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Lorient vs Toulouse prediction 09.11.2025 | Ligue 1

Lorient

Lorient

Kick off:

Date:

Toulouse

Toulouse

1

3.05

X

3.25

2

2.35

  • Competition: Ligue 1
  • Date: 9th November, 2025
  • Kickoff: 14:00 UK / 15:00 CEST
  • Venue: Stade Yves Allainmat-Le Moustoir

Lorient and Toulouse meet at the Stade du Moustoir on Sunday in a fixture that can tell us a lot about both teams’ mid-season trajectories. Statistically this season the two sides have produced entertaining football: Lorient have been involved in several high-scoring encounters while Toulouse’s matches have included both heavy defeats and sharp goal returns, which suggests this could be an open, goal-heavy game on paper.

Lorient vs Toulouse Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Lorient

    1 : 2

    Toulouse

    Ligue 1

  2. Toulouse

    1 : 1

    Lorient

    Ligue 1

  3. Lorient

    0 : 1

    Toulouse

    Ligue 1

  4. Toulouse

    2 : 2

    Lorient

    Ligue 1

  5. Toulouse

    0 : 1

    Lorient

    Coupe de la Ligue

  6. Lorient

    1 : 1

    Toulouse

    Ligue 1

The recent head-to-head between the clubs is remarkably balanced. Since 2006 the pair have met repeatedly with a near-even split of outcomes: across 27 meetings Lorient have 8 wins, Toulouse 8 wins and 11 draws, and many of the last decade’s fixtures have finished tight or drawn.

Lorient

Lorient team overview

Lorient have had a rollercoaster start to the 2025/26 season. They have been involved in some of the campaign’s highest-scoring matches, including a standout 1-7 defeat to Lille in late August that heavily skews their goal difference. Aside from that, they have shown the ability to both score and concede freely, but their leaky defence remains the biggest concern - 25 goals conceded in just 11 matches highlights their vulnerability at the back. Lorient have endured a miserable few weeks, failing to win any of their last five league games: drawing twice against PSG and Brest but losing the other three. With only two wins from 11 attempts, the Breton side appear destined for another battle to avoid relegation in Ligue 1 for the 2026/27 season. 

Faye, Katseris, and Fadiga are all ruled out through injury and will not feature.

Last matches of Lorient

  1. RC Lens

    3 : 0

    Lorient

    Ligue 1

  2. Lorient

    1 : 1

    PSG

    Ligue 1

  3. Angers

    2 : 0

    Lorient

    Ligue 1

  4. Lorient

    3 : 3

    Brest

    Ligue 1

  5. Paris FC

    2 : 0

    Lorient

    Ligue 1

Lorient lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 38

    Yvon Mvogo

Defenders

  • 2

    Igor Silva

  • 3

    Montassar Talbi

  • 44

    Darlin Yongwa

  • 11

    Théo Le Bris

  • 43

    Arsène Kouassi

Midfielders

  • 62

    Arthur Avom Ebong

  • 6

    Laurent Abergel

  • 15

    Aiyegun Tosin

  • 29

    Karim Dermane

Forwards

  • 9

    Mohamed Bamba

Toulouse

Toulouse team overview

Toulouse sit comfortably in mid-table, having collected 15 points from 11 games (four wins, three draws, four defeats) and boasting a +2 goal difference - a record that suggests they neither dominate nor struggle excessively. Their season includes a 3-6 defeat to PSG, a result that underlined their defensive weaknesses but also showcased their attacking potential when the game opens up. Unlike the hosts, Toulouse enjoyed a solid October, losing only once away to AS Monaco while picking up two wins and three draws in that period. Apart from the heavy loss to PSG, Toulouse have been relatively stable defensively, conceding just 15 goals across their 11 league matches. 

Aron Dønnum is suspended for Sunday’s fixture due to yellow-card accumulation and will be unavailable for selection.

Last matches of Toulouse

  1. Toulouse

    0 : 0

    Le Havre

    Ligue 1

  2. Toulouse

    2 : 2

    Rennes

    Ligue 1

  3. Monaco

    1 : 0

    Toulouse

    Ligue 1

  4. Toulouse

    4 : 0

    Metz

    Ligue 1

  5. Lyon

    1 : 2

    Toulouse

    Ligue 1

Toulouse lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Guillaume Restes

Defenders

  • 19

    Djibril Sidibé

  • 4

    Charlie Cresswell

  • 2

    Rasmus Nicolaisen

  • 24

    Dayann Methalie

  • 12

    Warren Kamanzi

Midfielders

  • 23

    Cristian Cásseres Jr.

  • 77

    Mario Sauer

  • 9

    Frank Magri

  • 10

    Yann Gboho

Forwards

  • 20

    Emersonn

Prediction

Given the balanced head-to-head and similar attacking output of both teams, the most likely outcome is a narrow game with goals at both ends. Both teams have shown the tendency to score and to concede, and neither side’s form or availability suggests a comfortable win for either side. Lorient have been leaking goals heavily especially in home matches, with BTTS occurring in 80% of their Ligue 1 home fixtures so far.

Prediction: BTTS

Three reasons we expect BTTS

  1. BTTS occurred in 80% of Lorient’s home fixtures this season.
  2. Lorient have failed to keep a clean sheet in four consecutive Ligue 1 home fixtures.
  3. Toulouse have scored in back-to-back Ligue 1 fixtures away at Lorient, winning both (2-1 and 1-0).

Main prediction Lorient - Toulouse

Both Teams to Score

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

4 wins in a row

I have been familiar with sports betting and football betting in particular for 10 years, so I have a good knowledge of analysing and researching football bets to make the best possible predictions.

Best Odds:

Megapari

1.8

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Lorient vs Toulouse standings in Ligue 1

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain 11 7 3 1 21 - 9 +12 24
2 Olympique Marseille 11 7 1 3 25 - 11 +14 22
3 Lens 11 7 1 3 17 - 10 +7 22
4 LOSC Lille 11 6 2 3 23 - 13 +10 20
5 Monaco 11 6 2 3 23 - 17 +6 20
6 Olympique Lyonnais 11 6 2 3 16 - 12 +4 20
7 Strasbourg 11 6 1 4 22 - 16 +6 19
8 Rennes 12 4 6 2 19 - 17 +2 18
9 Nice 11 5 2 4 16 - 16 0 17
10 Toulouse 11 4 3 4 17 - 15 +2 15
11 Paris 12 4 2 6 18 - 21 -3 14
12 Le Havre 11 3 4 4 12 - 16 -4 13
13 Brest 11 2 4 5 14 - 18 -4 10
14 Angers SCO 11 2 4 5 8 - 15 -7 10
15 Nantes 11 2 3 6 10 - 17 -7 9
16 Lorient 11 2 3 6 13 - 25 -12 9
17 Metz 11 2 2 7 10 - 26 -16 8
18 Auxerre 11 2 1 8 7 - 17 -10 7

Lorient vs Toulouse – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can watch Lorient take on Toulouse on the Sofascore app.

? What is the average number of corners Lorient have won in the Ligue 1 season 2025/26?

3.3

? What is the average number of corners Toulouse have won in the Ligue 1 season 2025/26?

4.8