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Lecce vs Napoli prediction 28.10.2025 | Serie A

Lecce

Lecce

Kick off:

Date:

Napoli

Napoli

1

8.00

X

4.20

2

1.43

  • Competition: Serie A
  • Date: Tuesday, 28th October, 2025
  • Kickoff: 17:30 UK / 18:30 CET
  • Venue: Stadio Via del Mare (Lecce)

On Tuesday evening, Lecce will welcome the reigning champs, Napoli, at Stadio Via del Mare in Lecce. While Lecce hopes for a positive result, which would hold them above the danger zone, Napoli will try to win and keep themselves in the top spot. However, Napoli will not have an easy job considering they lost four road games across the competitions. 

Lecce vs Napoli Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Napoli

    1 : 0

    Lecce

    Serie A

  2. Napoli

    0 : 0

    Lecce

    Serie A

  3. Lecce

    0 : 4

    Napoli

    Serie A

  4. Lecce

    1 : 2

    Napoli

    Serie A

  5. Napoli

    1 : 1

    Lecce

    Serie A

  6. Napoli

    2 : 3

    Lecce

    Serie A

In the previous h2h season, Napoli won both games 1:0. Looking further back, in the last ten h2h games, Napoli won seven and Lecce secured only one win. 

Regarding the number of goals, we saw three or more goals in five out of the last ten h2h games. Meanwhile, both teams also scored in five out of ten h2h games.

Lecce

Lecce team overview

In the past three seasons, Lecce have constantly been on the brink of relegation but managed to survive somehow. Last year was their worst one as they only won 34 points, but luckily, the bottom three teams (Monza, Venice, and Empoli) were atrocious. It seems this year will be no different, as we expect a battle against relegation until the last minute of the season. Right now, after eight rounds in Serie A, Lecce are in 17th place, only two points away from dropping to the danger zone. 

After a 3:2 loss vs Udinese, coach Eusebio Di Francesco spoke to the media. He said they lost possession too easily and lost every duel, especially in the first half. However, he praised the team's reaction in the second half, saying they dominated but were unlucky not to equalize. 

Last matches of Lecce

  1. Udinese

    3 : 2

    Lecce

    Serie A

  2. Lecce

    0 : 0

    Sassuolo

    Serie A

  3. Parma

    0 : 1

    Lecce

    Serie A

  4. Lecce

    2 : 2

    Bologna

    Serie A

  5. AC Milan

    3 : 0

    Lecce

    Coppa Italia

Lecce lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 30

    Wladimiro Falcone

Defenders

  • 17

    Danilo Veiga

  • 44

    Tiago Gabriel

  • 4

    Kialonda Gaspar

  • 25

    Antonino Gallo

Midfielders

  • 10

    Medon Berisha

  • 14

    Thórir Jóhann Helgason

  • 20

    Ylber Ramadani

Forwards

  • 50

    Santiago Pierotti

  • 9

    Nikola Stulic

  • 7

    Tete Morente

Napoli

Napoli team overview

Last season, Napoli won their fourth-ever Scudetto and second in the previous three years. This year, they have been pretty good considering they are at the top of Serie A. However, their performance in the Champions League has been pretty bad. Gli Azzurri are in 23rd place with just three points in three rounds and are desperate to win points. 

After a 3:1 win over Inter in the previous game, coach Antonio Conte spoke to the media. He was delighted with a win, saying they secured the victory over the best squad in Italy. The coach also said this win means even more because they missed players like Lobotka, Lukaku, Rrahmani, Meret, and Hjolund, and, eventually, lost De Bruyne mid-game.

Last matches of Napoli

  1. Napoli

    3 : 1

    Inter Milan

    Serie A

  2. PSV Eindhoven

    6 : 2

    Napoli

    Champions League

  3. Torino

    1 : 0

    Napoli

    Serie A

  4. Napoli

    2 : 1

    Genoa

    Serie A

  5. Napoli

    2 : 1

    Sporting CP

    Champions League

Napoli lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 32

    Vanja Milinković-Savić

Defenders

  • 22

    Giovanni Di Lorenzo

  • 5

    Juan Jesus

  • 4

    Alessandro Buongiorno

  • 37

    Leonardo Spinazzola

Midfielders

  • 6

    Billy Gilmour

  • 99

    Frank Anguissa

  • 17

    Mathías Olivera

  • 8

    Scott McTominay

Forwards

  • 21

    Matteo Politano

  • 7

    David Neres

Napoli to win and cover the -1 AH spread

Lecce have been pretty bad throughout the season, as their only wins came against Juve Stabia in the Cup (Serie B team) and against Parma in Serie A. Also, at home, they have been really bad, winning only two points in four games. 

Meanwhile, Napoli won six out of eight Serie A games - 75%. To be fair, they had their struggles away from home, losing four straight. However, that was against great competition. Still, we believe they deserved more from those matches, and they weren't as bad as the results suggest. 

Also, Napoli won seven out of the last ten h2h games. They also won five h2h games on the road while covering the -1.5 AH spread on three occasions. Considering the trend in the previous h2h games and all the above, Napoli should be much closer to winning the upcoming Serie A tie. 

3 Reasons why Napoli should win and cover the -1 AH spread

  1. Lecce won just six and Napoli won 18 points in eight rounds
  2. Lecce won two points in the first four home Serie A games
  3. Napoli won the last five h2h games at Stadio Via del Mare

Main prediction Lecce - Napoli

AH2 (-1)

Updated

clock
winrate

57% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

20Bet

1.85

Bet here

Additional predictions

Lecce vs Napoli standings in Serie A

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Napoli 8 6 0 2 15 - 8 +7 18
2 Roma 8 6 0 2 8 - 3 +5 18
3 Milan 8 5 2 1 13 - 6 +7 17
4 Inter 8 5 0 3 19 - 11 +8 15
5 Bologna 8 4 2 2 13 - 7 +6 14
6 Como 8 3 4 1 9 - 5 +4 13
7 Juventus 8 3 3 2 9 - 8 +1 12
8 Udinese 8 3 3 2 10 - 12 -2 12
9 Atalanta 8 2 6 0 12 - 6 +6 12
10 Lazio 8 3 2 3 11 - 7 +4 11
11 Torino 8 3 2 3 8 - 14 -6 11
12 Cremonese 8 2 5 1 9 - 10 -1 11
13 Sassuolo 8 3 1 4 8 - 9 -1 10
14 Cagliari 8 2 3 3 8 - 10 -2 9
15 Parma 8 1 4 3 3 - 7 -4 7
16 Lecce 8 1 3 4 7 - 13 -6 6
17 Hellas Verona 8 0 5 3 4 - 11 -7 5
18 Fiorentina 8 0 4 4 7 - 12 -5 4
19 Pisa 8 0 4 4 5 - 12 -7 4
20 Genoa 8 0 3 5 4 - 11 -7 3

Lecce vs Napoli – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Lecce this season?

The average xG for Lecce in the Serie A this season is 1.14.

? How much is the average xG for Napoli this season?

The average xG for Napoli in the Serie A this season is 1.77.