

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

  3. Nottingham Forest

    3 : 4

    Newcastle United

    Carabao Cup

  4. Nottingham Forest

    2 : 3

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

  5. Newcastle United

    1 : 3

    Nottingham Forest

    Premier League

  6. Nottingham Forest

    1 : 2

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

In the previous season, these teams met three times - twice in the Premier League and once in the EFL Cup. Despite Nottingham having a better overall season, Newcastle won all three matches, although the one in the cup was decided after penalties. Looking back at the last ten h2h games, Newcastle won seven times, while Nottingham won three times (once after extra time in the EFL Cup).  

Regarding the number of goals, the last six h2h games ended with three or more goals, every time with both teams scoring.

Newcastle United

Newcastle team overview

Newcastle had three solid seasons in the Premier League behind them, and most experts believed they would continue with good performances. Unfortunately, the popular Magpies had an absolutely terrible start to this season, winning only six points and sitting in 15th place in the Premier League after six rounds. Still, there are some signs of improvement considering they won two out of three games across the competitions, and even that loss wasn't bad considering they lost 2:1 vs Arsenal by conceding a goal in the stoppage time. 

After a 4:0 win over Royale Union SG in the last game, coach Eddie Howe spoke to the media. He said it was a magnificent game from his team, highlighting that they showed they can score. "We maintained control of the game, and it's a big mental boost for us", the coach added.

Last matches of Newcastle United

  1. Union Saint-Gilloise

    0 : 4

    Newcastle United

    Champions League

  2. Newcastle United

    1 : 2

    Arsenal

    Premier League

  3. Newcastle United

    4 : 1

    Bradford City

    Carabao Cup

  4. AFC Bournemouth

    0 : 0

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

  5. Newcastle United

    1 : 2

    FC Barcelona

    Champions League

Newcastle United lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Nick Pope

Defenders

  • 2

    Kieran Trippier

  • 5

    Fabian Schär

  • 4

    Sven Botman

  • 33

    Dan Burn

Midfielders

  • 39

    Bruno Guimarães

  • 8

    Sandro Tonali

  • 7

    Joelinton

Forwards

  • 10

    Anthony Gordon

  • 27

    Nick Woltemade

  • 23

    Jacob Murphy

Nottingham Forest

Nottingham team overview

Last year, Nottingham had a magnificent season, barely missing out on the Champions League. Unfortunately, the disagreements between coach Nuno Espirito Santo and the club resulted in the sacking of the coach and the appointment of coach Ange Postecoglou. The coach who led Tottenham to a Europa League title is the same one who led a disastrous Premier League campaign, with Spurs finishing 17th. Now at Nottingham Forest, Postecoglou's side has endured another dreadful start, sitting 17th with just five points from the first six matches. Besides their atrocious PL start, the Forest were eliminated from the EFL Cup by Swansea and won only one point in the first two EL rounds.

In the previous game vs Midtjylland, central defender Murillo suffered an injury and had to leave the field after 28 minutes. It was an unfortunate moment for the young defender because he had just returned from an injury. 

Last matches of Nottingham Forest

  1. Nottingham Forest

    2 : 3

    Midtjylland

    Europa League

  2. Nottingham Forest

    0 : 1

    Sunderland

    Premier League

  3. Real Betis

    2 : 2

    Nottingham Forest

    Europa League

  4. Burnley

    1 : 1

    Nottingham Forest

    Premier League

  5. Swansea City

    3 : 2

    Nottingham Forest

    Carabao Cup

Nottingham Forest lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 26

    Matz Sels

Defenders

  • 31

    Nikola Milenkovic

  • 37

    Nicolo Savona

  • 4

    Morato

Midfielders

  • 3

    Neco Williams

  • 6

    Ibrahim Sangare

  • 8

    Elliot Anderson

  • 16

    Nicolas Dominguez

Forwards

  • 14

    Dan Ndoye

  • 11

    Chris Wood

  • 29

    Dilane Bakwa

Prediction

Newcastle went over 2.5 goals in the last three games across the competitions. They finally started scoring regularly as they did nine times during that three-game stretch (three per game). So, it is fair to expect another good offensive display against Nottingham, which have massive defensive problems.

Nottingham went over 2.5 goals in six out of nine games this season - 67%. Their defensive performance was absolutely terrible, and we doubt that will change any time soon. 

Also, the last six h2h games ended with three or more goals while both teams scored every time. Considering all the above, we expect another high-scoring game. 

3 Reasons why we should see three or more goals

  1. Newcastle went over 2.5 goals in the last three games
  2. Nottingham went over 2.5 goals in six out of nine games this season
  3. We saw three or more goals in the last six consecutive games

Main prediction Newcastle United - Nottingham Forest

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

57% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

Megapari

1.73

Bet here

Newcastle United vs Nottingham Forest standings in Premier League

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Arsenal 7 5 1 1 14 - 3 +11 16
2 Liverpool 7 5 0 2 13 - 9 +4 15
3 Tottenham Hotspur 7 4 2 1 13 - 5 +8 14
4 AFC Bournemouth 7 4 2 1 11 - 8 +3 14
5 Crystal Palace 6 3 3 0 8 - 3 +5 12
6 Chelsea 7 3 2 2 13 - 9 +4 11
7 Sunderland 7 3 2 2 7 - 6 +1 11
8 Manchester City 6 3 1 2 14 - 6 +8 10
9 Manchester United 7 3 1 3 9 - 11 -2 10
10 Everton 6 2 2 2 7 - 6 +1 8
11 Brighton & Hove Albion 6 2 2 2 9 - 9 0 8
12 Fulham 7 2 2 3 8 - 11 -3 8
13 Leeds United 7 2 2 3 7 - 11 -4 8
14 Brentford 6 2 1 3 9 - 11 -2 7
15 Newcastle United 6 1 3 2 4 - 5 -1 6
16 Aston Villa 6 1 3 2 4 - 6 -2 6
17 Nottingham Forest 6 1 2 3 5 - 10 -5 5
18 Burnley 6 1 1 4 6 - 13 -7 4
19 West Ham United 7 1 1 5 6 - 16 -10 4
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 6 0 1 5 4 - 13 -9 1

Newcastle vs Nottingham – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Newcastle this season?

The average xG for Newcastle in the Premier League this season is 1.26.

? How much is the average xG for Nottingham this season?

The average xG for Nottingham in the Premier League this season is 1.54.