Newcastle vs Benfica prediction 21.10.2025 | UEFA Champions League
Newcastle United
Kick off:
Date:
Benfica
1
1.65
X
4.42
2
5.46
Contents
- Competition: UEFA Champions League
- Date: 21st October, 2025
- Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CEST
- Venue: St James' Park
Newcastle United host Benfica at St James’ Park in an important UEFA Champions League group stage fixture. Newcastle arrive riding the momentum of a dominant European away win, eager to make their home turf count - although things have not gone as well in the Premier League after their defeat on the last matchday.
Benfica, meanwhile, come with greater European pedigree but also some vulnerabilities this campaign, as they remain winless after the first two matches of the competition.
Newcastle United vs Benfica Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Benfica
3 : 2
Newcastle United
Club Friendlies 3
-
Newcastle United
1 : 1
Benfica
Europa League
-
Benfica
3 : 1
Newcastle United
Europa League
The head-to-head record between the two teams slightly favours Benfica. In their last three meetings, Newcastle have recorded no wins compared to Benfica’s two victories and one draw. However, their last competitive encounter took place more than a decade ago, in 2013, in the Europa League - meaning those results have little relevance heading into Tuesday’s game.
Newcastle team overview
Newcastle’s return to the Champions League after a one-year absence has been positive so far. They secured a commanding 4-0 away win over Union Saint-Gilloise in their last group match - their biggest-ever Champions League victory - providing the perfect response to their opening-day defeat against Barcelona. That win offered confidence going into this home clash, though their two-match winning streak came to an end last weekend with a 2–1 league defeat away at Brighton.
Statistically, Newcastle are averaging roughly 2.0 goals per game across their last six matches (20 goals in 10). However, defensive consistency remains a concern, as they have kept only three clean sheets in that period.
Injury issues continue to trouble Eddie Howe’s side. Key full-back options are missing - Tino Livramento is sidelined for 6-8 weeks with a knee ligament injury, while Lewis Hall is also unavailable due to a hamstring problem.
Last matches of Newcastle United
-
Brighton & Hove Albion
2 : 1
Newcastle United
Premier League
-
Newcastle United
2 : 0
Nottingham Forest
Premier League
-
Union Saint-Gilloise
0 : 4
Newcastle United
Champions League
-
Newcastle United
1 : 2
Arsenal
Premier League
-
Newcastle United
4 : 1
Bradford City
Carabao Cup
Newcastle United lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Nick Pope
Defenders
-
2
Kieran Trippier
-
12
Malick Thiaw
-
4
Sven Botman
-
33
Dan Burn
Midfielders
-
8
Sandro Tonali
-
39
Bruno Guimarães
-
7
Joelinton
Forwards
-
20
Anthony Elanga
-
10
Anthony Gordon
-
27
Nick Woltemade
Benfica team overview
Benfica arrive with strong European credentials, yet their recent Champions League form has been disappointing. They have started the 2025/26 campaign with two defeats - a shock 3-2 home loss to newcomers Qarabag on matchday one, followed by a narrow 1-0 defeat to Chelsea at Stamford Bridge. More concerningly, Benfica have now lost their last four Champions League matches across the past couple of seasons.
Domestically, however, José Mourinho’s men remain unbeaten in the Primeira Liga (W5, D3), showing far more control and resilience on home soil. While no major injuries have been reported, their away record against Premier League opposition in Europe is notably poor - they are winless in their last 11 Champions League games versus English clubs (D3, L8).
Last matches of Benfica
-
Chaves
0 : 2
Benfica
Taça De Portugal
-
Porto
0 : 0
Benfica
Liga Portugal
-
Chelsea
1 : 0
Benfica
Champions League
-
Benfica
2 : 1
Gil Vicente
Liga Portugal
-
Benfica
1 : 1
Rio Ave
Liga Portugal
Benfica lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Anatoliy Trubin
Defenders
-
17
Amar Dedić
-
44
Tomás Araújo
-
4
António Silva
-
26
Samuel Dahl
Midfielders
-
5
Enzo Barrenechea
-
8
Fredrik Aursnes
-
10
Georgiy Sudakov
Forwards
-
11
Dodi Lukebakio
-
84
João Rêgo
-
14
Vangelis Pavlidis
Prediction
Given the pre-match context, this promises to be an engaging encounter. Newcastle’s recent attacking surge - led by the in-form Nick Woltemade - combined with their home advantage and Benfica’s ongoing European struggles, points slightly in favour of the hosts. However, Benfica’s experience on the continental stage and their unbeaten domestic record suggest they will be no pushovers.
Both sides possess attacking quality but defensive flaws, making both teams to score (BTTS) a likely outcome. A narrow Newcastle win - possibly 2-1 - appears the most probable result.
Three reasons we expect BTTS
- Benfica have scored in every Primeira Liga match so far, except for a 0-0 draw with Porto.
- Newcastle have lost 2-1 on both occasions against strong opposition such as FC Barcelona and Arsenal at St James’ Park.
- Newcastle have conceded in three of their last four matches across all competitions at St James’ Park.
Main prediction Newcastle United - Benfica
Both Teams to Score
Best Odds:
22bet
1.77
Newcastle United vs Benfica standings in Champions League
| League Stage | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 - 2 | +6 | 6 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 - 1 | +6 | 6 |
| 3 | Paris Saint Germain | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 - 1 | +5 | 6 |
| 4 | Inter | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 - 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 5 | Arsenal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 - 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 6 | Qarabağ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 - 2 | +3 | 6 |
| 7 | Borussia Dortmund | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 - 5 | +3 | 4 |
| 8 | Manchester City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 - 2 | +2 | 4 |
| 9 | Tottenham Hotspur | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 - 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 10 | Atlético Madrid | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 - 4 | +3 | 3 |
| 11 | Newcastle United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 - 2 | +3 | 3 |
| 12 | Olympique Marseille | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 - 2 | +3 | 3 |
| 13 | Club Brugge | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 - 3 | +2 | 3 |
| 14 | Sporting CP | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 - 3 | +2 | 3 |
| 15 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 - 6 | 0 | 3 |
| 16 | FC Barcelona | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 - 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 17 | Liverpool | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 - 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 18 | Chelsea | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 - 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 19 | Napoli | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 - 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 20 | Union Saint-Gilloise | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 - 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 21 | Galatasaray | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 - 5 | -3 | 3 |
| 22 | Atalanta | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 - 5 | -3 | 3 |
| 23 | Juventus | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 - 6 | 0 | 2 |
| 24 | Bodø / Glimt | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 - 4 | 0 | 2 |
| 25 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 - 3 | 0 | 2 |
| 26 | Villarreal | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 - 3 | -1 | 1 |
| 27 | PSV | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 - 4 | -2 | 1 |
| 28 | FC København | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 - 4 | -2 | 1 |
| 29 | Olympiacos F.C. | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 - 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 30 | Monaco | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 - 6 | -3 | 1 |
| 31 | Slavia Praha | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 - 5 | -3 | 1 |
| 32 | Pafos FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 - 5 | -4 | 1 |
| 33 | Benfica | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 - 4 | -2 | 0 |
| 34 | Athletic Club | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 - 6 | -5 | 0 |
| 35 | Ajax | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 - 6 | -6 | 0 |
| 36 | Kairat | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 - 9 | -8 | 0 |