Mainz 05 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction 05.12.2025 | Bundesliga

Mainz’s run of seventeen straight seasons in the top flight is beginning to feel fragile. It’s particularly odd because last year’s sixth-place finish and European qualification didn’t hint at any kind of collapse.

Their form on the continent has actually been respectable, sitting only a point off the top of their Conference League group, which makes their domestic struggles even harder to grasp.

The league story is far rougher. Bo Henriksen’s side haven’t tasted a Bundesliga win since beating Augsburg 4-1 in September, and a seven-game winless streak with five defeats has dragged them into deep trouble.

What might give them a little hope is their home record; they’ve lost only once in their last five at the Mewa Arena. Add to that an unbeaten run of nine matches against Gladbach, and you can at least see where their confidence comes from.

Henriksen does have another issue to manage. His group have finished the last two league games with ten men, and the suspensions continue to pile up. Dominik Kohr serves the second game of his three-match ban, while Paul Nebel sits out after his red card against Freiburg. Injuries also rule out Anthony Caci, Robin Zentner and Maxim Dal.

Gladbach’s season had started with the sort of frustration that saps the life from a club. They had to wait until matchday eight for their first league win, all be it they have steadied the ship somewhat since then.

Gerardo Seoane’s men have taken 13 points and risen to 12th, which, funnily enough, is exactly where they were at this stage last term. Only, now their away form has become a genuine asset.

The Fowls haven’t lost away from home in four league games (3 wins, 1 draw), and two of those victories were the kind that resonate, particularly the 4-0 over St. Pauli and the 3-0 at Heidenheim.

They should be able to walk into the Mewa Arena with a little more belief. Nathan Ngoumou is back on the training pitches but still short of fitness and won’t be included. Fabio Chiarodia, Jonas Omlin, Philipp Sander and Robin Hack are also unavailable.