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Napoli vs Fiorentina prediction 31.01.2026 | Serie A

Napoli

Napoli

2 - 1

Elapsed: FT

Half time: 1 - 0

Full time: 2 - 1

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Date:

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

match ended

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  • Competition: Serie A
  • Date: Saturday, 31st January 2026
  • Kickoff: 17:00 UK / 18:00 CET
  • Venue: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona (Naples)

On Saturday evening, Napoli will welcome Fiorentina in another important Serie A game. Although the teams are in opposite parts of the standings, their form is not significantly different. Can Fiorentina shock Naples and take points from Stadio Diego Armando Maradona? Let's find the best betting option. 

Napoli vs Fiorentina Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Fiorentina

    1 : 3

    Napoli

    Serie A

  2. Napoli

    2 : 1

    Fiorentina

    Serie A

  3. Fiorentina

    0 : 3

    Napoli

    Serie A

  4. Fiorentina

    2 : 2

    Napoli

    Serie A

  5. Napoli

    3 : 0

    Fiorentina

    Super Cup

  6. Napoli

    1 : 3

    Fiorentina

    Serie A

Napoli are usually better than Fiorentina, as they won four of the last five H2H matches, with one draw. In the only meeting this season, Napoli won 3-1 in Florence. Also, it is worth noting that the previous six H2H games ended with at least three goals. 

Napoli

Napoli team overview

Napoli are not on the previous season's level when they won the Serie A title. In the current campaign, Antonio Conte's team is nine points behind league leader Inter Milan, and it seems finishing in the top four is a much more realistic goal. Also, January was disappointing for Napoli with only one victory in seven matches across all competitions. In the most recent outing, Napoli lost 3-2 at home against Chelsea. That was the second game in a row in which Conte's team has conceded three goals, a worrying trend that could derail their ambitions if not addressed quickly.

After defeat by Chelsea, Napoli are eliminated from the Champions League. After the game, Antonio Conte commented, "We feel great pride and satisfaction, because despite missing more than half the squad, we played, if not on the same level, then even better than Chelsea. I am so proud of our lads because we pressed them, created chances, and fought them for every ball. It's a pity, we deserved to at least get into the play-offs."

Napoli are in big injury problems. They will be without Vanja Milinkovic-Savic, Amir Rrahmani, Matteo Politano, Pasquale Mazzocchi, Billy Gilmour, Kevin De Bruyne, David Neres, and Franck Anguissa on Saturday against Fiorentina.

Last matches of Napoli

  1. Napoli

    2 : 3

    Chelsea

    Champions League

  2. Juventus

    3 : 0

    Napoli

    Serie A

  3. FC Copenhagen

    1 : 1

    Napoli

    Champions League

  4. Napoli

    1 : 0

    Sassuolo

    Serie A

  5. Napoli

    0 : 0

    Parma

    Serie A

Napoli lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Alex Meret

Defenders

  • 22

    Giovanni Di Lorenzo

  • 4

    Alessandro Buongiorno

  • 5

    Juan Jesus

Midfielders

  • 37

    Leonardo Spinazzola

  • 8

    Scott McTominay

  • 68

    Stanislav Lobotka

  • 17

    Mathias Olivera

Forwards

  • 26

    Antonio Vergara

  • 19

    Rasmus Hojlund

  • 20

    Eljif Elmas

Fiorentina

Fiorentina team overview

After more than twenty consecutive years in Serie A, Fiorentina are in danger of relegation. They are first team below the line, with one point fewer than safety. Fiorentina were solid in January. They started with four games without defeat, but Viola returned to reality with two defeats in the previous two games. In the last match, Fiorentina lost 3-1 at home in the cup against Como. The hosts ended with xG of 0.53, while the guests had 1.92, so Fiorentina wasn't even clear of progressing to the next phase. Now, Paolo Vanoli's team will travel to another struggling side, Napoli, and maybe that will be a good opportunity for points.

After Coppa Italia defeat against Como, Fiorentina's head coach, Paoli Vanoli, repeated that the priority is to avoid relegation. He said, "Ever since I arrived here, I've told the team that our goal is to avoid relegation. I think that we got overconfident after our win against Bologna. We must understand that this type of mindset is risky. We must realize that our number one priority is avoiding relegation."

Tariq Lamptey and Fabiano Parisi are injured and will not travel to Naples, while Moise Kean and Roberto are questionable and their status will be clearer closer to Saturday.

Last matches of Fiorentina

  1. Fiorentina

    1 : 3

    Como

    Coppa Italia

  2. Fiorentina

    1 : 2

    Cagliari

    Serie A

  3. Bologna

    1 : 2

    Fiorentina

    Serie A

  4. Fiorentina

    1 : 1

    AC Milan

    Serie A

  5. Lazio

    2 : 2

    Fiorentina

    Serie A

Fiorentina lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 53

    Oliver Christensen

Defenders

  • 29

    Niccolo Fortini

  • 15

    Pietro Comuzzo

  • 6

    Luca Ranieri

  • 62

    Luis Balbo

Midfielders

  • 4

    Marco Brescianini

  • 27

    Cher Ndour

  • 80

    Giovanni Fabbian

Forwards

  • 17

    Jack Harrison

  • 10

    Albert Gudmundsson

  • 22

    Jacopo Fazzini

Prediction

Although Napoli have a lot of problems lately, they are still one of the best teams in Serie A. Also, Conte's team have impressive 7-3-0 record at the home stadium. On the other hand, Fiorentina have only one victory in 11 road matches. We should expect Napoli to win on Saturday evening. 

4 Reasons why Napoli should win against Fiorentina

  1. Napoli have a 7-3-0 record at home this season
  2. Fiorentina won only one of 11 road games this season
  3. Napoli won four of the last five H2H matches against Fiorentina
  4. Napoli won 3-1 in the previous H2H game against Fiorentina

Main prediction Napoli - Fiorentina

Napoli to win

Updated

clock
winrate

53% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Napoli vs Fiorentina standings in Serie A

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Inter 23 18 1 4 52 - 19 +33 55
2 AC Milan 23 14 8 1 38 - 17 +21 50
3 Napoli 23 14 4 5 33 - 21 +12 46
4 Juventus 23 13 6 4 39 - 18 +21 45
5 Roma 23 14 1 8 27 - 14 +13 43
6 Como 23 11 8 4 37 - 16 +21 41
7 Atalanta 23 9 9 5 30 - 20 +10 36
8 Lazio 23 8 8 7 24 - 21 +3 32
9 Udinese 23 9 5 9 26 - 34 -8 32
10 Bologna 23 8 6 9 32 - 30 +2 30
11 Sassuolo 23 8 5 10 27 - 29 -2 29
12 Cagliari 23 7 7 9 28 - 31 -3 28
13 Torino 23 7 5 11 22 - 40 -18 26
14 Cremonese 23 5 8 10 20 - 31 -11 23
15 Parma 23 5 8 10 15 - 30 -15 23
16 Genoa 23 5 8 10 27 - 34 -7 23
17 Lecce 23 4 6 13 13 - 30 -17 18
18 Fiorentina 23 3 8 12 25 - 36 -11 17
19 Pisa 23 1 11 11 19 - 40 -21 14
20 Hellas Verona 23 2 8 13 18 - 41 -23 14

Napoli vs Fiorentina – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Napoli this season?

The average xG for Napoli in Serie A this season is 1.49.

? How much is the average xG for Fiorentina this season?

The average xG for Fiorentina in Serie A this season is 1.42.