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Leeds vs Manchester United prediction 18.10.2026 | Premier League

Leeds United

Leeds United

Kick off:

Date:

Manchester United

Manchester United

1

2.42

X

3.70

2

3.01

  • Competition: Premier League
  • Date: Sunday, 18th October 2026
  • Kickoff: 14:00 UK / 15:00 CEST
  • Venue: Elland Road (Leeds)

On Sunday afternoon, Leeds will welcome Manchester in one of the most intriguing Premier League ties this weekend. Both teams come off defeats in their previous matches and will hope to get back on track at Elland Road. Can Leeds win and pile even more pressure on Michael Carrick? Let's break down the match and find the best betting option. 

Leeds United vs Manchester United Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Manchester United

    5 : 4

    Leeds United

    Club Friendlies 1

  2. Manchester United

    1 : 2

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  3. Leeds United

    1 : 1

    Manchester United

    Premier League

  4. Manchester United

    0 : 0

    Leeds United

    Club Friendlies 1

  5. Manchester United

    2 : 0

    Leeds United

    Club Friendlies 1

  6. Leeds United

    0 : 2

    Manchester United

    Premier League

Manchester United have won three of the last six H2H matches against their next opponent. Leeds have triumphed only once in that period, with two draws. In the previous meeting, the Whites won 2-1 at Old Trafford. Also, it is worth noting that both teams scored in five of the last six H2H games. 

Leeds United

Leeds United team overview

After last season, when Leeds built a solid gap to the drop zone, Daniel Farke's team has a similar goal for the 2026/27 campaign. The team from Elland Road are solid so far with nine points from the first six Premier League rounds. However, Leeds won only once in the last six matches across all competitions. In the previous game, Farke's team lost 2-1 on the road against Arsenal. Eventually, the hosts broke the visitors, but that was another match in which Leeds showed more than most people expected.

Leeds' head coach, Daniel Farke, was heartbroken after a defeat in the previous league round. He commented, "It's difficult to describe the emotions. Congratulations to Arsenal. It's down to their mentality. Heartbroken and gutted for my players. A good away performance with no points is tough. Very proud."

Leeds doesn't have many players missing. Joe Rodon and Mateo Joseph are unavailable due to injuries, while Daniel James is questionable.

Last matches of Leeds United

  1. Arsenal

    2 : 1

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  2. Leeds United

    0 : 0

    Crystal Palace

    Premier League

  3. Leeds United

    4 : 1

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

  4. Chelsea

    6 : 3

    Leeds United

    Carabao Cup

  5. Brighton & Hove Albion

    1 : 1

    Leeds United

    Premier League

Leeds United lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    James Trafford

Defenders

  • 24

    James Justin

  • 5

    Tarik Muharemovic

  • 30

    Nico Elvedi

Midfielders

  • 2

    Jayden Bogle

  • 22

    Ao Tanaka

  • 4

    Ethan Ampadu

  • 3

    Gabriel Gudmundsson

Forwards

  • 19

    Noah Okafor

  • 9

    Dominic Calvert-Lewin

  • 18

    Anton Stach

Manchester United

Manchester United team overview

Manchester United seem to have a recurring problem with former players becoming managers. They come in as caretakers, do a great job, and earn themselves permanent contracts. But once they get the job full-time, the team's performances seem to take a significant turn for the worse. The team was excellent last season under Michael Carrick, but after the first six Premier League rounds in the 2026/27 season, Manchester United collected only six points. The Red Devils are winless in the last five matches across all competitions. In the previous game, they lost 2-0 on the road in the Champions League against Atletico Madrid. 

After another poor display, Michael Carrick is under enormous pressure. Reports suggest Antonio Conte is willing to take over the team, and the change could happen if Manchester United fail to beat Leeds. 

Manchester United have serious problems with injuries. They will be without Patrick Dorgu, Tom Heaton, Manuel Ugarte, Benjamin Sesko, and Noussair Mazraoui. Also, Kobbie Mainoo and Luke Shaw are questionable, and their statuses will get clearer closer to the kickoff. 

Last matches of Manchester United

  1. Atletico Madrid

    2 : 0

    Manchester United

    Champions League

  2. Manchester United

    1 : 1

    Tottenham Hotspur

    Premier League

  3. Fulham

    1 : 1

    Manchester United

    Premier League

  4. Manchester United

    2 : 3

    Brighton & Hove Albion

    Carabao Cup

  5. Manchester United

    0 : 1

    Manchester City

    Premier League

Manchester United lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Senne Lammens

Defenders

  • 2

    Diogo Dalot

  • 15

    Leny Yoro

  • 6

    Lisandro Martinez

  • 26

    Ayden Heaven

Midfielders

  • 20

    Carlos Baleba

  • 18

    Youri Tielemans

  • 17

    Andrey Santos

Forwards

  • 8

    Bruno Fernandes

  • 19

    Bryan Mbeumo

  • 9

    Marcus Rashford

Prediction

Leeds are unbeaten in three matches at Elland Road this season. On the other hand, Manchester United are winless in four road games in the 2026/27 campaign. Also, Michael Carrick's team has significant injury problems. We should expect the hosts to be closer to victory in the upcoming tie. 

3 Reasons why Leeds should win against Manchester United

  1. Leeds United are unbeaten at Elland Road this season
  2. Manchester United are winless in the previous five games
  3. Manchester United scored only four goals in the last five matches

Main prediction Leeds United - Manchester United

AH1 (0)

Updated

clock
winrate

51% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

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1.78

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Leeds United vs Manchester United standings in Premier League

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Manchester City 6 6 0 0 16 - 5 +11 18
2 Arsenal 6 5 0 1 10 - 5 +5 15
3 Brighton & Hove Albion 6 4 1 1 18 - 5 +13 13
4 Brentford 6 2 4 0 12 - 6 +6 10
5 Everton 6 2 4 0 8 - 5 +3 10
6 Chelsea 6 3 1 2 15 - 13 +2 10
7 Leeds United 6 2 3 1 8 - 5 +3 9
8 Hull City 6 2 3 1 8 - 6 +2 9
9 Liverpool 6 2 3 1 7 - 7 0 9
10 Ipswich Town 6 3 0 3 9 - 12 -3 9
11 Newcastle United 6 2 2 2 10 - 13 -3 8
12 Crystal Palace 6 2 1 3 9 - 12 -3 7
13 Manchester United 6 1 3 2 9 - 9 0 6
14 Coventry City 6 2 0 4 5 - 11 -6 6
15 Nottingham Forest 6 1 2 3 5 - 8 -3 5
16 Aston Villa 6 1 2 3 6 - 11 -5 5
17 Sunderland 6 1 1 4 6 - 12 -6 4
18 AFC Bournemouth 6 0 3 3 7 - 13 -6 3
19 Tottenham Hotspur 6 0 3 3 3 - 9 -6 3
20 Fulham 6 0 2 4 6 - 10 -4 2

Leeds vs Manchester United – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Leeds this season?

The average xG for Leeds United in the Premier League this season is 1.29.

? How much is the average xG for Manchester United this season?

The average xG for Manchester United in the Premier League this season is 2.15.