Monaco vs Nice prediction 05.10.2025 | Ligue 1
Kick off:
Date:
1
1.89
X
4.01
2
4.23
Contents
- Competition: Ligue 1
- Date: Sunday, 5th October, 2025
- Kickoff: 16:15 UK / 17:15 CEST
- Venue: Stade Louis II (Monaco)
On Sunday afternoon, Monaco will welcome out-of-form Nice at Stade Louis II in Monaco. Monaco came to this match following their 2:2 draw in the Champions League against Manchester City, while Nice came to this match after a 2:1 loss against Fenerbahce in the Europa League.
Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Ligue 1 tie.
vs Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Monaco
2 : 1
OGC Nice
Ligue 1
-
OGC Nice
2 : 1
Monaco
Ligue 1
-
OGC Nice
2 : 3
Monaco
Ligue 1
-
Monaco
0 : 1
OGC Nice
Ligue 1
-
Monaco
0 : 3
OGC Nice
Ligue 1
-
OGC Nice
0 : 1
Monaco
Ligue 1
Last season, both teams won their home h2h duel, ending with 2:1. Looking further back, in the past ten h2h games, Monaco were a lot better, winning six times, while Nice won three times.
Regarding the number of goals, six out of the last ten ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored on five occasions.
Monaco team overview
With the exclusion of the 2022/23 season, Monaco have been a French top-three team. Last year, they once again finished third and secured the Champions League. However, in the first two rounds of the CL, they won just one point. On the other hand, their start in the Ligue 1 has been solid, winning 12 points in the first six rounds - just three points away from the top spot.
In the previous game against Manchester City, right full-back/wing-back Vanderson suffered an injury and had to leave the field after only 22 minutes. It is a big blow because the team is having massive injury problems. Besides Vanderson, the team could miss up to nine players due to injuries. Besides their problems with injuries, the team will also miss central defender Thilo Kehrer due to a one-game suspension.
Last matches of
-
Monaco
2 : 2
Manchester City
Champions League
-
Lorient
3 : 1
Monaco
Ligue 1
-
Monaco
5 : 2
Metz
Ligue 1
-
Club Brugge
4 : 1
Monaco
Champions League
-
Auxerre
1 : 2
Monaco
Ligue 1
lineup
Goalkeeper
-
16
Philipp Köhn
Defenders
-
20
Kassoum Ouattara
-
22
Mohammed Salisu
-
3
Eric Dier
-
4
Jordan Teze
Midfielders
-
28
Mamadou Coulibaly
-
27
Krepin Diatta
-
12
Caio Henrique
Forwards
-
31
Ansu Fati
-
9
Folarin Balogun
-
11
Maghnes Akliouche
Nice team overview
Last year, Nice finished fourth in the Ligue 1, just one point behind their next opponent, Monaco. They ended up in the Champions League Qualifiers, but Benfica easily knocked them out of it, and the Eaglets ended up in the Europa League. There, they were atrocious, losing both games. In the Ligue 1, the Eaglets also opened the season terribly as they are in 12th place with seven points in six rounds.
After a 2:1 loss vs Fenerbahce, coach Franck Haise spoke to the media. He said they showed a lot and fought hard, but admitted they need more technical precision in order to secure points in Europe. Generally, despite losing the match, the coach wasn't too unhappy with it.
Last matches of
-
Fenerbahce
2 : 1
OGC Nice
Europa League
-
OGC Nice
1 : 1
Paris FC
Ligue 1
-
OGC Nice
1 : 2
AS Roma
Europa League
-
Brest
4 : 1
OGC Nice
Ligue 1
-
OGC Nice
1 : 0
Nantes
Ligue 1
lineup
Goalkeeper
-
80
Yehvann Diouf
Defenders
-
92
Jonathan Clauss
-
37
Kojo Peprah Oppong
-
28
Juma Bah
-
26
Melvin Bard
Midfielders
-
20
Tom Louchet
-
24
Charles Vanhoutte
-
8
Morgan Sanson
Forwards
-
47
Tiago Gouveia
-
90
Kevin Carlos
-
7
Jérémie Boga
Prediction
Monaco have been absolutely great for this type of bet, as they went over 3.5 goals in six out of eight games - 75%. The Red and Whites have been really good offensively, but that was especially the case at home, where they scored a total of 13 in the first four games - 3.25 per game. However, another massive reason for this bet is the fact that they allowed two goals per game in all of those four matches.
Nice had mixed results this season, and it is hard to predict what we will see from them in this game. Still, away from home, they lost all four games and allowed 11 goals. Mainly due to a poor defense, they went over 2.5 goals in three out of four games.
Considering all the above, we believe that an over 3.5 goals is the best option for this Ligue 1 tie.
3 Reasons why we should see four or more goals
- Monaco went over 3.5 goals in all four home games
- Monaco scored 13 goals in the first four home games - 3.25 per game
- Nice went over 3.5 goals in two out of four road games this season
Main prediction -
Over 3.5 goals
Best Odds:
Megapari
2.43
vs standings in Ligue 1
| Regular Season | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olympique Marseille | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15 - 5 | +10 | 15 |
| 2 | Paris Saint Germain | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 - 4 | +8 | 15 |
| 3 | Olympique Lyonnais | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 - 3 | +5 | 15 |
| 4 | Lens | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 - 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 5 | Monaco | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 - 10 | +4 | 12 |
| 6 | Strasbourg | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 - 7 | +2 | 12 |
| 7 | LOSC Lille | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 - 9 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 | Paris | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 - 13 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | Rennes | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 - 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Brest | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 - 11 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 - 11 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 - 10 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Lorient | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 - 16 | -7 | 7 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 - 10 | -5 | 6 |
| 15 | Nantes | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 - 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 - 8 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 | Angers SCO | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 - 6 | -3 | 5 |
| 18 | Metz | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 - 16 | -11 | 2 |