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Mainz vs Hoffenheim prediction 21.11.2025 | Bundesliga

Kick off:

Date:

1

2.55

X

3.60

2

2.62

  • Competition: Bundesliga
  • Date: Friday, 21st November 2025
  • Kickoff: 19:30 UK / 20:30 CET
  • Venue: Mewa Arena (Mainz)

After almost two weeks' break, the Bundesliga returns on Friday night with the game between Mainz and Hoffenheim. Both teams expected a solid year, but Christian Ilzer's team can be much more satisfied with the first few months of the 2025/26 season. Can Mainz stop their terrible form and win on Friday at Mewa Arena? Let's break down the match and find the best betting option. 

vs Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Hoffenheim

    2 : 0

    FSV Mainz

    Bundesliga

  2. FSV Mainz

    2 : 0

    Hoffenheim

    Bundesliga

  3. FSV Mainz

    4 : 1

    Hoffenheim

    Bundesliga

  4. Hoffenheim

    1 : 1

    FSV Mainz

    Bundesliga

  5. FSV Mainz

    1 : 0

    Hoffenheim

    Bundesliga

  6. Hoffenheim

    4 : 1

    FSV Mainz

    Bundesliga

Mainz were better than Hoffenheim in recent years, winning six of the previous nine H2H games. In the same span, Hoffenheim won two matches, while one ended in a draw. Interestingly, last season, both sides won 2-0 at their home stadiums. Another fact worth noting is that four of the previous five H2H games ended with two or fewer goals. 

Mainz team overview

Last year was one of the best in Mainz's history. They hoped for a similar season, but the reality struck them hard as Bo Henriksen's team collected only five points in ten Bundesliga rounds. Luckily, it is still early in the season, and Mainz have enough time to get out of the relegation zone. Henriksen's team won only one of the last five matches in all competitions. In the previous game, they lost 1-0 on the road against Eintracht Frankfurt. The guests ended the match with an xG of 0.16, so Mainz was obviously far from picking up points. 

Bo Henriksen was the best Bundesliga head coach last season, but football is often ruthless, and it will not be surprising if he loses his job soon. Some German media reported that the board will give him a few more weeks, but change is inevitable if nothing changes soon. 

Mainz doesn't have big problems with injuries. Nadiem Amiri, Anthony Caci, and Maxim Dal should be the only ones unavailable on Friday against Hoffenheim. 

Last matches of

  1. Eintracht Frankfurt

    1 : 0

    FSV Mainz

    Bundesliga

  2. FSV Mainz

    2 : 1

    Fiorentina

    Europa Conference League

  3. FSV Mainz

    1 : 1

    Werder Bremen

    Bundesliga

  4. FSV Mainz

    0 : 2

    Stuttgart

    DFB Pokal

  5. Stuttgart

    2 : 1

    FSV Mainz

    Bundesliga

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 27

    Robin Zentner

Defenders

  • 15

    Lennard Maloney

  • 21

    Danny da Costa

  • 31

    Dominik Kohr

Midfielders

  • 2

    Philipp Mwene

  • 6

    Kaishu Sano

  • 24

    Sota Kawasaki

  • 30

    Silvan Widmer

Forwards

  • 8

    Paul Nebel

  • 7

    Jae-sung Lee

  • 17

    Benedict Hollerbach

Hoffenheim team overview

After barely escaping relegation, Hoffenheim looks like a completely different team in the current campaign, sitting within reach of the Champions League places. Christian Ilzer's team played well recently, winning four of the last five matches across all competitions. In the previous game before the international break, Hoffenheim won 3-1 at home against RB Leipzig. That was another match in which Ilzer's team punched above their weight this season.

Hoffenheim are playing great this season, and the head coach, Christian Ilzer, recently talked about his team's chances in the Bundesliga. He said, "You don't just win a game in the Bundesliga – everyone demands maximum effort. If we continue to stay united, everyone understands their role as important, and we play with a significant investment, then we can be the surprise team of the season in May."

Valentin Gendrey, Adam Hlozek, and Koki Machida are injured and will not play on Friday in Mainz.

Last matches of

  1. Hoffenheim

    3 : 1

    RB Leipzig

    Bundesliga

  2. VfL Wolfsburg

    2 : 3

    Hoffenheim

    Bundesliga

  3. St Pauli

    8 : 7

    Hoffenheim

    DFB Pokal

  4. Hoffenheim

    3 : 1

    Heidenheim

    Bundesliga

  5. St Pauli

    0 : 3

    Hoffenheim

    Bundesliga

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Oliver Baumann

Defenders

  • 2

    Robin Hranac

  • 13

    Bernardo

  • 21

    Albian Hajdari

Midfielders

  • 34

    Vladimir Coufal

  • 18

    Wouter Burger

  • 7

    Leon Avdullahu

  • 6

    Grischa Promel

  • 29

    Bazoumana Toure

Forwards

  • 27

    Andrej Kramaric

  • 19

    Tim Lemperle

Prediction

Mainz are not playing well this season, winning only one game in ten Bundesliga rounds. On the other hand, Hoffenheim won the previous four league matches. Christian Ilzer's team is also the second-best road team in the competition with a 4-1-0 record. We should expect guests to be much closer to victory. Our prediction: Hoffenheim to win AH (0). 

3 Reasons why Hoffenheim should win against Mainz

  1. Mainz won only one of ten Bundesliga matches this season
  2. Hoffenheim won four league games in a row
  3. Hoffenheim have a 4-1-0 record away from home this season

Main prediction -

AH2 (0)

Updated

clock
winrate

53% winrate

wins

6 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

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1.95

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vs standings in Bundesliga

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 FC Bayern München 10 9 1 0 35 - 6 +29 28
2 RB Leipzig 10 7 1 2 20 - 13 +7 22
3 Borussia Dortmund 10 6 3 1 16 - 7 +9 21
4 VfB Stuttgart 10 7 0 3 17 - 12 +5 21
5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 10 6 2 2 24 - 14 +10 20
6 TSG Hoffenheim 10 6 1 3 21 - 16 +5 19
7 Eintracht Frankfurt 10 5 2 3 23 - 19 +4 17
8 Werder Bremen 10 4 3 3 15 - 18 -3 15
9 FC Köln 10 4 2 4 17 - 15 +2 14
10 SC Freiburg 10 3 4 3 13 - 14 -1 13
11 FC Union Berlin 10 3 3 4 13 - 17 -4 12
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 10 2 3 5 13 - 19 -6 9
13 Hamburger SV 10 2 3 5 9 - 16 -7 9
14 VfL Wolfsburg 10 2 2 6 12 - 18 -6 8
15 FC Augsburg 10 2 1 7 14 - 24 -10 7
16 St. Pauli 10 2 1 7 9 - 20 -11 7
17 FSV Mainz 05 10 1 2 7 10 - 18 -8 5
18 Heidenheim 10 1 2 7 8 - 23 -15 5

Mainz vs Hoffenheim – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Mainz this season?

The average xG for Mainz in the Bundesliga this season is 1.39.

? How much is the average xG for Hoffenheim this season?

The average xG for Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga this season is 1.51.